Betfred is predicting an historic by-election defeat for Boris Johnson. The Liberal Democrats are odds on for a stunning victory at Tiverton and Honiton on Thursday overturning the biggest majority ever in a by-election in British political history.
Lewis Clarke www.devonlive.com
Tiverton shop manager Darren Newberry
The seat is up for grabs after Tory MP Neil Parish resigned after admitting watching porn in the House of Commons. He won the seat in the 2019 General Election with a thumping 24,239 majority – and defeat on Thursday will send shockwaves all the way to Downing Street.
Hundreds of politically savvy Betfred punters, who cashed in big time on Donald Trump being elected against the odds as US president and bashing Betfred again with the against all predictions Brexit vote, have made Devon vote the busiest by-election market in the bookie’s 55-year history.
Of more than 500 punters, who have put their money where their mouths are betting between £2 and £10,000 on the outcome, 47 per cent reckon a win for the Lib-Dem’s Richard Foord is on the cards with 43 per cent going for Conservative candidate Helen Hurford with Labour and the Green Party sharing the remaining ten per cent of the wagers.
Betfred organised £1 free bets in our shop at Bampton Street in Tiverton town centre where the majority of our canny customers thought the Tories were best value to triumph at 11/4 with the Lib-Democrats at 1/ 4 while Labour’s Liz Pole – second in 2019 – are at 150/1 with the Greens and the four other parties Heritage, Reform UK, For Britain and UKIP all at 500/1.
Tiverton shop manager Darren Newberry said: “Normally all the banter as you would expect is about the football, horse racing and greyhounds but this week the shop has been buzzing with everyone talking about the by-election. The interest levels have been phenomenal.”
Of the Betfred customers Roger Hart, a 69 year old grandad, said that the sitting MP had made a “silly mistake” and that Prime Minister had endured a tough two years coping with Covid, the war in Ukraine, cost of living crisis and train strike – not to mention Partygate.
However the retired brewery worker added that he’d previously voted Labour although this time he’d be backing Boris partly because “there is no one else to be Prime Minister.” He reckons the farming community in the constituency will hold sway…and the Conservatives have never let the farmers down.
Supermarket cleaner Anthony Winslet, aged 43 is meanwhile planning to vote Lib-Dem. He said: “They deserve a chance and I prefer them to the Conservatives. It’s not a protest vote but the odds show that this time there is a great chance of a change here.”
BETFRED TIVERTON AND HONITON BY-ELECTION
1/4 Liberal Democrats
500/1 Green Party
500/1 Any Other Party
BETFRED ODDS ON NEXT PERMANENT TORY LEADER
5/1 Jeremy Hunt
5/1 Penny Mordaunt
7/1 Liz Truss
8/1 Tom Tugendhat
9/1 Ben Wallace
9/1 Rishi Sunak
10/1 Nadhim Zahawi
16/1 Sajid Javid
20/1 David Frost
25/1 Dominic Raab
25/1 Michael Gove
33/1 Jacob Rees-Mogg
33/1 Priti Patel