Owl is puzzled. Our Local Enterprise Partnership says we need 50,000 new homes in the next 5 years (published in 2017 – so say until 2023):
Yet the Office for National Statistics says that the population of Devon will increase by just over 52,000 by 2026 (see below). Averaging a very low estimate of low 2 people per home that would mean we would need 26,000 new homes IN TOTAL in Devon in the next 8 years, not 50,000.
In fact, the same Office of National Statistics says average occupancy is 2.4 persons per household – so a more accurate figure would be 21,666 extra homes needed in Devon by 2026 – again NOT 50,000!
Someone has their sums badly wrong. 50,000 by 2023 or 21,666 by 2026.
Is it the Office of National Statistics or our LEP with its preponderance of developers and landowners?
“The population of Devon will increase by 52,100 by 2026, according to the Office for National Statistics.
In 2016 the population was 778,800. By 2026 it is expected to reach 830,900, a rise of 6.7%.
Every two years the ONS estimates how the population of England will change over the next 25 years.
Statisticians study birth and death rates, and look at how the county’s population is ageing.
In Devon the percentage of the population made up by pensioners is expected to rise from 24.8% in 2016 to 27.6% 10 years later. And by 2036 the ONS thinks over 65s will make up almost a third of the area’s residents. …”