Daily Telegraph says street protests could reduce NHS bed losses

The Labour Party has a national day of action on Saturday 26 November 2016.
Devon has a county-wide non-political protest (“Draw a Red Line”) on Saturday 3 December midday Bedford Square, Exeter (see above for information)

Hospital closures planned to shore up NHS finances could be derailed if enough people take to the streets in protest, a health service chief has said.

Chris Hopson, leader of England’s hospitals sector, said public unrest and opposition by local MPs could scupper so-called Sustainability and Transformation Plans (STPs), which are billed as crucial to the long-term viability of the health service.

On Monday the respected think tank The King’s Fund heavily criticised health bosses for trying to organise the sweeping closure of hospitals and NHS units in secret, moves which it said could put lives at risk.

Yesterday Mr Hopson, Chief Executive of NHS Providers, said architects of the schemes were so far failing to engage local communities, which “have the ability to sink plans they don’t support”.

“It’s very difficult for the NHS to proceed with wholescale change if you’ve got people out on the streets marching with placards and banners and saying “don’t do this”,” he said.

“Fundamentally you can’t make big changes to service provision without taking local people with you.”

The plans follow an admission in May that the provider sector overspent by a historic £2.45 billion in the last financial year.

The country has been divided into 44 areas, with each ordered to come up with a proposal that both closes the gap and caters for booming patient demand.

So far the plans involve the closure of one of five major hospitals in South West London, an A&E unit in the North East of England, the loss of almost 600 beds in Devon and the possible closure of two A&E units in St Helens and West Lancashire.

Mr Hopson yesterday said unit closures were too widely being regarded as a “silver bullet” to make the “overambitious and undeliverable” plans conform to tight budgets.

“We have become obsessed by the money and not got the public engagement right,” he said.

“We are also trying to do it too quickly.”

But Sir Bruce Keogh, the NHS medical director, has this week there was “plenty of time” for the public to shape the changes.

External auditors not best placed to review Local Plan – Duh!

Honestly, you could not make it up. Independent councillors recently flagged that the NEXT review of the existing Local Plan needs to be sorted out NOW and not (as in the past) faffed-about with at the last minute.

So, some bright spark came up with the idea of asking EDDC’s FINANCIAL external auditor (KPMG) to get it going. Here is what happened next.

Problem (page 134 of agenda papers):
Undertake a Review of the process for writing the Local Plan in future”

The solution
“A meeting has been held with our external auditors to scope out this review but it was quickly determined that they are not the right people to undertake this review due to their lack of knowledge of the plan making process. Other options including using the Planning Advisory Service (PAS) are now being pursued.”

Click to access 241116-scrutiny-agenda-combined.pdf

Duh, duh and more duh!

NHS cuts on EDDC scrutiny agenda – 24 November 2016, 6 pm

The full consultation document begins on page 9:

Click to access 241116-scrutiny-agenda-combined.pdf

English devolution: 4 deficits and “unelected dictatorship”

In an article on the London School of Economics website by Bob Hudson, a Professor in the Centre for Public Policy and Health, University of Durham, he argues that the current process has four major deficits and goes i to detail about each one. The four are:

Democratic Deficit
Constitutional Deficit
Financial Deficit
Strategic Deficit

An interesting comment on the article from Malcolm Bell reads:

The whole trend in contemporary government is to suppress democracy and impose control by unelected elites. The principle is established in the EU where the commission trumps the elected Parliament. Devolution to the regions is intended to develop this theme. The British government is rapidly changing to decision-making in the increasingly remote “executive” as the House loses control. It used to be said that we had an elected dictatorship, that is rapidly being replaced by an unelected dictatorship of the elite. Accountability is almost entirely a thing of the past, this is not accidental but deliberate policy.”

So much for sovereignty of Parliament!

Ottery St Mary NHS cuts public consultation meeting, 29 November, King’s School, 6 pmh

There will be a public meeting at the King’s School in Ottery St Mary on Tuesday 29 November, to consult residents on plans to shut 72 community hospital beds in Eastern Devon – and on introducing a new model of care on looking after more people in their own homes.

Last year NEW Devon Clinical Commissioning Group made a decision to shut all the general medical beds at Ottery Hospital as well as Crediton and Axminster. We now have 15 temporary stroke beds at Ottery but they are set to transfer to the RD&E in due course.

The CCG was not planning to hold a meeting in Ottery but myself, Cllr Elli Pang and Ottery Town Council all wrote requesting that a meeting be held in the town to update people on the new model of caring for people in their own homes and what plans there are for the hospital.

The meeting at the King’s School is from 6-8pm on Wednesday 29 November.

http://www.claire-wright.org/index.php/post/public_meeting_in_ottery_st_mary_to_debate_plans_to_shut_more_community_hos

“How to keep house prices low forever”

“Imagine a world in which the price of housing stopped rising as predictably as a hydrogen-filled balloon. And imagine a country in which houses would be just as affordable in 10 years’ time as they were 10 years ago. There would be no race to buy a home, no fear that prices would accelerate faster than you can save up for the deposit. Houses would cease to be a means of profit, and instead become just a place to live.

But this is no John Lennon-inspired fantasy. It is about to come to fruition in the East End of London, in an extraordinary experiment. For the first time, future property prices will be tied to the rise in wages.

In a couple of weeks the first of 23 families will move in to an old mental health hospital in Tower Hamlets that has been converted into flats. They will pay a third of market value. When they come to sell, the price they are allowed to charge will be limited by the increase in local wages, as measured by the Office for National Statistics.

Amongst the buyers are Rachael and Nathaniel Evans and their young son Griffin. Despite their joint income of £33,000, and savings of nearly £70,000, they have been unable to afford anything in the area. But now, thanks to the local Community Land Trust (CLT), they will soon be moving into a home of their own.

“It is amazing. It is life-changing for us,” says Nathaniel, who has lived in Tower Hamlets all his life. “I imagine walking into the flat and thinking, ‘this is ours,’ and we don’t have to leave.”

But the wage link is significant. When Rachael and Nathaniel eventually decide to sell, their property’s value will not have gone up in line with the market. Typically, wages have risen by less than 2% a year over the last decade, dipping as low as 0.7% as recently as June 2014. At the same time, despite a few dips, house prices have soared by up to 9%, easily outpacing wages.

If that trend continues, the relative value of their flat will decline, making it hard for them to move elsewhere. As a result, linking house prices to wages requires a very different attitude, says Calum Green, co-director of the London CLT. “These homes should be considered homes, not assets,” he tells the BBC. “It should be a place where you want to live for many, many years. It’s not all about ladders and working your way up. …”

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-37941426

The REAL-LIFE Devon NHS cuts

“The proximity of North Devon district hospital to Anne-Marie Wiles’ home – it is less than five minutes away – is crucial.

Her twin sons, Jed and Peirce, were given just six months to live after being born with multiple complex health needs. They are now doing well, aged 16, thanks in large part to the efforts of a loving family, but also the dedicated staff at the hospital in Barnstaple.

“I intentionally live opposite the hospital because when the boys stop breathing there is not enough time to call an ambulance,” said Wiles. Jed has been resuscitated three times at the NDDH and both have been nursed countless times at the Caroline Thorpe children’s ward.

“If these services end then my boys will for certain die once they become ill,” said Wiles. “I am fearful of losing my children.”

She is one of thousands who have joined marches, written to local MPs, organised benefit gigs, signed petitions over the Wider Devon STP – sustainability and transformation plan – which is proposing radical changes to healthcare in the county.

If the plan comes to fruition in its present form, 600 community and acute beds across this sprawling, largely rural county will be gone within five years.

Cherished community hospitals at Honiton in the east – nicknamed the Honiton Hilton because it so beloved – Okehampton in central Devon and Paignton and Dartmouth in the south would go. There have been howls of protest everywhere – but nowhere more than in and around Barnstaple.

Here there is deep alarm that the plan may lead to the shutting down of maternity, neonatology and paediatric services as well as triggering the loss of other departments, including A&E. The Royal Devon and Exeter hospital is 50 miles away – an hour and 10 minutes by car down a winding road if conditions are good, much more if not.

Tina Day’s son, Jaiden-Lee, was born at the NDDH with a collapsed lung and spent a week in the special care baby unit for a week before developing type 1 diabetes. “It terrifies me if services like maternity and A&E are re-located. People will die, guaranteed,” said Day.

John Tate claimed his wife and daughter would both have died had the NDDH not been near. “My daughter had her umbilical cord wrapped around her neck. She had breathing problems and was trapped head down. This caused my wife life-threatening problems. An emergency cesarean saved their lives. Both would have died if Barnstaple was not there.”

Crystal Steinberg said the closure of the maternity department would make her think twice about having a second child. She underwent an emergency caesarean section because her unborn baby, Dylan, was in distress. “I do not want to be stranded at the side of the road while my uterus ruptures and my baby and I die.”

It is not just mums who are worried. Tracy, 46, suffers from a mental health condition that leaves her suicidal. “I have been to A&E three times this month after being picked up by police.” Should the A&E close she believes she would be held in a cell or have to head to Exeter. “I’d have no way of getting there but to walk or hitch. Both are a scary.”

Jacob Egan, seven, was so concerned when he got wind of the proposals that he dictated a letter to Theresa May. He has brittle asthma, which can result in severe attacks, and has been admitted to the NDDH around 10 times.

“Dear prime minister,” he said. “Just think about it, every time any child in our area of north Devon needed to go to hospital they would have to go to Exeter. Exeter is a long distance away and if your heartbeat stopped you couldn’t just wait for a train or car to get you there.”

At the heart of the plan is a “new model of integrated care” that will “reduce reliance on bed-based care and enable people to live healthy independent lives for longer, closer to where they live”. In other words the idea is to look after people at home rather than in hospital.

According to the latest draft of the report, which is up for consultation, every day more than 600 people in Devon are medically fit to leave hospital beds but do not.

The plans argues change must take place. Health and social care services in Devon are likely to be £557m in deficit in 2020/21 if nothing is done, the plan says. It also says the system as it stands isn’t working. The 95% standard for patients being seen in A&E within four hours is not being met – the Devon system is currently achieving 91.6%.

Devon’s demographics also have to be taken into account. There are more elderly people here than in other parts of the UK – in one area of Torquay almost one in 10 are aged over 85. Some need a lot of care – in north, east and west Devon, 40% of people use almost 80% of health and social care.

Angela Pedder, lead chief executive for the plan, said she understood people’s concerns. “But if we sit back and say let’s just let things happen, that’s a much bigger risk not just for the whole of Devon.

“We have to be pro-active. We have responsibilities to make sure the service is safe and sustainable two, five, 10 years down the line. That’s what we’ve got to plan for. That’s the framework we are trying to put in place.”

Politicians, activists and patients are not impressed.

The East Devon Tory MP Hugo Swire said: “We are in danger of putting the cart before the horse. Until we can absolutely ensure that we have got social care right, we should not look at unnecessarily closing community beds.”

Jan Goffey, the mayor of Okehampton, called the proposals cruel and claimed the NHS was being “dismembered”. If the people who actually live in Barnstaple are worried, those that live even further north – and so even further from Exeter – are even more concerned.

Sarah Vander, who runs a shop in the cliff-top village of Lynton, 20 miles north-east of Barnstaple, said her mother had been saved from a stroke and her husband from a diabetic hypo – a drop in blood glucose level – because they got to the NDDH quickly. “We are incredibly remote and we must be able to rely on the excellent services of NDDH otherwise the simple fact is, people will die unnecessarily.”

The seaside town of Ilfracombe, 12 miles north of Barnstaple, suffers a double whammy. The town is isolated and some areas are deprived: life expectancy in central Ilfracombe is 75 compared with 90 in parts of east Devon.

Rebecca McGarry, from Ilfracombe, the mother of daughters aged two and three, said she felt sick thinking about the prospect of losing services. Both her children have received excellent treatment in Barnstaple including for severe croup, which makes it difficult for them to breathe.

McGarry’s husband is a carer and needs the car for work so she often has to take her children to the hospital on the bus. “I honestly don’t know how we would manage if these appointments were moved even further away. The idea that such a remote region should lose these vital services is totally absurd. People will lose their lives if these closures do happen.”

https://www.theguardian.com/society/2016/nov/18/nhs-cuts-in-devon-if-these-services-end-my-boys-will-for-certain-die