Government paid Vote Leave AI firm to analyse UK citizens’ tweets

Two issues raised in this article: privacy; and whether social media posts  provide an accurate insight into public attitudes. – Owl

Privacy campaigners have expressed alarm after the government revealed it had hired an artificial intelligence firm to collect and analyse the tweets of UK citizens as part of a coronavirus-related contract.

Faculty, which was hired by Dominic Cummings to work for the Vote Leave campaign and counts two current and former Conservative ministers among its shareholders, was paid £400,000 by the Ministry of Housing, Communities and Local Government for the work, according to a copy of the contract published online.

In June the Guardian reported Faculty had been awarded the contract, but that key passages in the published version of the document describing the work that the company would carry out had been redacted.

In response to questions about the contract in the House of Lords, the government published an unredacted version of the contract, which describes the company’s work as “topic analysis of social media to understand public perception and emerging issues of concern to HMG arising from the Covid-19 crisis”.

A further paragraph describes how machine learning will be applied to social media data.

Silkie Carlo, the director of the civil liberties campaign group Big Brother Watch, which discovered the updated contract, expressed alarm at the details. “This is effectively AI-powered mass political surveillance, and it’s been done in a very secretive way, apparently to inform policy,” she said.

“It seems from the contract this social media monitoring has been going on for three months, and machine learning has been used for that time. We don’t know what the impact is.”

A Faculty spokesperson declined to comment on the criticism, but said that the project analysed public posts from Twitter containing words relating to the pandemic, such as “covid” or “coronavirus”, as part of an endeavour to help the government detect emerging issues relating to the pandemic in local communities.

They said personally identifiable information, such as Twitter usernames or profiles, was stripped out from the data at the point of collection, meaning it would be impossible to use the information to profile any individual or group of people.

Carlo expressed scepticism that social media posts would provide the government with an accurate insight into public attitudes. “Twitter is not representative of public opinion as a whole,” she said. “I think there are a lot of questions to be asked about the premise.”

An MHCLG spokesperson said: “We are satisfied that the service provided by Faculty was of a high standard, and delivered on value for money.” They added that the contract expired in July.

The MHCLG social media work is one of several government contracts awarded to Faculty relating to coronavirus. In March an existing contract to support the NHS with AI initiatives was expanded so that the firm could help create a “coronavirus datastore” for the government, visualising NHS data to help inform ministerial decision-making.

The company has several links to figures in the Vote Leave campaign and the Conservative party. Two of its investors, Theodore Agnew and John Nash, are current or former Conservative ministers.

In 2016 the firm was recruited by Cummings to provide data science and machine learning technology for the Vote Leave campaign. The work was carried out by Ben Warner, the brother of Faculty’s CEO, Marc Warner.

Ben subsequently worked on the Conservative party’s 2019 general election campaign, and was later recruited as a data science adviser to Downing Street.

Last month the Guardian reported Cummings had paid more than £250,000 to Faculty via his private consultancy firm, Dynamic Maps. Both parties have declined to explain what the payments were for. Faculty has previously said it would no longer accept political work.

The Scott Trust, the ultimate owner of the Guardian, is the sole investor in GMG Ventures, which is a minority shareholder in Faculty.

An Independent SAGE discussion document on contact tracing and self-isolation

https://www.independentsage.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/08/An-Independent-SAGE-statement-on-contact-tracing-and-self-isolation-FINAL.docx

On 13 February, 83 British men, women and children were allowed to leave 14 days of isolation from Arrowe Park hospital, after evacuation from Wuhan at the end of January. (1)This was an appropriate quarantine response to potential contacts of a deadly new virus. On the same day, a nurse in Brighton was placed into ‘self-isolation’ by Public Health England. (2)She was a contact of the first UK super-spreader’ who had returned from Singapore via a skiing trip in France (3). She had some symptoms and was astonished at the poor response. She was sent home wearing a medical mask, in a taxi with a driver without a mask. No advice was given about how to stop the spread of the virus. She had to arrange her own grocery and takeaways to be delivered to her door. Her immune system was compromised so she was fearful that the infection could be fatal. Her children were distressed when she immediately got everyone out of her house. When she called NHS111 she had to wait 15 hours to get a test. She told the Brighton Argus that self-isolation was not effective. “I thought there would be a plan in place for something like this, but in my case, I know there wasnt one.”

Six months later, in England, little has changed. Most mild cases and contacts are told to self-isolate over the phone. We have no data on whether they follow any instructions or comply for the full 14 days. A contact may take more than a week to become infectious and longer to develop symptoms. How many of them live in multigenerational households or crowded accommodation, a possible explanation of local outbreaks as those in Leicester? How many are from the five million people working in the gig economy, where 14 days without pay means a family without income to buy food or pay the bills? Does the government collect any data on the number of isolated contacts who become cases, arguably the best indicator of isolation success, as suggested by the Royal Statistical Society? (4) Why are we not offering the financial and on-the-ground support as in South Korea, China, and Germany? We can do as many tests and trace as many contacts as we like, but without effective isolation or quarantine, the epidemic will spread.

South Korea set up a national network of community treatment centres for isolation of positives with mild or no symptoms. (Vietnam did the same.) Patients reported signs and symptoms twice daily using an app. Medical staff reviewed vital signs and provided video consultation to patients twice daily, so fewer staff were needed for tests or to respond to emergencies.

In China people were asked to wait at the clinic for the result of their test. If positive, they stayed in community medical facilities until free of the virus, indicated by two consecutive negative PCR tests. Contacts were asked to self-isolate at home for two weeks but with regular visits by community teams, and with all rental, food and bills covered. Daniel Falush, professor at the Institute Pasteur, Shanghai reported that “Family members no longer infected each other… families with sick individuals stopped passing it on to other ones during inevitable provisioning trips… (later) epidemiologists went house to house looking for individuals with potential symptoms and this reduced the rate of transmission even further.” (5)

In Germany, devolved local power, far more than in the NHS, was the key to success. Local mayors control hospitals. Testing had to be scaled rapidly so GP practices met and set up their own diagnostic centres to relieve local hospitals. The rapid, sufficient availability of testing and co-ordination by primary care meant cases were identified much earlier. (6) Meanwhile central government focused on financial support. Berlin launched a massive economic package, ten per cent of GDP, larger than any in Europe. It helped that Chancellor Merkel is a scientist and her chief of staff a doctor. Germanys 400 local health authorities, the Gesundheitsämter, were made the centre of the public health response. They organised people who required isolation to be checked up for symptoms or deterioration by teams of ’scouts

In England we have done none of these things, except for NHS and care home cases monitored and managed successfully by over-worked health protection and district public health teams. They achieve 99% success in contact tracing and provide follow-up to cases and contacts. Testing should be organised by GPs, primary care networks or local public health clinicians to increase reliability and trust of communicating test results rapidly. This will ensure appropriate advice, monitoring, and care for positive cases and contacts; far more efficient and sustainable than car parks in remote locations.

But local authorities are disempowered and sidelined. GPs are ignored. Volunteer scouts remain largely unused. A huge contract issued to SERCO has led to thousands of contact tracers sitting at home, many doing almost nothing for weeks on end. No person asked to isolate by this centralised privatised system is followed up and workers not on PAYE are not offered financial support. Our summer lull may not last long, with signs already of increasing transmission. Without supported isolation, massive testing and tracing programmes will make little difference in a surge. The centralised contact tracing system is not working, not improving and is fundamentally the wrong design with some localities setting up their own local test, trace and isolation systems. (7)

What should be done? Independent SAGE recommends the following:

The central call centre system should be scrapped and contracts with SERCO and others cancelled. On 23rd August the government will decide whether to extend the current deal worth £108 million up to a maximum of £410 million. The Table shows that SERCO contact tracers had 91,785 contacts of newly infected people transferred from the test system over 9 weeks. They reached just 56% of them (51,524 contacts) during the same period, less than 2 contacts per tracer in more than two months. A fifth of contacts had no contact details and another fifth did not respond to contact attempts. The centralized system has no recourse to check details or find other ways of making contact (e.g. home visits). Call centre tracers also treat each individual contact separately. So with four children and two parents in a household of contacts, up to six different contact tracers might call the family, causing annoyance and confusion and charging separately for each contract. These features make it highly unlikely that the SERCO contract is cost-effective. Budgets should be shifted so contact tracers are recruited and trained by local authority public health teams.

The Deloitte testing contract for community tests in car parks should be ended. In the most recent week’s statistics, only 72% of home test results were received within 48 hours of the test being sent out.

Home testing should be ended and every person in England should have access to a test within a short distance from where they live. Local public health and primary care doctors should get real time information about test results and patient details.

A national framework should be agreed whereby local authorities can make their own decisions about new community restrictions, and set up community centres for quarantine and support of mild cases who cannot isolate effectively at home.

Central government should focus on a) strategic guidance based on evidence, b) financial support to local authorities, and c) financial support guaranteed to all cases and contacts (not just those employed on PAYE) to offset wage losses.

If we don’t take isolation seriously our economy will spiral downwards. We should have had an effective isolation policy in February, with better pandemic planning. Not to have one six months later is nothing short of public health malpractice.

Troubled test and trace system to be scaled back as local authorities given more control

The failing test and trace system will be scaled back under plans to replace thousands of call centre workers with council staff knocking on doors.

The local system has been available from the outset – so why was it sidelined by the Government? Answers on the back of a postcard please to…Owl

By Laura Donnelly, Health Editor and Henry Bodkin, Health and Science Correspondent www.telegraph.co.uk 

 

The major overhaul of the system follows warnings that it is now reaching less than half of contacts of those who test positive for coronavirus. On average, those working for call centres are reaching just one case a month, research shows.

Councils have warned that many of those being called reject attempts to contact them because they assume the unfamiliar “0300” number is a cold caller. There is also concern that translation services have not been made available to those for whom English is not their first language.

Those working for the call centres, run by Serco and Sitel, have said the job was akin to being “paid to watch Netflix”. Under the overhaul, around 6,000 of the 18,000 call handlers will be axed.

Instead, councils will be encouraged to send their own workers out to chase up the contacts of infected cases who have failed to respond to phone calls.

The changes follow warnings that the safe reopening of schools next month depends on improving the performance of test and trace.

Research by the Independent Sage group of scientists suggests that the test and trace workforce of 25,000 staff – which includes around 7,000 clinical case workers and health protection staff – reached fewer than 52,000 close contacts of coronavirus cases in two months.

Under the overhauled programme, council teams can track down anyone who cannot be reached by the national system after 48 hours to tell them to self-isolate. Every council will also be told they can have “dedicated ring-fenced teams” from the national service to help with local contact tracing.

Councils in areas with some of the highest infection rates had already taken matters into their own hands amid concern that the national system was failing to stop the spread of the virus.

Last week, Blackburn with Darwen (see video below) followed Sandwell in sending out its own staff amid frustration at failings in the national system.

Leicester and Luton also tried similar approaches to engage with those who are not responding to calls.

Dido Harding, the chair of NHS Test and Trace, said on Monday that the moves followed “successful trials in a small number of local areas”.

But last week Dominic Harrison, the director of public health in Blackburn with Darwen, suggested the council had become frustrated with the national system. He said: “We are developing our own system. The national system is simply not tracing enough cases and contacts fast enough.”

Earlier this month, Sandwell public health director Lisa McNally said the council was contacting cases as soon as they came in “rather than waiting for Test and Trace to fail to reach them”.

Last week, a study suggested that reopening schools without an improvement in the reach of test and trace could cause a second coronavirus wave more than twice the size of Britain’s first peak.

The study by University College London and the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine simulated how the disease might spread (see graphic below) when schools open in September.

It found that if test and trace was more successful, so that 68 per cent of contacts of positive cases were traced, then the spread could be held in check.

Since then, test and trace’s performance has deteriorated further to reach just 46 per cent of contacts in the week ending July 29.

The Department of Health and Social Care said the new approach was a “partnership” with Public Health England and local authorities.

Baroness Harding said: “NHS Test and Trace is one of the largest contact tracing and testing systems anywhere in the world and was built rapidly, drawing on the UK’s existing health protection networks, to stop the spread of coronavirus.

“At the height of the pandemic, we ensured the system had extra capacity in place to cope with potential peaks in the virus.

“We have always been clear that NHS Test and Trace must be local by default and that we do not operate alone – we work with and through partners across the country.

“As we learn more about the spread of the disease, we are able to move to our planned next step and become even more effective in tackling the virus.”

The shadow health minister, Justin Madders, said: “Labour has been calling for a locally-led contact tracing system for months – it’s welcome that local authorities are now finally being given additional support to tackle the virus in their areas.

“But it’s clear Boris Johnson’s £10 billion centralised contact tracing system is nowhere near ‘world beating’, as he claims, and the system is unable to fight local outbreaks successfully.”

Keith Neal, emeritus professor in the epidemiology of infectious diseases at the University of Nottingham, said: “The biggest issue has been that 20-25 per cent of cases have not been contactable. Allowing local authorities to chase up will ensure more are contacted.

“Visiting houses will help, but there is no mention as to what they will do if they are not isolating for 10 days as they should be.”

Under the test and trace programme, call handlers aim to make contact with all infected people and all the contacts they have passed on in order to advise them to self-isolate. If they cannot do so after 10 calls, they are advised to move on to the next case.

In total, fewer than four in five of those who test positive are reached by contact tracers, of whom less than four in five pass on contacts. And of those, less than three-quarters of contacts are reached, equating to overall coverage of 46 per cent.

It’s no use shouting ‘back to work’ when Britain’s industries are in a jobs meltdown 

“Cries of “back to work!” sound as moronic as the old Tory exhortation to get on your bike and look for a job – not a meaningful answer to an unprecedented emergency, but yet another indication that the gap between rhetoric and reality is now so huge that it is starting to look downright absurd.”

I recently spent a weekday afternoon in the centre of Bristol, chasing the small comforts of retail therapy, and trying to do my bit for a few of my favourite shops. The experience was dreamlike, and unsettling: businesses smattered with hazard tape, half-deserted streets, and a rush hour that seemed to amount to little more than a few momentary traffic jams. Most of the city’s office workers, it seemed, were either furloughed or working at home. Normality – whatever that is – was nowhere to be seen; perhaps the most forlorn sight was that of empty buses adorned with faded adverts for films that came out before the pandemic.

The same day, alluding to both Rishi Sunak’s “eat out to help out” scheme and the near silence of our business districts, the front page of the Daily Mail featured the headline “We’ve had our lunch, now let’s get back to work!”. Returning to workplaces in the midst of a possible second wave is a self-evidently dire prospect; big companies from Google to Mastercard have recently told their employees they can remain at home. But here was another example of the idea – indicative of the reflexive Tory belief that we are at heart a nation of idlers, and lately voiced by such fans of the work ethic as Iain Duncan Smith and Kirstie Allsopp – that we might be able to return to the pre-Covid world by a sheer act of collective will.

The truth, of course, is that making that argument in the midst of such a grave crisis is not just cruel and condescending, but a denial of huge changes to working lives that might turn out to be a lasting social shift. Besides, how can you report for work if your job has gone? As the Bank of England projects a fall in GDP of nearly 10%, the list of high street names who are either shedding staff, or warning that they soon will, now extends into the distance: WH Smith, Pizza Express, Dixons Carphone, Boots, Pret a Manger. In the first two days of this month, 4,500 jobs were cut by major British employers.

Independent businesses, too, are staring into the void: I know of cafe proprietors who reckon they are doing no more than 25% of their pre-Covid trade, and pub owners who say that a combination of staffing costs and dismal customer numbers means that they will soon have to give up.

There is another aspect of our mounting jobs crisis that is still overlooked. Contrary to the idea that we are now a nation of shoppers and service industries, Britain still has a manufacturing sector, a lot of it located beyond our major cities, and a rare source of skilled, well-paid employment. And here, the news is not only just as depressing, but replete with the sense of a country at risk of losing something whose absence will make the future even more perilous. Jobs in aerospace, automotive production and much more besides are disappearing at speed; both management and unions are crying out for dedicated help from the government, apparently in vain.

Between its retailing and manufacturing wings, the UK car industry is reckoned to have already lost 11,000 jobs. Given that the prime minister affects a fondness for buses, he may or may not be aware that Alexander Dennis, a manufacturer of double-deckers whose key site is in Falkirk, are set to cut hundreds of staff. Given the awful state of demand for air travel, in such places as Derby, the south Wales valleys, the parts of north Wales just beyond Chester and the industrial cluster that sits on the northern edge of Bristol, aerospace is in equally dire straits. Airbus intends to shed 1,700 British jobs; the figure for Rolls-Royce is 3,000.

The fates of troubled workplaces are closely linked to those of scores of smaller businesses – from the makers of all-important parts, to hotels and caterers. Just about all of the key firms, moreover, are unionised, with cultures far from the kind of flimsy, insecure practices increasingly common in other parts of the economy. Perhaps the most vivid example is the cluster of aerospace factories in Northern Ireland, which extends from the transport manufacturing giant Bombardier to two major producers of aeroplane seats. Prior to March, Brexit was these businesses’ biggest worry; now, what remains of 2020 will fuse those concerns with the misery and anxiety of immediate job losses.

Even if many jobs are shed via voluntary redundancy schemes, that still means a huge loss of opportunity for future generations. Besides, many of the people involved say they expect an initial round of job losses to be followed by more. And in places that have already been through 40 years of deindustrialisation, what will replace the work that is lost? People may just about be able to find work as security guards, Amazon “associates” and delivery drivers, but that is no foundation for the future.

Even if most of the businesses in question are still based on carbon-intensive technologies, if Britain is to get anywhere near a Green New Deal, their workers’ skills will be indispensable, particularly if these companies are to be made more environmentally sustainable. You can’t engineer a greener future if there are no engineers around to do it.

By way of parrying our burgeoning economic disaster, the government has its across-the-board job retention scheme, but after the tapered phase that began at the end of July, it will soon come to a close.

Last month, the government repromoted its plan to give £200m in grants to boost research and development to make air travel “safer and greener”; manufacturers have also drawn on state-backed loans and help with exports. But all this pales in comparison to what is happening elsewhere. France has launched a €15bn (£13.5bn) support plan for its aerospace industry, exchanging government help for faster progress towards greener aviation; Germany has established a €50bn industrial fund aimed at “climate change, innovation and digitisation”.

Both countries, moreover, have systems in place that will continue subsidising short-time working to protect jobs – something the Labour party is now loudly proposing, but the Johnson government still refuses to do.

The prime minister and his allies still profess to be driven by the idea of “levelling up” the parts of the country that are still defined by the economic disasters and Conservative cruelties of the past. But whatever he says is increasingly drowned out by the sound of doors closing and redundancy payments dropping into bank accounts. Between thinly populated town and city centres and factories frantically cutting back their payrolls, we are now in a watershed moment that will decide our economic future, and whether we will retain the industrial strength necessary for a green future, and at least reduce the damage caused by our exit from Europe.

Cries of “back to work!” sound as moronic as the old Tory exhortation to get on your bike and look for a job – not a meaningful answer to an unprecedented emergency, but yet another indication that the gap between rhetoric and reality is now so huge that it is starting to look downright absurd.

• John Harris is a Guardian columnist

Mid Devon is second council to recommend pulling out of major homes plan

Welcome news – Mid Devon turkeys unlikely to be voting for Christmas! A full account of the reasons – Owl

Daniel Clark www.devonlive.com

Mid Devon has joined East Devon in recommending withdrawing from what was due to be a major blueprint for development across the Greater Exeter region.

The Greater Exeter Strategic Plan is set to provide the overall spatial strategy and level of housing and employment land required across Exeter, East Devon, Mid Devon and Teignbridge in the period to 2040.

But while Exeter and Teignbridge councils had recommended going out to consultation on the draft policies and site options document, East Devon District Council’s Strategic Planning Committee have proposed instead pulling out of GESP, with their full council to make a decision on August 20.

And going against the recommendations of officers, Mid Devon’s Cabinet last Thursday voted in favour of recommending to a full council meeting on August 26 that Mid Devon withdraws from the Greater Exeter Strategic Plan.

Putting forward his call to withdrawn from the process, Cllr Luke Taylor said: “As we understand what our involvement will actually be, there are grave concerns. There could be a significant number of more houses in Mid Devon than what we are legally required to build and you only have to look at some of the sites in Exeter, many of the sites are largely unachievable – such as Marsh Barton and Sowton – and seem to be plucked out of thin air.

Councillor Luke Taylor (Bradninch, Liberal Democrats)

“What this means for Mid Devon is those sites are unachievable, then many of the sites in Mid Devon will go ahead and we will end up with more housing and I have serious concerns over the number.

“And with the Mid Devon sites, there is not a significant amount of employment and commercial opportunity, but what we are doing is creating more of a suburb of Exeter and it becomes Exeter centric rather than being about all of the districts.”

He said that he ‘could not support GESP as it stands’, and recommended that cabinet believes the GESP presents Mid Devon with an unacceptable risk of housing numbers not supported by any housing needs, and that they recommended to full council for to withdraw from the GESP.

Cllr Alex White added: “Not to have key requirements of jobs and employment development within the centres is a huge concern. In Crediton, there could be 4,000 houses but no mention of how we are going to create jobs. This plan just funnels people as quickly as possible from Crediton to Exeter when we want to see the wealth shared. The plan misses a huge trick.”

Cllr Ashley Wilce said that it was a plan for a ‘Greater Exeter’ and not the ‘Greater Exeter Geographical area’, while Cllr Frank Letch said that the other authorities were being asked to solve Exeter’s problem of not being able to provide enough sites to meet their housing need, and added: “People are worried we are picking up the litter from Exeter’s problems.”

GESP allocation for the North of Exeter

GESP allocation for the North of Exeter

Leader of the council, Cllr Bob Deed, said that the 39 sites included in the site’s option are only indicative at this point, but have obviously generated a considerable amount of interest, with sites to the south of Crediton, around Newton St Cyres, Culm Garden Village, Hartnoll Farm to the east of Tiverton, and south of Sampford Peverell among the options.

He added: “I would hope the Mid Devon will not be seen as a local authority that cannot work with other authorities and any decision generally comes with advantages and disadvantage. As leader of this council I’m extremely keen to ensure that any decision on GESP does not have an exceptionally negative effect on the district.”

The cabinet voted by seven votes to one to recommend to full council that Mid Devon does withdrawn from GESP, brings forward the review of the Local Plan, and starts to discuss with partners a joint framework for planning and infrastructure, but that the allocations and targets for housing remain with the Local Plan.

The GESP document outlines policies for how development should take place, as well as 39 sites where major housing or employment land could be allocated, although not all of the sites would have been taken forward to the final version of the GESP.

More reaction from neighbours on Greater Exeter Strategic Plan – GESP- It’s fraying at the edges!

Yesterday Owl posted the news that Mid Devon cabinet had voted to recommend withdrawal from GESP.

Owl also reported on the secret group, including Simon Jupp MP, planning, in the shadows, how “Exeter will ensure that the desired transformational housing agenda known as Liveable Exeter Garden City is achieved” .

Below Owl reports the latest news from Teignbridge – who look to be having second thoughts.

Below that Owl reports on a section of Daniel Clark’s latest article on  the GESP, widely reported in the local papers, but which omitted a section discussing what the other Councils have said. (Only reported on Devon Live)

www.inyourarea.co.uk 

Councillors in Newton Abbot want more info on housing plans

By Lewis Clarke 9 August

The Teignbridge Local Plan, adopted in 2014 and already in action, demands that 621 new homes are built across the district each year until 2033.

Newton Abbot Town Council has called for further information about proposed additional housing for the town.The Teignbridge Local Plan, adopted in 2014 and already in action, demands that 621 new homes are built across the district each year until 2033.

More than 4,200 of the properties are going up in Newton Abbot, Devon.

But the Government has increased the district’s annual build figure to 760 with the plan likely to be extended to 2040.

Where the extra properties could be accommodated is being considered under a scheme called the Greater Exeter Strategic Plan (GESP).

One of the areas earmarked is Houghton Barton West along the A383 Ashburton Road.

The GESP states: ‘The wider Newton Abbot, Kingsteignton and Kingskerswell area is a significant employment and housing location… and there is potential to continue to develop its role with additional homes and employment.”

On July 7 Teignbridge District Council’s Executive agreed to proceed with GESP public consultation starting in September.

Two weeks later, Newton Abbot Town Council voted in favour of creating a task force to consider the draft plan when published.

One Newton Abbot member, Cllr Mike Hocking, told colleagues that he feared Newton Abbot becoming ‘a suburb of Exeter’.

Days afterwards one of the GESP partners, East Devon District Council (EDDC), announced it was withdrawing from the scheme.

Then on July 29 Teignbridge Council declared that its GESP involvement was on ‘pause’ while it considered the implications of EDDC’s action.

But Teignbridge warned that the higher annual build figure of 760 would still have to be met.

The two other GESP partners, Mid Devon District Council and Exeter City Council, have yet to announce their positions.

Now Newton Abbot Town Council has confirmed its intention to scrutinise any further expansion of the town.

Mayor Cllr Richard Jenks said: “We acknowledge Teignbridge’s decision to put GESP on pause but Newton Abbot remains a contender for more homes.

“We will look at the details when available and work to ensure the best outcome for the town.

“Our powers are limited but we will be the voice of Newton Abbot, loud and clear.”

 

Blueprint for future of Greater Exeter and 39 key building sites (extract)

Daniel Clark www.devonlive.com

WHAT HAVE THE OTHER COUNCILS SAID?

Cllr Rachel Sutton, Exeter City Council’s Lead Councillor for the GESP, said: “It is disappointing given the immense work that has been invested in the plan by all the authorities for EDDC to now withdraw from the GESP.

“We are entering into a period of massive uncertainty because of Covid-19, Brexit and probably the worst recession in living memory, and uncertainty in the planning policy framework is not helpful to anyone, especially the development and construction sector.

“We will now need to reflect on what this decision means for the city and our neighbours. ECC will be progressing our new local plan.”

Leader of Teignbridge District Council, Cllr Gordon Hook, said: “We need to take stock of the current situation and pause to consider the implications of East Devon’s full council decision when it is made.

“Depending on this outcome, Members will consider what options are available to them, that best meet the needs of all our residents and meet our statutory obligations. We will review all the options available to understand the benefits and drawbacks so that we can make a sensible, informed and pragmatic decision.

“In the meantime we will continue to work with our neighbouring district council partners to plan and deliver societal and economic benefits for all our residents, such as affordable housing and infrastructure.”

However, Cllr Richard Daws, from the Newton Says No group on Teignbridge District Council, welcomed the move. He said: “Last week we raised exactly the same concerns about GESP to Teignbridge Council, but were lone voices. It is a pre COVID plan no longer fit for purpose for a post COVID world. Alongside that, it ties us more strongly into Teignbridge’s overstated housing numbers. Targets that even the Lib Dems acknowledged are too high, but they seem powerless to even try to challenge (beyond writing a letter to no10).

“We salute the Democratic Alliance in East Devon for showing moral leadership and calling out this reckless plan for what it is. We want to work on a new Local Plan, focusing on sustainable housing in sustainable locations, not large expensive estates on greenfield sites we have been blighted with over the last decade.”

WHAT ABOUT MID DEVON?

Mid Devon District Council has yet to discuss the GESP, with their meeting over whether they take part in the consultation process scheduled for August 6, with the recommendation from officers to take part.

But Liberal Democrat Councillors in Mid Devon will be asking members of the ruling Cabinet to immediately pause involvement in the current Greater Exeter Strategic Plan at the cabinet meeting. August 2020……..[We know the result – Owl]

Honiton mayor responds to claims of ineffectiveness

Parish pump politics – an update on a long running one.

The mayor of Honiton Town Council and a community group have clashed over the council’s effectiveness.

Last week, mayor John Zarczynski published a list of projects the town council was working on in response to criticism from Honiton Forward that they were ‘doing nothing’.

In the publication, Cllr Zarczynski said the council was working on projects such as allotments, improvements to pathways and restoring mill streams among others.

Honiton Forward said they felt the list was created ‘to demonstrate lots of action when actually nothing tangible is being done on any of these things’.

They said: “There is little indication of any project that Honiton Town Council has conceived, consulted about, funded and implemented. The sole exception is the plan for allotments which the council has a duty to provide but which is many years late.

“If the council was serious about progressing projects for the benefit of the community, there would be a list of them on the council website, the minutes of… meetings would be littered with progress reports and council budgets would show what funds had been earmarked towards which projects. These things are almost entirely absent.”

In response to Honiton Forward’s statement, Cllr Zarczynski said: “Unfortunately, projects in progress had to be put on hold due to the coronavirus lockdown. Now government restrictions are slowly being lifted, councillors are looking forward to working towards delivering the projects in progress

“I agree the council website is long overdue for upgrading and I can confirm full council resolved £5,000 over a year ago for the upgrade. I can also confirm the delay in upgrading the council’s website is due to administrative issues and not serving councillors.

“I also point out that full council minutes do not always reflect the full extent of debate on agenda items with councillors being named only when necessary as this would be too time consuming for officers of the council. I fully appreciate not all members of the public are able to attend council meetings. Council fully supports council meetings should be recorded and posted in the best interests of transparency so members of the public are better informed.

 

Second home sales soar as middle classes quit cities

“Sales of second homes are booming as the metropolitan middle classes seek country boltholes in case of a second wave of coronavirus.”

Left unchecked this is potentially an insatiable demand which hollows out permanent communities, pushes up prices and puts pressure to build on green fields.  Second homers can always outbid the locally employed because of huge regional wage differentials.  – Owl

Andrew Ellson Consumer Affairs Correspondent The Times

The stamp duty holiday is also encouraging people who have been considering splashing out on a rural retreat to take the plunge, according to market experts.

Coreco, the mortgage broker, says applications from people buying second homes are up more than 30 per cent since lockdown eased compared with the same time last year.

Andrew Montlake, managing director of the company, said: “Lots of my clients have been thinking about it for a while. Lockdown was a big factor and has given them time to contemplate their future.

“They are also thinking that if we are going to go into lockdown again they might as well be somewhere nice rather than in London or the City. Most believe they will also be working more flexibly ‘in future so are looking for places with an office and garden.” He added that people are buying at locations across the country but Norfolk, Devon and Cornwall were favourites.

Many second-home buyers pay with cash but those who need to borrow can benefit from record low interest rates. Provided they have a significant deposit and secure income, five-year, fixed-rate loans are available at less than 1.5 per cent. Brokers said many buyers had large amounts of eqtiity in their first property so were borrowing against that to provide cash deposits.

Homeowners were also buying second properties to let out as holiday accommodation. Lea Karasavvas, of Prolific Mortgage Finance, said: “Holiday lets are so hot right now. With concerns over travel, coronavirus not going away, people are seeing a new opportunity.”

However, not all property experts believe now is a good time to buy. Henry Pryor, a buying agent, said: “My advice to prospective second-home owners is to wait. There are lots of credible voices, such as the Bank of England and Halifax, who think prices might be 5 to 10 per cent lower in a year.”

Exmouth seafront rejuvenation gets underway with art project

 

Exmouth seafront rejuvenation gets underway with art project

By Lewis Clarke www.inyourarea.co.uk 

Earlier in the month, the Exmouth, Devon, community, including artists and creatives, were asked in a local call out to share how they wanted to shape Exmouth’s creative journey

Thelma Hulbert Gallery (THG) has selected the 60 local artists, creatives and organisations to complete the final stage of the rejuvenation of a section of the Exmouth seafront, known as the Abode of Love.

Earlier in the month, the Exmouth, Devon, community, including artists and creatives, were asked in a local call out to share how they wanted to shape Exmouth’s creative journey.

A panel including local artist Anna Fitzgerald, designer Gary Cook, Exmouth councillor Joe Whibley, Ruth Gooding (THG) and Harriet Bates (Infusion art café) selected 60 participants from the respondents including artists, performers, musicians, writers and designers.

Volunteers at Abode of Love

Over the past few weeks, Exmouth artist Anna Fitzgerald and a team of volunteers and helpers started work on the commission ‘To be continued..’ transforming the Abode of Love with vibrant, coloured pixels.

The successful applicants will now be invited on August 5 to ‘make their mark’ on one of the pixels of the Abode of Love, pledging their commitment to Exmouth’s creative future.

This commission paves the way towards a dynamic, participatory public art project planned for 2021 when partners and groups will come together to help shape the site. They will include Exmouth Town Council, East Devon District Council, Exmouth Artists and young people from Exmouth schools and communities groups.

Councillor Joe Whibley, the district council’s Lead Member for Culture and a ward member for Exmouth Town where the project is taking place, said: “Exmouth is a dynamic area with a creative spirit. It is great that the community has embraced this project, and I look forward to seeing how it evolves alongside lots of exciting developments happening on the seafront.”

Ruth THG Curator explained: “We have had so much interest in this project. This year we are excited to present a snapshot of the creative community in Exmouth and look forward to seeing how the project develops next year working with local communities and celebrating Exmouth.”

Anna Fitzgerald added: “Exmouth has many brilliant artists and creatives and it is great to have this opportunity to work together building and strengthening our creative networks.”

THG and Anna Fitzgerald are inviting Exmouth residents to visit the Abode of Love on Saturday, August 8, to see the results of the new commission.

‘Bonfire of jobs’ in autumn to undermine V-shaped recovery

One in three companies is preparing to cut jobs by the end of September, undermining hopes of a V-shaped recovery as Britain heads for an official recession.

Louisa Clarence-Smith www.thetimes.co.uk 
A survey of more than 2,000 employers found that the number of businesses planning to cut jobs had risen in three months from 22 per cent to 33 per cent.

The quarterly poll by CIPD, the human resources body, and Adecco Group, a recruiter, comes amid growing concerns of a “jobs bonfire” in the autumn. Businesses have to decide whether or not to retain staff who have been on furlough as the government’s job retention scheme starts to unwind before it is terminated in October.

Gerwyn Davies, of the CIPD, said: “Redundancies have been low — no doubt due to the job retention scheme — but we expect to see more redundancies this autumn, especially in the private sector once the scheme closes. Hiring confidence is rising tentatively but this probably won’t be enough to offset the rise in redundancies and the number of new graduates and school leavers entering the labour market.”

Nearly 1,800 companies told the government of plans to cut a total of more than 139,000 jobs in June, according to a freedom of information request by the BBC. Royal Mail, Centrica and the Restaurant Group, which owns Frankie and Benny’s, are among employers planning thousands of job cuts.

The restaurant and casual dining sector has shed 22,000 jobs this year, according to the Centre for Retail Research, which predicts further pain.

Hospitality, transport and retail businesses are most likely to cut jobs, the CIPD/Adecco survey found. Employment confidence is highest in healthcare and public administration.

The survey found that 38 per cent of private sector employers are planning to make redundancies, twice as many as the public sector. A rise in unemployment is likely to be accompanied by a pay squeeze for workers.

Companies planning to carry out pay reviews expect basic pay to rise by 1 per cent, half the 2 per cent median increase expected this time last year.

The economy is set to officially enter recession this week after falling by a record 20 per cent in the second quarter. The latest GDP figures covering April to June will be released on Wednesday, showing that the economy has met the definition of recession by recording two successive quarters of decline.

GDP fell by 2.2 per cent in the first three months of the year. It collapsed by a record 20.4 per cent in April as the lockdown paralysed the economy, before rising by 1.8 per cent in May.

The level of unemployment will be a key factor in determining how quickly the economy recovers.

Simon French, chief economist at Panmure Gordon, said that a V-shape recovery had already looked remote. “This data simply reinforces that picture that is painted by other sentiment data, recent mobility trends and historical responses of businesses and households to recessions,” he said.

Lucy Powell, the shadow business minister, said the government needed to “urgently rethink its rigid approach” to cutting off the furlough scheme in October and called for targeted assistance to help businesses still shut as a result of the pandemic. “They’ve said they can’t save every job but we’re seeing a jobs bonfire,” she said. “They need to target their support at the hardest-hit sectors or be responsible for another wave of mass redundancies.”

Rishi Sunak, the chancellor, said last week that it would not be fair to extend the furlough scheme indefinitely. “We shouldn’t pretend there is in every case a job to go back to,” he told Sky News.

He has set out a “plan for jobs”, including offering a job retention bonus of £1,000 for every furloughed employee retained in January.

Britain doesn’t have a government, it has a permanent campaigning machine 

The government’s frenetic campaign to “save our summer” has suspended the normal rules of the silly season. Amid the many confusing and shifting statements about the lockdown, No 10 has announced: a “strategy” to reduce obesity; “plans” for a “cycling and walking revolution”; a “bonfire” of planning laws; and, more ominously, the establishment of a panel to reassess judicial limits to state power.

Alan Finlayson www.theguardian.com 

You might have even missed the start of an online consultation on flood risk management in Carlisle, the £450,000 spent repairing a flood wall in Hereford, or chancellor Rishi Sunak’s visit to Stokesley, North Yorkshire, to learn about flood alleviation. Meanwhile, 127 employers were given awards for supporting the armed forces, transport secretary Grant Shapps announced £589m to “kickstart rail upgrades across the north”, plans for “congestion-busting” near Swindon were “unveiled” and a monument to the battle at Gallipoli restored.

Twenty years ago, Conservatives accused New Labour of “initiative-itis” and “legislative incontinence”, endlessly moving from one gimmicky announcement to the next. The current government appears to suffer from a similar affliction. Young governments, like young people, are eager to prove themselves and be approved, but short on patience – and ambitious personnel in government departments are keen to demonstrate their “on-message” competence.

This government’s initiative-itis is, of course, also about politicking. (No 10 – not for the first time in its history – is staffed by campaigners in place of policy specialists.) The pandemic and Brexit are both complex policy challenges that our government has proved uniquely ill-equipped to address. Governing by announcement is a way to distract the press and the public from the truth of this incompetence.

Bashing judges, praising veterans and publicising investment in “The North” is red meat to throw at one part of the electorate. Appearing serious about diet, exercise and green transport is the vegan meat substitute for another.

This permanent campaigning mindset is how we do government now. The phenomenon of the “permanent campaign” was named in a 1980 book by the American journalist and political adviser Sidney Blumenthal. His argument was that government decision-making was increasingly based on assessments not of what might be good policy, but of what would look good, keep sponsors on board and appeal to key voters. Government was reduced to “an instrument designed to sustain an elected official’s popularity”. The tail was wagging the dog.

Boris Johnson’s permanent campaign is symptomatic of a deeper change in our politics. Even before the Tories won the 2019 election, Britain was becoming a “post-democracy”. One of the founding propositions of 20th-century mass democracy has been that government should act not for the few, but for everyone. Inherent within this idea is a concept of “the public interest”, or “the common good”. We might not be sure what that is – and we certainly won’t be able to agree on it. But in a democracy, so the argument goes, we can come together politically and our representatives will broker a settlement between the competing interests of various social, economic and political groups.

Such groups are now more complex and less stable. People’s occupational, economic and even geographic locations are more likely to vary over a lifetime. Connections between distinct social interests and their political representatives have been attenuated. In our post-democracy, aggregations of individual tastes and preferences, expressed through opinion polls and surveys, have displaced parties and other civic forums as the means by which government comes to understand “the people”. Instead of public interest, we now find public opinion. Indeed, this government spent more on polling between January and May this year than in the whole of 2019.

In place of elections or collective deliberation, opinion polls serve as an ongoing referendum on the government, providing constantly updated information about people’s attitudes and reactions, vital for the formation of campaign strategies. There is an argument that this has been a good thing. It means that government is continually apprised of and attentive to public opinion, able to incorporate public concerns within policy-making. If people want a war memorial repaired, and if, in search of their support, politicians repair it, then perhaps democracy is working well.

A counter-argument is that governments are no longer experts in governing. Instead, they can think only according to short-term campaign strategies, choosing to do what is most popular rather than what is best for people. As the academic and former government adviser Patrick Diamond puts it, this damaging short-termism becomes endemic. A government focused on “eye-catching” initiatives, as we have seen, is not preparing for or equipped to deal with a pandemic.

In our post-democracy, “public opinion” is not only a source of policy. It’s also an object of policy. Public attitudes, outlooks and behaviour are now a central focus of government policy – the goal of which is not to change the situations people find themselves in, but to change people’s feelings about their situations. Post-democratic government is not unconcerned with what you think or want or need. But it doesn’t require your participation. It just needs to know how you might respond to the various things it might do to you.

What the prime minister’s chief adviser, Dominic Cummings, understands that most politicians do not is that polling, surveys and focus groups don’t tell you what people think or what public opinion definitively “is”. They provide a rough map of possibilities and probabilities of what people might come to think, depending on various potential scenarios and actions. In the leave campaign, different versions of adverts were tested, refined and retested in what Cummings has called a “constant iterative process” and combined with feedback from polls and focus groups. In government, this approach has turned the Tories’ permanent campaign into a permanent experiment, the endless measuring and testing of means for managing and shaping political attitudes.

We are the subjects of this ongoing experiment, the single data points in a larger firmament. That, in post-democracy, is what constitutes citizenship. And while it won’t save summer, it might – as you enjoy your half-price Sunak-branded meal next Monday, Tuesday or Wednesday – change how you feel about its loss.

• Alan Finlayson is professor of political and social theory at the University of East Anglia

£6million for East Devon projects from Government’s Getting Building Fund

“Karl Tucker, chairman of the Heart of the South West, said: “Each of the projects will support growth of the local economy and deliver the LEP’s outcomes.” [Enhance Future Skills (ex Flybe) Academy and three-storey building at Skypark]

Delivering LEP outcomes! – Doesn’t inspire Owl’s confidence this will be money well spent.

 

The Government’s £6million investment in East Devon schemes to help kickstart the economy has been welcomed.

 

The Getting Building Fund will provide support to fast-track a number of schemes in the county to be delivered by January 2022.

Heart of the South West Local Enterprise Partnership (LEP) has been allocated £35.4million – with two projects in East Devon given £6million – from the £900million national fund.

A scheme to enhance the Future Skills Academy – formerly the Flybe Training Academy – based at Exeter Airport received £1million.

A project to construct a new three-storey office and laboratory building at Exeter Science Park was given £5million.

East Devon MP Simon Jupp welcomed the central government investment.

He said: “This is a huge boost for East Devon which recognises that we live in a great place to invest in people.

“I’ll continue to work with the government to help ensure we come back stronger.”

County councillor Rufus Gilbert, cabinet member for economy and skills, said: “Devon’s economy is expected to be one of the hardest hit by the impact of the coronavirus epidemic, and this announcement from the Government is extremely welcome and endorses the priorities set out in Team Devon’s recovery plans for the county.

“It demonstrates the value of working closely together and we’re continuing to work closely with the LEP on future programmes of investment.

“We’re united in our efforts to restart, regrow and reset our economy to enable Devon to emerge stronger and the projects highlighted through this funding will play a major part in that.”

Karl Tucker, chairman of the Heart of the South West, said: “Each of the projects will support growth of the local economy and deliver the LEP’s outcomes.

“We welcome the Getting Building Fund to start new projects and accelerate projects across the Heart of the South West.

“We recognise that there are still many other important projects that we identified in our area that currently remain unfunded.

“We will continue to work with Government to secure future funding to further invest in our recovery pipeline.”

Dr Sally Basker, chief executive officer of Exeter Science Park, said they are ‘thrilled’ the ‘grow out’ building has been awarded a Getting Building Fund grant.

Work to start on £550k ‘amphitheatre’ flood prevention scheme in Sidmouth

Work is set to begin on a £550,000 flood prevention scheme in Sidmouth that will double as a public amphitheatre.

East Devon Reporter eastdevonnews.co.uk 
The first phase of the ‘dual-purpose’ project at the Knowle is set to get under way on Monday, August 17.

It is part of a wider Devon County Council (DCC) initiative which aims to reduce flood risk to more than 100 homes and businesses nearby and in the town centre.

New drainage will be installed in Station Road to divert surface water away from the properties.

It will then run down a wildflower-lined swale into a newly-formed amphitheatre in the grounds of the Knowle.

An underground storage system will initially hold the floodwater – with a capacity for one-in-30-year storm event.

The amphitheatre’s tiered sections can also be filled, as needed, in more extreme weather.

Its above-ground section has capacity for up to half-a-metre of water – which would be the result of a once-in–century storm.

Work on the first phase is expected to be finished in November.

The design of the Sidmouth flood alleviation scheme for Knowle. Image: Devon County Council

The design of the Sidmouth flood alleviation scheme for Knowle. Image: Devon County Council

A DCC spokesperson said: “The scheme has been designed with the public open space nature of the Knowle in mind, moving away from a more traditional bund arrangement to one that can enhance the parkland and provide an amenity area for the community when the scheme is not required for floodwater storage.”

Councillor Stuart Hughes, cabinet member for highway management and local member for Sidmouth, said: “I’m delighted that the first phase of this well-thought-out scheme is commencing.

“It ticks two very important boxes by reducing the flood risk to so many businesses and properties in the town and, also, with the ongoing uncertainty caused by Covid-19, the amphitheatre provides a unique outdoor feature for Sidmouth that I’m certain will be well used including future folk festivals.

“It’s a win-win for the town.”

An artist's impression of the flood prevention scheme at Knowle in Sidmouth. Image: Devon County Council

An artist’s impression of the flood prevention scheme at Knowle in Sidmouth. Image: Devon County Council

Cllr Ian Barlow, chairman of Sidmouth Town Council, added: “It’s great that a functional scheme to help with surface drainage can enhance the area and provide a useful community space for events while protecting it at the same time.

“Thanks have to go to Devon County Council and their engineers on producing this scheme, clearly demonstrating that helping to protect people doesn’t have to be visually intrusive and non-functional.”

The second phase of the scheme will focus on drainage improvements within the town.

It is currently being developed and expected to be delivered ‘next financial year’, says DCC.

UK poised to suffer the biggest Covid blow of any major economy

Economy shrinks by 23pc over the first half of 2020 due to drop in consumer spending during lockdown

By Russell Lynch, Economics Editor and Tom Rees 9 August 2020  www.telegraph.co.uk 

The UK will suffer the heaviest Covid-19 impact of any major country this week as signs of faltering spending raise fears that the recovery is already running out of steam.

City forecasters predict official figures will show a 21.3pc collapse in ­output between April and June, when the economy languished in lockdown.

The slump will wipe 23pc off the UK’s £2.2 trillion economy in the first half of 2020, after a 2.2pc hit in the first quarter.

The damage to the UK is expected to be twice as severe as the 10.6pc blow taken by the US economy.

David Page, senior economist at Axa Investment Managers, said: “It is going to be the worst quarter that anybody has ever seen.

“We entered the lockdown relatively later than the European economies which puts more of the lockdown in the second quarter. But we also kept non-essential retail closed for longer.”

The Bank of England has warned that the UK is more exposed to lockdowns due to its higher share of “social consumption” in the economy. Spending on activities involving interaction with other people – such as cinemas, restaurants or live sports – accounts for around 13pc of the UK economy, compared with around 11pc in the US and 10pc in the Eurozone.

The Bank forecasts an 18pc bounceback in the current quarter as shoppers resume spending, but Mr Page added that “it is difficult to see it maintaining that pace”.

Philip Shaw, chief economist at Investec, added: “The test will come in the autumn when there are no further ‘lockdown releases’ to boost the ­economy, some restrictions – perhaps just local – are imposed and programmes such as the furlough scheme are wound up.”

Confidence is being sapped by concerns over another wave of job losses after Barclays economists warned that spending growth was “peaking” in late July. New Bank of America data also suggested that job worries are back at the peaks reached during lockdown, dampening the recovery as households slam the brakes on purchases.

The furlough scheme is being wound down ahead of its end in October. The bank’s consumer confidence indicator has also pulled back to its lowest level since mid-June, driven by unemployment fears.

Robert Wood, economist at Bank of America, said “caution abounds over medium-term spending plans” and consumers that saved during lockdown are now more hesitant about purchases.

Fabrice Montagne, chief UK economist at Barclays, also warned of rising consumer concerns, adding: “The fears of unemployment when policy support is phased out will likely act as a drag.”

However, spending in some of the ­industries hardest hit by Covid-19, including retail, restaurants and hotels, has rebounded back to last year’s levels, revealed Barclays. Britons increasingly switched spending from the likes of food and drink to hospitality as consumers “normalise” their purchases, said Mr Montagne.

It came as OpenTable figures revealed that diners have rushed back to restaurants to take advantage of the Chancellor’s discount scheme. The number of seated diners from online, phone or walk-in reservations was back in positive territory year-on-year for the first time since early March on Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday.

Social care at breaking point in England after ‘lost decade’ – report

Policymakers’ failure to tackle chronically underfunded social care has resulted in a “lost decade” and a system now at breaking point, according to a report.

Nazia Parveen www.theguardian.com

A team led by Jon Glasby, a professor of health and social care at the University of Birmingham, says that without swift government intervention including urgent funding changes England’s adult social care system could quickly become unsustainable.

Adult social care includes residential care homes and help with eating, washing, dressing and shopping. The paper says the impact has been particularly felt in services for older people. Those for working-age people have been less affected.

It suggests that despite the legitimate needs of other groups “it is hard to interpret this other than as the product of ageist attitudes and assumptions about the role and needs of older people”.

The paper says local authority spending on adult social care increased in real terms until 2011, but has since declined despite increases in need and demand. Gross spending fell by 8% between 2009-10 and 2015-16. Spending on nursing care for older people in 2018 was only about £4.5bn, against a projected spending need of £7bn, it says.

report from the Institute for Fiscal Studies confirms the findings. Local authority spending on adult social care in England fell by 8% in real terms between 2009–10 and 2016–17, though it was protected relative to spending on other local authority services.

The population has also been growing, so spending per adult fell by 13.5% in England over the same period. The Local Government Association estimated in 2018 that adult social care services would face a funding gap of £1.5bn by 2019-20 and £3.5bn by 2024-25.

Under the last Labour government, Glasby provided research in 2010 for a white paper which argued that the current system was broken. The review set out three scenarios for reform and spending. If no action was taken, real costs would double within a decade, it concluded.

After a change in government the same year, however, the changes and ambitious plans for a “national care service” were not implemented. Glasby, who is also a qualified social care worker, said an austerity agenda led to a decade of spending cuts, service pressures and a growing sense of crisis.

“Not only were these warnings not heeded, but the situation has since got worse. When social care for older people is cut to the bone, lives are blighted, distress and pressure increase and the resilience of individuals and their families is ground down,” he said.

“Yet this happens slowly, day by day, week by week and month by month. It is not sudden, dramatic or hi-tech in the way a crisis in an A&E department may be, and tends to attract less media, political and popular attention … With yet more urgency than in 2010 we warn: doing nothing is not an option.”

The new research compares what happened in practice from 2010 to 2019, when reform stalled and austerity had a significant negative impact.

“While the situation is urgent, the human misery caused by this ‘lost decade’ is not as visible as financial pressures on more prominent, popular and better understood services, such as hospitals or schools,” Glasby said.

“In 2010, we were adamant that doing nothing was not an option. Our 2020 update shows that, without swift government intervention, the adult social care system could quickly become unsustainable. Even though this research was carried out before the start of the Covid-19 pandemic, urgent action is likely to be even more pressing in the current context.”

A coalition of councils and charities has demanded ministers publish a timetable for changes to social care and a “radical rethink”.

The call came 12 months after the prime minister promised to “fix the crisis in social care once and for all”. On 30 June, Boris Johnson said ministers were finalising their plans.

The Alzheimer’s Society, which supports carers across the UK, said its telephone support line had been inundated with carers struggling with poor-quality care and others who were unable to access the support they needed.

Fiona Carragher, the charity’s director of research and influencing, said: “It is no secret that decades of inaction on social care have created a stretched and overworked system, one that has been pushed to breaking point by the coronavirus pandemic.

“Too often they fall into the gaps between health and social care. We must learn from the pandemic and urge the government to bridge this divide by building a social care system that is free at the point of use, with costs shared across society.”

The Guardian reported last month that social care could be brought under the control of the NHS in England in a controversial move that would increase the health service’s budget to £150bn.

Downing Street has drafted in David Cameron’s former policy chief, Camilla Cavendish, to help draw up and finalise proposals to improve social care, but the Department of Health and Social Care (DHSC) denied it was planning to merge the two services.

In response to the latest report, a DHSC spokesperson said: “We know that there is a need for a long-term solution for social care, and will bring forward a plan that puts the sector on a sustainable footing to ensure the reforms will last long into the future.”

Hot news for a Hot day – Mid Devon cabinet drafts amendment to go to full Council for a decision to withdraw from GESP.

From one of Owl’s eagle eyed facebook watchers:

Mid Devon DC cabinet voted in their meeting on 6th August (7-1) for an amendment to go to full Council for a decision to withdraw from GESP. Please see link to Mid Devon Lib Dems facebook post for details, as this seems to be the only place this has been made public so far.

https://www.facebook.com/middevonlibdems/

Why build, build, build spells planning Armageddon

“The peculiarities of places are to be obliterated by startlingly crude standardised criteria devised by infantile vandals in their think tank sandpit. A levelling is to be applied with disregard for specifics. This is not merely political swinishness. It is an aesthetic crime. The absolute disregard for genius loci is a triumph of philistine stupidity.”

Jonathan Meades www.thetimes.co.uk 

One of the coarser ironies of the UK’s secession from the EU is that the government of all talents is rushing without thought or lecture to adopt a southern European tendency to build incontinently and inappropriately. This kind of construction is most evident on the coasts of Spain and Italy, where planning regulations exist, nominally, but are implemented by officials susceptible to backhanders and baksheesh.

Corruption by pot-de-vin occurs, too, in France, where the system suffers from the effects of Mitterrand-era decentralisation, which grants inordinate powers to local mayors to sanction changes of land use. This has proved fatal: building beneath friable sea dykes causes people to drown in their beds; building on potential landslips is equally irresponsible.

The UK can hardly claim that its own cumbersome planning processes are unsullied. For instance, in the 1990s the late architect Tony Rivers was told that he’d get permission for a shopping mall in a southern commuter town only if 15% of his fee went to a local architect who’d “see it through smoothly”.

Four years ago an unholy alliance of St Nicholas Hospital, a Christian alms house in Salisbury, and the Earl of Radnor’s Longford estate just outside the city announced plans to build 100 houses on a meadow beside a canalised branch of the River Avon. According to the Environment Agency’s flood map of Salisbury, the meadow does not flood.

The Salisbury Journal columnist Annie Riddle gamely published a photograph of the meadow. It showed a lake. The Barbour’d masses revolted. The planning application was withdrawn, although the thwarted developers’ PR operative, a delusionist with a promising political future, continued to insist that there was no flood. Under the new zoning system, another splendid gift from the impressive Robert Jenrick, the housing secretary, he would get his way without a fight.

Such events are doubtless a British norm. There is an increased awareness that the back yard in Nimby is not mine alone. The more land that is sacrificed to infrastructural monoliths, to buildings, to aggregates, to tarmac and concrete, the more pervious will these watery isles become to floods, bursting dams and associated disasters, unnatural disasters, micro-Anthropocene disasters. The back yard with cars in trees, collapsed bridges, floating furniture and societal chaos belongs to everyone. It’s ours. Just as local knowledge is ours — not that it counts for anything.

The peculiarities of places are to be obliterated by startlingly crude standardised criteria devised by infantile vandals in their think tank sandpit. A levelling is to be applied with disregard for specifics. This is not merely political swinishness. It is an aesthetic crime. The absolute disregard for genius loci is a triumph of philistine stupidity.

If, the “thinking” goes, it’s good for a Cumbrian fell, then it’s obviously good for a Cambridgeshire fen. Not that fells and fens will be targeted; they are too far from the southeast, where uncontrolled development or “regeneration” will achieve a level of overcrowding and overheating yet unseen because, for the past seven decades, statutory regulations have struggled to prevent it.

This government of all talents will one day no longer be with us, reduced mercifully to dust. But its squalid legacy will remain. Not simply in boorish schemes and mediocre designs, but in ruined lives, in the RAF favelas, Brit bivouacs and bidonvilles that will grow up to accommodate the disenfranchised and unsheltered who can seldom reach even the first rung of the “housing ladder” — the very epithet reeks of the expectation of entitlement. They may have been born in Blyth and made in the Royal Navy and served their country selflessly, but the nearest they’ll get as veterans to that ladder is a sleeping bag beside a hot-air vent.

And, supposing they do grapple with it, they will very likely be looking at a windowless “home” of 20 square metres, which is about two-thirds the size prescribed by the Parker Morris committee nearly 60 years ago and adopted by both main parties in an era when not to build social housing was unthinkable. There existed a cross-party consensus favouring a sort of nationalised noblesse oblige. That consensus was destroyed by Margaret Thatcher. It was in the long term the most divisive of her many divisive acts. The right to buy was the right to buy votes and steal someone else’s hope.

It also signalled the capitulation of environmental dirigisme to the god of the market. The UK’s rules were both stricter and more rigorously applied than those of the southern European countries it now seeks to emulate. They were also applied in a different manner.

Because, for many decades from the 1860s onwards, the wealth in English (though not Scottish) cities tended to live outside those then reeking cities, they had no particular investment in them domestically. With the decline of heavy industry in town centres and the gradual gentrification of London from the 1960s onwards and, later, of the main English cities, things changed. Those cities became centripetal in the way that Paris and Madrid are. Class clearance freed up space for celebrity baristas and lifestyle-size influencers.

Laissez-faire planning was the sole form of planning, bridge fetishes excepted, that appealed to the former mayor of London. If a volume builder wants to do it, let it be — build away the blues: that evidently was the mayoral mantra. The volume builder knows his stuff and he is a very great contributor, a valued donor. Laissez-faire planning — you might call it no planning or sloth planning — is this government of talents’ speciality and is to be non-applied to everything, everywhere.

And what London thinks today, Manchester thinks tomorrow. Save that it won’t work like that. Giving free rein to volume builders is a route to uglification on the most astounding scale. These people are the barrow boys of the built environment. They are enemies of architecture. Indeed, they seldom employ architects: do they get treated by amateur dentists and Sunday oncologists? All that matters is the bottom line. The little people who will subsist in the valued donors’ creations don’t count. Indeed, they would do well to get littler still, to fit into their undesigned crates and hutches.

Jonathan Meades has written and performed in more than 50 television programmes on urbanism, architecture and topography. His next book, Pedro and Ricky Come Again, will be published next spring

Nimbys may have lost the battle of the back yard
When Nimby, an American acronym for “not in my back yard”, entered the British lexicon it quickly became shorthand for the tensions between selfishness and the public good, writes Nicholas Hellen.

Margaret Thatcher’s environment secretary, Nicholas Ridley, declared his support for a swathe of new towns: “Our English countryside is one of the most heavily manmade habitats in Europe. To make it into a green museum would be to belie its whole history.”

It swiftly emerged that he had objected to new homes near his Cotswolds rectory and was a Nimby too.

Now as Robert Jenrick, the housing minister, takes charge of Boris Johnson’s pledge to “Build, build, build”, Nimbys are once again in the crosshairs.

In the 30 or so years since, the population of the UK has grown by more than 10 million to 67.9 million.

This time round, the battles will not be confined to fields, hedgerows and herbaceous borders. Nor will Nimby remain code largely for white middle-aged Tory voters keen to preserve property values and to exclude people different from themselves.

Under Jenrick’s proposed planning reforms, land across England will be divided into three categories. New homes, schools, shops and offices would be automatically permitted in “growth” areas, and in urban and brownfield sites, known as “renewal” zones, plans would be given “permission in principle”.

The most affluent areas, often Tory-controlled, will be ordered to release the most land for housing, and local control over the rate of building will in effect be removed. Disused commercial premises can be turned into homes without the need for planning permission, creating fears that empty shops will become the slums of tomorrow.

New alliances are being created. Rich developers may pose as friends of the homeless, while wealthy homeowners make common cause with environmentalists. In the era of identity politics, we are all Nimbys now.

Here we go again! Unelected Exeter Board created to oversee city from the shadows. 

“Exeter City Council has convened an unelected board that meets in private, does not publish its discussions or decisions and is taking responsibility for major policies which will determine Exeter’s future.”

Has the East Devon Business Forum transferred to Exeter? – look at all the familiar names! And is this one of the driving forces behind GESP? What has it got to do with Simon Jupp MP (or he with it)?

“Minutes of the board are not published owing to the commercial and sensitive nature of some discussions …” – Where has Owl heard that argument before?

Unelected Liveable Exeter Place Board created to oversee city from the shadows 

Exeter Observer exeterobserver.org
An assembly of the great and the good described by Exeter City Council’s chief executive, Karime Hassan, as “conscientious, talented people from all backgrounds who want to work in the best interests of the city” has been meeting in private in recent months.Its membership is unelected, it does not publish its discussions or decisions and it is taking responsibility for major policies which will determine Exeter’s future.The city council has had a predilection for such bodies for some time: recent arrangements have apparently included the Greater Exeter Visioning Board, the Exeter Local Transport Steering Board and the Greater Exeter Strategic Plan working group.

Each of these other attempts at collaboration, however opaque, have largely been driven and constituted by local authorities. This new initiative goes much further in its scope, its membership and its agenda.

What is now known as the Liveable Exeter Place Board started life in July 2019 when the council’s executive agreed a recommendation from its chief executive, Karime Hassan, to establish a Liveable Exeter Garden City Board.

The purpose of the new board was described as “the vehicle through which Exeter will ensure that the desired transformational housing agenda known as Liveable Exeter Garden City is achieved” and “to support Exeter in its mission to be recognised as a leading sustainable city and global leader in addressing the social, economic and environmental challenges of climate change and urbanisation”.

The garden city programme vision had been approved by the executive and the full council in February 2019.

Mr Hassan’s recommendation continued: “The overarching aim of the board is to provide its constituent local authorities (Exeter and Devon County Council) and partners with a forum in which to address collaboratively issues relating to housing delivery, place shaping, economic development, clean growth, and carbon neutral development at a city and sub-regional level and to enable collective decision-making on issues that require agreement from the constituent authorities and other key public sector stakeholders” (our emphasis).

Mr Hassan nevertheless stressed that nothing in the proposal was to be read as incorporating any executive functions properly exercised by councils.

The recommendations were adopted by Exeter City Council in July 2019. The chief executive was authorised to settle the terms of reference and to identify suitable members for the board, then report back to the executive when this was done.

No such report was ever received. The leader of the city council, Phil Bialyk, justified this at the June Executive committee meeting in response to a question from Councillor Diana Moore by saying: “The original draft terms of reference agreed by Council have not been amended in any meaningful way. Hence we have not reported back to Executive.”

The failure to report back to the executive meant that the membership of the board was not made public.

An enquiry to the council’s press office from Exeter Observer elicited a membership list. We subsequently established that a significant number of city councillors did not know who was on the board, a point only recently rectified at a private briefing for elected members.

The chair is Sir Steve Smith, the about-to-retire vice chancellor of Exeter University. He has been a non-executive director of the Unite Group since April 2020. Unite is a major provider of purpose-built student accommodation, including at three locations in Exeter.

He is also a board member of the Heart of the South West Local Enterprise Partnership (HotSW LEP) which describes its role as “the main thought-leader influencing economic development in the HotSW area”. It aims to deliver the Local Industrial Strategy alongside “transformational opportunities” focussed on nuclear poweraerospace and maritime industries. It is responsible for many developments across the region including numerous road building schemes.

A significant number of other place board members have known property and land interests.

Steve Hindley, until recently chair of the HotSW LEP, is chair and chief executive of Midas Group, a regional construction company that has built, among other things, several student accommodation blocks in Exeter and elsewhere.

Paul Crawford is chief executive of Livewest, a provider of affordable housing in the south west. He is also chair of lobby group Homes for the South West which argues that the government should prioritise the sale of public sector land for affordable housing.

The Earl of Devon is a major local landowner. His family seat at Powderham Castle comprises 3,500 acres of land including four farms, 33 houses and three miles of foreshore. He is an elected hereditary member of the House of Lords and a partner at legal firm Michelmores.

Julian Tagg, president of Exeter City Football Club is a director of OTR (Exeter) Ltd, a property management company.

Charles Johnston, Sport England’s Executive Director of Property, is a former Director of Construction and Facilities at Sainsbury’s.

Glenn Woodcock is a director of Oxygen House Group which owns Grenadier Estates, a residential and commercial property development company. He is also a director of Global City Futures, the consultancy behind Exeter City Futures, and sits as a governor of Exeter College alongside fellow place board members John Laramy and Matt Roach.

Tony Rowe, chairman and chief executive of the Exeter Chiefs also holds directorships in property companies.

Lady Studholme, chair of the trustees at the Northcott Theatre is, according to her Linkedin profile, a partner in the substantial Perridge Estate owned by her husband, Sir Harry Studholme, Baronet.

John Laramy, principal and chief executive of Exeter College is also a HotSW LEP board member as well as a member of the Chartered Institute of Building.

Matt Roach is managing director of Exeter International Airport and also chair of Exeter Chamber of Commerce & Industry, which represents the interests of numerous companies which are involved in property development in and around Exeter.

The major public sector institutions in the city are also represented: University of ExeterExeter CollegeMet OfficeRoyal Devon & Exeter hospital trust, Devon & Cornwall Police and both Devon County Council and Exeter City Council. Most of these organisations are substantial land and property owners in their own right.

Liveable Exeter Place Board membership

  • Chair of Board – Sir Steve Smith, Vice-Chancellor, University of Exeter
  • Councillor Phil Bialyk, Leader of Exeter City Council (also HotSW LEP board member)
  • Rt Hon Ben Bradshaw, MP for Exeter
  • Ian Cameron, Business Group Director, Met Office
  • Lord Charles Courtenay, Earl of Devon
  • Dinah Cox OBE, Chair of Trustees, Devon Community Foundation
  • Paul Crawford, Chief Executive Officer, LiveWest
  • Sarah Crown, Director of Literature, Arts Council England
  • Dr Lee Elliot-Major, Professor of Social Mobility, University of Exeter
  • Matthew Golton, Interim Managing Director, GWR
  • John Hart, Leader of Devon County Council
  • Karime Hassan, Chief Executive & Growth Director, Exeter City Council
  • Steve Hindley CBE DL, Chairman of Midas Group
  • Charles Johnston, Executive Director of Property, Sport England
  • Simon Jupp, MP for East Devon
  • John Laramy, Principal & Chief Executive, Exeter College
  • Matt Roach, Chairman Exeter Chamber of Commerce & MD Exeter International Airport
  • Tony Rowe OBE, Chief Executive & Chairman, Exeter Rugby Club
  • Shaun Sawyer, Chief Constable, Devon & Cornwall Police
  • Lady Lucy Studholme, Chair of Board of Trustees, Exeter Northcott Theatre
  • Julian Tagg, Chairman ECFC and City Community Trust
  • Suzanne Tracey, Chief Executive, Royal Devon & Exeter NHS Foundation Trust
  • Mike Watson, Managing Director, Stagecoach SW
  • Glenn Woodcock, Director of Oxygen House.

Source: Exeter City Council.

At some point between July 2019 and May 2020 the Liveable Exeter Garden City Board morphed into the Liveable Exeter Place Board. A report to the city council’s executive meeting in June about plans for the city’s recovery from the impacts of the COVID-19 virus explained the board’s role in the following terms:

“The Liveable Exeter Place Board brings together all the major organisations in the city as well as private and voluntary sector figures. It allows for frank and candid confrontation of the issues they face in a manner that supports collaboration through a common purpose. The issues involved with a recovery plan for the city are broader than the city council and will benefit from being adopted by the place board.”

The recovery plan is split into seven work streams which were already active at the time of the report to councillors. Six are chaired by place board members:

  • Business support – Matthew Roach (Managing Director, Exeter Airport)
  • City centre – John Laramy (Principal, Exeter College)
  • Visitor economy – Charles Courtenay (Earl of Devon)
  • Transport – Mike Watson (Managing Director, Stagecoach South West)
  • Construction and development – Sir Steve Smith (Vice-Chancellor, University of Exeter)
  • Community wellbeing – Dinah Cox (Chair, Devon Community Foundation)

Each work stream has a lead council officer and is overseen by a member of the council’s senior management board which itself meets in private. The report did not identify a chair for the education work stream

At its June meeting the council’s executive agreed that the board should “adopt” the city’s coronavirus recovery plan and at the same time that it should also adopt the “Net Zero” Exeter plan intended to make the city carbon neutral by 2030. Bizarrely, this second decision was recorded as the place board adopting the “Liveable Exeter Place plan”.

At its July meeting the council’s executive then agreed to add oversight of the Sport England local delivery pilot to the board’s portfolio. This gives the Liveable Exeter Place Board responsibility over four major city council policies and programmes (including the original garden city project).

Exeter Observer’s initial enquiries revealed that the place board did have specific terms of reference but the city council’s spokesperson said only that: “its principal focus is to support the council in achieving and promoting its vision for the city”.

In response to a question about openness the spokesperson said: “Minutes of the board are not published owing to the commercial and sensitive nature of some discussions – but any matters requiring council decisions or scrutiny would be progressed through the normal decision-making pathways and minutes produced accordingly”.

Exeter Observer subsequently wrote to all non-council board members on the list provided by the council. We asked each member two questions: what they saw the board’s role as being in practice, and how they would describe their personal contribution to the board’s work.

Only two replied, saying in effect that they could not comment until the board had discussed the issues we raised. A senior council officer then made contact to say that the board would collectively discuss our questions at its next meeting on 8 July.

We responded by requesting that our concerns about the confidentiality of board proceedings would be addressed. This request was made in the context of a remark by Councillor Ollie Pearson, the council’s executive member for leisure and physical activity, at a Strategic Scrutiny committee meeting on 2 July when he referred to the place board as providing “the best and most transparent oversight” of the Sport England pilot.

The place board met on 8 July, after which the city council issued the following statement in the name of its chief executive and growth director, Karime Hassan:

“We are hugely grateful to the board for giving up their valuable time. They have adopted a vision of Exeter that is based on the premise of better life for all.

“It is a vision that a district council couldn’t achieve on its own. There are all manner of challenges that the city needs to overcome.

“Exeter is stronger for having conscientious, talented people from all backgrounds who want to work in the best interests of the city.

“It shouldn’t be confused with a district council. Any decisions requiring council permission or funding are part of a transparent and democratic process that is the envy of the world.”

Had the date been right, the final sentence might reasonably have been viewed as an April Fool’s joke: the city council cut scrutiny of its own decision-making in October last year.

The city council’s acknowledgement that it cannot meet the challenges facing Exeter on its own is welcome and realistic. The council has set itself a huge and far-reaching agenda which, if implemented, would lead to major changes in the shape of the city and the way people interact with it.

Setting up a group of advisers in response to such challenges is an approach with ample precedent in central government, where transparent expert advisory committees are (or at least were) a standard feature of policy-making.

In practice, however, the Liveable Exeter Place Board has not got off to a good start against some of the claims made for it.

The council claims that the board’s membership is “diverse” but the facts do not bear this out. For example, in terms of gender, it is male-dominated: only four of its 24 members are women. In terms of representation, its business members are from the construction, tourism, transport and sport sectors, with the rest from the usual pool of public sector bodies with a dash of high culture thrown in.

There is no seat round the table for the retail, food or hospitality sectors, nor for the small, independent businesses that are integral to the city’s economy. No one on the board appears able to claim recent experience of the hardship, disadvantage and poverty experienced by many Exeter residents. No one speaks for community groups (the Devon Community Foundation is a grant-giving body).

Nor does council coyness about the board’s role and activities inspire trust. Roles sketched out for the original board in July 2019 included (our emphasis):

  • Develop and set joint investment strategies for the city and sub-region
  • Develop an infrastructure plan in support of the Liveable Exeter Garden City and as and when required the Greater Exeter Strategic Plan and associated sub-regional transport strategy
  • Consider and prioritise bids for external funding, including leading on housing, industrial and other appropriate deals
  • Consider, approve and implement decisions relating to Exeter and as appropriate subregional investment, including expenditure of external funding within the sub-region.

We do not know whether these functions found their way into the place board’s terms of reference, as the council has not provided that level of detail. If they did, then these are important matters in which there is significant public interest. Not all these actions will necessarily come to the city or county councils for formal decisions to be made and so will not be exposed to “a transparent and democratic process that is the envy of the world”.

The composition of the board also raises questions about level playing fields and competitiveness. Are, for example, the construction and transport companies whose bosses sit on the board getting an inside track into development and funding plans not available to their competitors? There is no suggestion that they are, but there is no objective reassurance that they are not.

The city belongs to all of us who live or work here, not just a group of selected “leaders”. Exeter Observer challenges the Liveable Exeter Place Board to publish, as a minimum, the dates of its meetings and their agendas, the attendees at each meeting, declarations of interest, a summary of what was discussed and any decisions taken or advice tendered to local authorities.

Without these minimal accountability provisions, suspicion and lack of trust will inevitably undermine the potential for good that the board might otherwise have.


Correction: This article originally said that John Laramy, principal and chief executive of Exeter College, is also a director of Exeter City Futures. In fact Rob Bosworth, vice principal and deputy chief executive of Exeter College, is a director of Exeter City Futures.

 is contributing editor of Exeter Observer and a member of its publisher Exeter Observer Ltd.

Western Morning News: Planning shake-up ‘puts developers in charge’

Owl notes that Cornwall Council cabinet portfolio holder for planning, Tim Dwelly, said the authority would “strongly resist” any proposals that reduced the ability for communities to have their say. It will be interesting to see where Devon Conservative Councillors’ loyalties lie: with Boris Johnson or their their constituents?

[Western Morning News Saturday 8 August: MARTIN FREEMAN martin.freeman@reachplc.com]

GOVERNMENT proposals for a radical shake-up in the planning system will strip power from councils and place it in the hands of property developers, a countryside charity has warned.

The suggested new rules would boost developers’ profits while failing to help local people in need of affordable homes, said Penny Mills, director of CPRE Devon.

“It’s horrifying to see that planning control would effectively pass from our local planning authorities to property developers – the very people who stand to make huge profits from construction,” she said.

“[T]he Government appears to be allowing greedy developers to increase their profits whilst leaving priced-out-of-the-market youngsters with even fewer alternatives.”

Her comments were echoed by one council planning chief who said local people would be stripped of their say over planned developments. “This is a huge power grab for developers who’ll build wherever they like,” said Councillor Bill Stevens, who chairs the planning committee on Labour-controlled Plymouth City Council.

He wrote on Twitter: “Local people and their Councillors will no longer have a say on what happens in their neighbourhoods:’

The Government unveiled a white paper – proposed legislation – on planning earlier this week. Housing secretary Robert Jenrick said changes were needed to speed up the planning process, arguing that around a third of local decisions are overturned at appeal.

Under the proposals local discretion over the rate of building will effectively be removed with central government requiring local authorities to designate enough land to meet their share of a nationwide figure of 300,000 new homes a year.

Councils would be given up to three and half years to designate zones for growth, renewal or protection. Once those were in place, councils would have little say over applications that fitted the rules.

The Government also says the shake-up will bring smaller building firms into the picture, getting sites developed more quickly and avoiding “land banking” by large firms.

Cornwall Council cabinet portfolio holder for planning, Tim Dwelly, said the authority would “strongly resist” any proposals that reduced the ability for communities to have their say. “I’m also concerned about any proposals which reduce our powers to deliver high quality development and will be looking at the detail to ensure that we have more, not less control, over the quality of development that is delivered.’

Richard Stubbs of CPRE Cornwall said he was concerned that decisions about the county could be taken within its borders. “When the Government talks about ‘housing need’ it disregards the acute pressure on counties like Devon and Cornwall,” he said.

Ann Maidment, director of the Country Land and Business Association in the South West, which represents 5,000 farmers, landowners and rural businesses in the region, said the white paper “proposes little” to “revive the rural economy’.

Judy Pearce, leader of Conservative-controlled South Hams District Council, said the document was “good in parts’,’ with promises to give communities “buy in” and for information technology to be introduced further into the system.

“But we do not want to see decisions being made by algorithms,” she said. It was also important to ensure that when permission was given, homes were built. “The large firms are at fault. We give them permission but they do not build out.”

Anthony Mangnall, the Conservative MP for Totnes, said the proposals promised greater protection for special landscapes, such as Areas of Outstanding Natural Beauty and would tackle land banking while the zoning system was “just what we need’: He added: “This white paper is also about consultation. I would urge people to give their views.”

The Observer view on Tory fantasies about planning 

“It is a persistent Tory fantasy that deregulation of planning will, through the operation of supply and demand, reduce prices. It does not and will not: volume housebuilders slow down their rate of building if the price is in danger of falling…”

Observer editorial www.theguardian.com

With the Town and Country Planning Act 1947, the Attlee government nationalised development rights. That is, whatever benefits that might come from developing land belong in principle to the public. When planning permission is granted, a portion of those rights is transferred to a landowner.

This gives government a lever that can be used for the public good. A vast quantity of latent wealth comes from the fact that planning consent can increase the value of land – according to one study, by a stupendous 275 times. The most realistic way of funding the genuinely affordable housing that this country needs is from sharing this windfall.

Last week, the Ministry of Housing, Communities and Local Government published a white paper, Planning for the Future, which promises, in the prime minister’s words, to “tear down” the system created by the 1947 act and “start again”. The crucial question is whether it will, as the government promises, end the generational divide between housing haves and have-nots.

Its most eye-catching proposal (for England only, as planning is devolved to Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland), is to designate three types of land, labelled “Growth”, “Renewal” and “Protected”. These would be specified in the plans drawn up by local authorities. Where land is designated for “growth”, outline permission would be automatically granted for development of the type set out in the plan.

This would reduce the public debate and scrutiny that currently come with planning applications and focus on the drawing up of local plans, which is currently a slow, sometimes opaque process. The white paper promises to make the preparation of these plans both faster and more open to public consultation, at the same time as their significance is greatly increased.

The proposals include a “fast track to beauty”, whereby local authorities, with some direction from national government, produce design guides that translate the “basic characteristics of good places into what works locally”. Applications that conform to these guides would be speeded through the planning process. Digital technology would make planning more accessible to the public, basing it on “data” rather than “documents”.

Perhaps most importantly, section 106 agreements, which are negotiated between planning authorities and developers and are the main vehicle for obtaining affordable housing and other public benefits, would be replaced by an enhanced community infrastructure levy (CIL), a cash sum that would be fixed according to national rules. Viability assessments, whereby developers can plead for reductions in their obligations in order to make their schemes stack up, would be abolished.

The idea of these changes, says the government, is to speed up the planning process by slashing red tape. Much of the current system relies on opinion and interpretation, which adds uncertainty, risk and complexity. A clearer, more rules-based system would benefit smaller building businesses, currently squeezed out by the construction giants.

The communities secretary, Robert Jenrick, promises that these proposals will help “recreate an ownership society in which more people have a dignity and security of a home of their own”, where “all pay a fair share of the costs of infrastructure and the affordable housing existing communities require and where permissions are more swiftly turned into homes”.

Looked at neutrally, some of these aims seem valid. If local plans are truly to be exposed to fuller public debate, that would be a good thing. The discretionary nature of the planning system is indeed wasteful, does not always lead to the best possible results and tends to favour those with the resources to shout most and argue hardest. The abolition of viability assessments would be positive. In theory, the improved CIL could be the lever by which those still-nationalised development rights could benefit the public.

But Jenrick saved the Tory donor Richard Desmond millions of pounds in CIL by overriding a planning decision made by the London borough of Tower Hamlets. This episode doesn’t give confidence that Jenrick is the best man to preside over a more equitable CIL, nor that the Conservative party is not primarily driven by its property business supporters.

The white paper also assumes a high degree of administrative competency, for which this government has not so far been notable. The new super-powered local plans will require resources and organisation that are not yet in evidence. The design codes will have to address those tricky issues that really make places successful, such as layout, density, construction quality and mixtures of uses and tenure.

It is possible to see how council estates could be designated as areas for “growth” and therefore vulnerable to comprehensive redevelopment. The CIL proposals come with exceptions that could easily be used to erode their effectiveness. The promise of more equal housing would therefore fade away.

It is a persistent Tory fantasy that deregulation of planning will, through the operation of supply and demand, reduce prices. It does not and will not: volume housebuilders slow down their rate of building if the price is in danger of falling. The European countries with more balanced and successful housing markets than ours, such as Germany and the Netherlands, have more proactive national and local governments, which do such things as assemble land and initiate building. Even if this white paper works, which is doubtful, it will take a lot more to address the housing crisis.