In the years 2011, 2012 and 2013 (the 3 years after the last local elections) the number of electors hovered at just over 104,000 each of those years. In February 2014 it plummeted to around 98,000.
Where are all these missing electors taken from? Well, it turns out that in EVERY one of the 69 areas enumerated with the exception of Broadclyst, Clyst St Lawrence and Dalwood there were substantially fewer electors this year than in the previous year in every one – yes, in 66 out of 69 areas, there are fewer electors!
Broadclyst’s jump from 2,370 to 2,818 is understandable: it now includes Cranbrook. Dalwood increases from 341 to 349, Clyst Lawrence up from 56 to 59. EVERYWHERE ELSE FALLS! Some of the smaller places by only a few, bigger places substantially, though the percentages may show differences, of course.
For example, take the larger places. Axminster down from 5,028 to 4,707, Budleigh Salterton has dropped from 4,259 to 4,063, Exmouth has fallen from 25,890 to 23,831, Feniton down from 1,411 to 1,291, Ottery St Mary down from 6,652 to 6,298, Seaton down from 5,960 to 5,539, Sidmouth down from 11,964 to 10,957.
Then take some of the smaller places: Beer down from 1,087 to 995; Farringdon down from 283 to 263, Huxham down from 64 to 47, Newton Poppleford down from 1,717 to 1,626, Shute down from 495 to 471, Uplyme down from 1,383 to 1,281.
If each of these represents 2 electors per household, it means, at say an average of £1,000 council tax per household East Devon could be losing at least £3 million in council tax if the new total figure of electors for 2014 is wrong!
A more forensic calculation of all the figures to follow.