Historically, in Devon, there have always been tensions between the walled city of Exeter and the County beyond, though you may have to be a 300 year old Owl to know it.
Are we seeing an action replay in this election where Exeter labour activists seem to be under the illusion that they can “take over” the new constituency of Exmouth and Exeter East? Despite only a small fraction of Exeter’s suburbs being added to the Exmouth side of the old constituency.
Labour’s candidate in 2019 was Dan Wilson, an EDDC councillor for Exmouth Halsdon. This time he stands as an Independent.
Dan quit the party in March, citing amongst his reasons: Labour’s reneging on the Green New Deal and turning a blind eye to whistleblowing on candidate behaviour. Dan says “When I was in the Labour Party, that’s the kind of thing I expected of the Conservatives, and I felt [the Labour party] should hold itself up to higher standards.”
As has been reported and commented on by Owl, Labour have drawn false conclusions on their strength from polls attempting seat by seat predictions on small samples. Their illusion is beginning to dawn, though Owl can find no evidence of their campaigning cutting through in the constituency heartland in Exmouth.
Nationally, both Labour and the Conservatives are losing votes with Reform and the Lid Dems gaining.
The tectonic plates continue to move.
Disappointing (but predictable?) that EEE Labour has switched off replies to this. Not only has Electoral Calculus projected the Lib Dems to beat the Tories, but now the FT – whose outdated figures Labour uses on its leaflets – has the LDs moving ahead to become the challenger.
![](https://eastdevonwatch.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/screenshot-2024-06-26-07.09.25.png?w=549)
![](https://eastdevonwatch.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/screenshot-2024-06-26-07.10.17.png?w=524)
![](https://eastdevonwatch.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/screenshot-2024-06-26-07.11.25.png?w=524)