Devolution: where are the new jobs coming from?

“About 25,000 jobs are expected to be created during construction of the power plant, as well as 900 permanent jobs during its 60-year operation.”

http://www.northdevonjournal.co.uk/North-Devon-risk-Hinkley-Point-nuclear-reactor/story-26128750-detail/story.html

163,000 new jobs by 2030
http://www.heartofswlep.co.uk/news/devolution

So, this means that up to 2030 Devon and Somerset has to create around 147,000 jobs in 15 years (163,000 minus 26,000 even though 25,000 of these jobs will be temporary and with two Hinkley sites closing most of the 900 permanent jobs will probably go to redundant workers from the old sites)

147,000 jobs in 15 years equals around 9,800 new jobs in Devon and Somerset each and every year over and above those being created at Hinkley C.

The LEP says:

LABOUR MARKET

“There were 11,292 JSA claimants (1.1% of the working age population, compared to UK 1.8%) across the Heart of the SW in July 2015. This is a minor increase of 0.4% from June 2015, but a 22.2% fall since July 2014. The most significant reduction over the year has been experienced in Somerset (-34.0%), followed by Torbay (-26.1%), Devon (-20.2%) then Plymouth (9.7%). Devon and Somerset continue to have the lowest claimant rates across the sub-region (both 0.8%, compared to Torbay and Plymouth 1.9% and 2.0% respectively). This has contributed to the HotSW ranking among the best performing LEPs in the country in JSA claimant terms (14th out of 39)”

There is no way that 163,000 jobs can be taken up by every unemployed person in Devon and Somerset – indeed employing EVERY unemployed person in the area would soak up about a year’s worth of the new jobs specified.

This means that around 90% of the new jobs must be filled from outside the LEP area at a time where EVERY LEP is making similar claims about the number of jobs it expects to create.

And let us not forget that many of the 25,900 jobs at Hinkley C will go to French and Chinese workers.

The maths just don’t work. Good luck with that.

4 thoughts on “Devolution: where are the new jobs coming from?

  1. I wonder what would happen if we added up all the “new jobs” claims from all the LEPs. Would it come to several times the total unemployed in the UK?

    If so, how would the government propose to close the gap? By increasing immigration targets?

    I guess if we had the resource we could also do the same for the Local Plans throughout the UK – I wonder what their Housing Growth numbers add up to?

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