Breaking News: Electoral Calculus narrows Tory lead over Paul Arnott for LD to 1 per cent in Exmouth & Exeter East

www.electoralcalculus.co.uk

This is now clearly a two horse race: with Tories on 49% chance of winning; Lib Dems on 42%

None of the other candidates has a realistic chance.

Party2019
Votes
2019
Share
Pred
Votes
CON28,59852.3%30.6%
MIN17,22431.5%4.8%
LAB5,62610.3%19.4%
LIB1,7483.2%29.4%
Green9611.8%2.6%
Reform2460.5%12.3%
OTH2290.4%1.0%
CON Majority11,37420.8%1.2%
CON Maj