Robert Jenrick is lucky at board games unlike some!

Chris Riddell Cartoon – the Observer
Robert Jenrick is lucky at board games unlike some!

Chris Riddell Cartoon – the Observer
“The health secretary, Matt Hancock, has promised the NHS will have everything it needs to tackle coronavirus, but what it really needs is an effective public health response to keep it at bay. By failing to face up to its failures, the government risks unleashing a second wave.”….
“One of the most baffling aspects of the government’s response to the pandemic is its obsession with setting up new structures from scratch rather than working with what they already have.”…
Richard Vize is a public policy commentator and analyst www.theguardian.com
Local communities – not the NHS – are the frontline in the battle against Covid-19. Each hospital admission means the virus has already broken through.
The health secretary, Matt Hancock, has promised the NHS will have everything it needs to tackle coronavirus, but what it really needs is an effective public health response to keep it at bay. By failing to face up to its failures, the government risks unleashing a second wave.
The experiences of countries with an impressive record in controlling the pandemic, such as Germany, New Zealand and South Korea, show that even the best prepared systems can experience major flare-ups that are difficult to control. But still the UK government has not put in place the systems to identify local outbreaks quickly and come down on them hard.
A joint statement in the British Medical Journal (BMJ) signed by healthcare leaders including the presidents of 11 royal colleges and the Faculty of Public Health articulates widespread concern that England simply isn’t ready. Areas of weakness it identifies include coordination of national, regional and local bodies – such as councils and Public Health England’s regional health protection teams, the bedrock of any communicable disease response.
Even after more than 50,000 deaths and a daily infection rate that still far exceeds countries such as Spain, Germany, France and Italy, the government is failing to ensure local public health teams have everything they need to keep their communities safe.
There have been improvements in recent weeks. Evidence to the housing, communities and local government select committee shows councils are finally being listened to and their concerns understood.
But, as the Guardian has revealed, the government’s failure to share full details of who has caught the disease with local public health teams risks wrecking their ability to contain an outbreak.
The entire edifice of the test and trace system – our bulwark against a second wave of the pandemic – begins to collapse without this vital local intelligence. If council teams don’t know where the infections are they can’t control them.
This highlights the chasm between government rhetoric and its ability to deliver. A week ago, Hancock promised the Commons that data-sharing rules would not be allowed to get in the way of saving lives. No 10 adviser Dominic Cummings, meanwhile, has routinely touted his own supposed brilliance with data, writing excitedly about cognitive technologies and superforecasting. But faced with the first real-world data challenge of his reign, he has failed.
Public health teams don’t need a superforecast or cutting edge AI. They just need to know where people with infections live and work and where they have been.
At the heart of the government’s data operation is the new Joint Biosecurity Centre. At the beginning of June, Hancock admitted that it did not yet exist, but it is already on its second leader. It will be responsible for getting information to councils, but there is confusion about how it will work with both local government and Public Health England.
One of the most baffling aspects of the government’s response to the pandemic is its obsession with setting up new structures from scratch rather than working with what they already have. It caused confusion and has wasted effort and, above all, precious time, in setting up testing centres, laboratories, supply chains and contact tracing, all divorced from existing local government and NHS operations and dependent on a maze of private sector contracts.
The Joint Biosecurity Centre looks set to continue this folly. It won’t be fully operational until at least the end of the summer, and it seems foolhardy to insert a new, untested body into the pandemic machinery at precisely the time when a potential increase in infections from the relaxation of restrictions and the return of schools will put the system under huge stress.
Meanwhile, councils are preparing their local outbreak management plans. Trading standards, environmental health, social care and many more people besides are collaborating with the public health teams to ensure their response to any flare-ups is quick and robust. But they need the data.
A former owner of Flybe has criticised the Government for failing to bail out the regional airline in January – just months before issuing hundreds of millions of pounds to a rival that opposed the rescue deal.
Flybe investors said the airline could have played a key role in Boris Johnson’s ‘levelling up’ strategy for the regions. They included Richard Branson’s Virgin Atlantic, Southend Airport’s owner Stobart Group, and the hedge fund Cyrus Capital.
The sentiment appeared to have been shared by then Business Minister Andrea Leadsom, who announced on Twitter that she was ‘delighted’ a rescue had been agreed to ensure ‘UK regions remain connected’.
Grounded: Warwick Brady says regional airlines and airports are vital to the Prime Minister’s plan to ‘level up’ Britain
But, speaking out for the first time since Flybe’s collapse in early March, Stobart’s chief executive Warwick Brady said the ‘politics of Branson got in the way’ of a deal, which subsequently failed to materialise.
Brady said it ‘does grate’ that Willie Walsh, chief executive of British Airways’ owner IAG, complained the proposed £100million commercial loan was ‘unfair’ a day after Leadsom’s announcement – and just a few months before IAG was granted a £300million Government loan. IAG was also granted £900million of Spanish aid for its Iberia and Vueling divisions.
Branson, who has repeatedly clashed with Walsh, has yet to agree a state loan for his beleaguered Virgin Atlantic, in which his Virgin Group has a 51 per cent stake. The rest is owned by Delta.
Brady spoke to The Mail on Sunday during an exclusive tour of Southend Airport, which is due to restart flights next month. Stobart has spent the past months installing new safety measures for the reopening. It is set to become Britain’s first airport where no passenger will have to remove liquids or laptops from their carry-on bags while going through security.
IAG filed a complaint with the EU in January over the planned rescue of Flybe, arguing it breached state aid rules, giving Flybe an unfair advantage. A string of carriers have since been bailed out.
Brady said: ‘The Government did agree to a £100million commercial loan. Then I think the politics of Branson got in the way. I think it changed the sentiment and then the politicians changed their minds.’
He added: ‘I think he’s been scuppered because people just don’t like bailing out a billionaire.’
Virgin Atlantic held a 30 per cent stake in Flybe, Stobart also held 30 per cent and Cyrus 40 per cent. The three shareholders had agreed to invest more money in Flybe if the Government bailout went ahead.
Brady called Flybe ‘a strategic asset for the country’ and the rescue deal ‘the right thing to do’.
‘Now there’s no one flying from Newquay,’ he said. ‘Southampton was decimated, Belfast is decimated. All those airports had 80 per cent of Flybe traffic.’ He said a delay in EU approval for the loan also caused problems.
‘If we had our time again we’d probably try to work out how to avoid an EU competition delay of six months and then accelerate the restructuring plan,’ he said. ‘There’s a core, good business.’ Brady also criticised the Government’s current quarantine demands on travellers coming to the UK for their holidays and on Britons when they return from trips overseas.
The Government is set to introduce so-called ‘air bridges’ tomorrow – bilateral agreements allowing travel to popular destinations such as France and Spain, without tourists having to go into quarantine.
But Stobart, which is raising up to £100million through new and existing investors, wants Ministers to let people travel freely to a wider range of countries – not just the most popular summer hotspots.
Glyn Jones, chief executive of Southend Airport, said the five most popular destinations being considered at the time accounted for just 51 per cent of Southend’s passenger traffic. He would like to see countries in central and eastern Europe, which have seen low rates of Covid-19 infections, included.
Brady added: ‘If you’re going to lock down and do the 14-day quarantine, they should have done that at the beginning. It’s like they woke up halfway through a bad dream.’
At an eerily quiet Southend Airport, vending machines selling personal protective equipment (PPE) and Perspex screens at check-in desks have been installed.
Passengers’ temperatures will be tested before security in case other countries decide this is necessary.
There is currently just one new ‘touch-free’ X-ray machine in place, but with reduced passenger numbers, no one should have to remove liquids or laptops from bags.
Some two million passengers used Southend last year, but Stobart is planning for five million, helped by a new arrivals terminal, security route and more space for shops.
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The UK may be about to blow $600 million on the wrong satellites as it tries to solve losing access to the EU’s satellite navigation system
The UK may be set to invest £500 million ($616 million) of taxpayer funds on the wrong kind of satellites as it tries to mitigate against losing access to the EU’s satellite navigation system after Brexit.
The UK is expected to take a stake of up to 20% in London-based satellite internet firm OneWeb, which collapsed in March, with an eye to building its own satellite navigation network following the transition period.
In the increasingly likely event of a no-deal Brexit, the country will lose access to the EU’s Galileo satellite system for defense and critical infrastructure, though it will still be available to users.
The Financial Times reported on Thursday that the UK government had signed off on a multimillion-pound bid for a stake in OneWeb.
But space experts speaking to The Guardian say that OneWeb’s satellites can’t be repurposed for a navigation system.
The company offers something similar to Elon Musk’s Starlink, planning mega-constellations of satellites at low orbit to provide broadband internet access to Earth. The company has 74 satellites in orbit, with plans to expand to 650.
“The fundamental starting point is, yes, we’ve bought the wrong satellites,” Dr Bleddyn Bowen, a space policy expert at the University of Leicester, told the newspaper.
The problem is that OneWeb’s satellites are too small to be re-engineered to carry the appropriate hardware required to turn them into a navigation system. The satellites are also too low, being 1,200km above Earth. The satellites for other big positioning systems, including that of the US, are in medium orbit around 20,000km from Earth.
Jeffries research analyst Giles Thorne told The Guardian: “This situation is nonsensical to me” but added that it might make more sense for the UK to “smash the square peg of OneWeb into the round hole of a Galileo replacement” than to attempt to build a new system from ground zero.
Owl’s Somerset “little birdie” cousins are reporting that Val Keitch, LibDem Leader of South Somerset, has been elected as the Chair of the Heart of the South West (HotSW) Joint Steering Committee to replace Conservative David Fothergill, Leader Somerset County Council.
This move not only represents another defeat for the “entitled” party but also reduces the undue influence of the “Upper Tier” authorities in the governance of our Local Enterprise Partnership to date.
Owl understands that at yesterday’s Joint Steering Group Meeting someone proposed Val Keitch’s nomination where the sitting Chair, David Fothergill, was expected to be a shoo-in. The members are drawn from all the planning authorities in the two Counties (including the unitary ones and the two National Parks) and are widely dispersed (totalling 18). At this point in the virtual meeting there was a chilling silence. Owl understands that this was broken by a quick thinking Paul Arnott, attending his first meeting of this committee as EDDC Leader, who saw an opportunity, seized the moment and seconded her nomination. At that, Owl understands that David Fothergill withdrew his nomination rather than face a vote.
Game, Set and Match!
At the May 2019 local elections the Conservatives lost control of many local district councils – they retain one in Somerset and only a couple in Devon but hold the two Counties. Plymouth is Labour and Torbay Libdem. So the result was obvious and a lot of Conservatives abstained as they did in the recent EDDC EGMs.
Somerset County Council is the administering authority responsible for providing support to this Joint Committee . There is also a Joint Committee “micro site” but this is woefully out of date. From a public perspective it is not very transparent and Friday’s meeting, with an opportunity for publicspeaking, not well publicised .
Owl has written at length on the inadequate democratic oversight and input to Local Enterprise Partnership, the last was this.
For the moment the “Joint Committee” is as good as it gets, let us hope that the new Chair can make it work for us. (There is a Joint Scrutiny Meeting but it is poorly attended and struggles to be quorate).
Joint Committee Aims
The aim is to provide a single strategic public sector partnership that covers the entire area and provides cohesive, coherent leadership and governance to ensure delivery of the Productivity Strategy for the HotSW area. The specific objectives of the Joint Committee are to:
(a) Improve the economy and the prospects for the region by bringing together the public, private and education sectors;
(b) Increase our understanding of the economy and what needs to be done to make it stronger;
(c) Improve the efficiency and productivity of the public sector;
(d) Identify and remove barriers to progress and maximise the opportunities /benefits available to the area from current and future government policy.
Boris Johnson looks set to prioritise house building to help boost economic recovery.
But in a letter to the Prime Minister, policy group Homes for Later Living warns that “the recovery drive will be running on empty if the Government doesn’t take urgent action to help the millions of people who want to downsize”.
The letter signed by John Tonkiss (McCarthy & Stone), Spencer J McCarthy (Churchill Retirement Living) and Mark Dickinson (Lifestory Group) sets out the social and economic benefits of building 30,000 new retirement properties a year.
It argues specialist retirement housing must be central to efforts to get the housing market restarted, while also helping ensure that vulnerable people are better protected against future pandemics.
Prioritising a proportion of new homes for an ageing population would stimulate transactions throughout the housing market, helping young families and first-time buyers move onto and up the ladder.
It would also generate savings to the NHS and social care services of £3,500 per person per year as people in specialist retirement properties are less likely to be admitted to hospital and require further care than people in mainstream housing.
This means that building 30,000 more retirement housing dwellings every year for the next 10 years would generate estimated savings across the NHS and social services of £1.4bn per year within a decade.
“Building more specialist retirement housing would be a win-win for the Government.
“It would unlock the housing market, helping older people, young families and first-time buyers. It would also assist with attempts to fix the social care crisis once and for all,” say the housing bosses.
“With the number of older people in England growing significantly, the time to act is now.
“The Government has given the housing market the green light to get moving again and we welcome this. But the risk is that the recovery drive will be running on empty if we don’t take urgent action to help the millions of people who actively want to downsize.”
Robert Jenrick’s claim that he did not breach ministerial rules appeared to unravel last night as it emerged that he had instructed planning officials to fast-track a development without declaring a conflict of interest.
However, he failed to declare the potential conflict of interest until nearly a month later in apparent breach of the ministerial code that requires significant information to be disclosed “as soon as possible” .
Mr Jenrick’s aides have previously claimed that the delay was due to the general election. The document reveals, however, that Mr Jenrick was prepared to intervene in the case during the election period while not disclosing his interest.
The intervention was critical in helping Richard Desmond, the former newspaper owner, to save paying a £40 million fee that he might otherwise have incurred if planning permission had been delayed.
Yesterday Downing Street continued to defend Mr Jenrick despite unease on the back benches. The prime minister’s official spokesman said that Boris Johnson had “full confidence” in him.
Nadhim Zahawi, the business minister, said the documents released on Wednesday proved there was no overt influence exerted by Mr Desmond. Mr Zahawi indicated that anybody could deploy similar tactics to the wealthy businessman. “If people go to a fundraiser in their area for the Conservative Party, they will be sitting next to MPs and people in their local authorities and can interact with different parts of the authority,” he said. He insisted that “the access did not buy this billionaire a decision”.
Yet the emails show that until Mr Jenrick’s intervention, the department had hardly known of the case, with one official tasked with looking into the application stating that “for the life of me I can’t find it on any of our forward look [planning] stuff”.
They disclose that Mr Jenrick was keen for his department to speed up its formal process for reviewing the development plans so it was ready for him to make a decision when the government won the election. It also hints at Mr Desmond’s desire for a decision before January 15 when the local council was due to vote on changes to a community charge that would result in the £40 million fee being levied.
Written by an unnamed official in Mr Jenrick’s office it expresses surprise that a case has been raised with officials during the election purdah period when ministers usually only conduct essential business in the departments. “Morning ( you thought you wouldn’t hear from me over purdah!!!)!” it says. “[The minister] has asked that advice be prepared for the first few days of the new Gov so a decision can be communicated before Xmas. Does this all sound ok?”
Last night Labour demanded Mr Jenrick return to the Commons to explain the discrepancy, warning that “this matter is far from closed”.
Polling for the Times Red Box by Redfield and Wilton Strategies revealed that nearly half of voters believe Mr Jenrick should quit over the saga. Some 46 per cent of all voters believe his position has become untenable, as do 37 per cent of Tory voters.
Questions for the minister
What involvement did No 10 have in Robert Jenrick’s decision to give the go-ahead to the project?
One of Boris Johnson’s last acts as mayor was to give the go-ahead to an earlier development by Richard Desmond. The government has refused to release any documents that may have passed through No 10 that led to Mr Jenrick’s decision.
Who organised the seating plan for the Tory fundraising dinner?
It seems an odd coincidence that the housing secretary happened to be seated next to a Tory donor who was looking for development approval a month later. Yet Tory HQ has refused to give an explanation.
Why did he not declare meeting Mr Desmond immediately?
Mr Jenrick claimed that he raised the issue as soon as he was reconfirmed as housing secretary. During the election campaign, he asked his private office to speed up the application process.
“The law was broken. There is no argument. At a dinner, a planning minister, Robert Jenrick, sat next to a developer who attempted to lobby him to allow a gigantic £1bn project in London’s Docklands. He then reversed a public decision of his own department, and he expedited it to save the developer, Richard Desmond, some £40m in local levy. His party then accepted an admittedly paltry sum of money from Desmond.”
To be fair to Jenrick, he denies none of this and, on legal advice, reversed his decision with lightning speed.
Ministers have resigned for less and have survived far worse. Jenrick’s boss, Boris Johnson, was lobbied by Desmond like mad and backed his scheme. He has since shown he regards sackings as nothing to do with ethics and everything to do with politics. Be loyal and you can do anything you like. In that at least, Johnson is consistent with his own behaviour. To sack Jenrick would be arrant hypocrisy. For Jenrick to go would be merely dignified.
The trouble with planning decisions is that they can seem arbitrary, which means merely matters of opinion. Possibly corrupting factors can always be at play. Jenrick’s Labour critics might reflect on an earlier Docklands development, in which a Labour cabinet minister overrode the grade-one listing of the finest historic docks in Europe, London Docks. He outrageously saw them demolished to favour a developer who also owned the (then) Labour-supporting Sun. The minister was Peter Shore, the docks were in Wapping, and the favour was to a certain Rupert Murdoch.
There is nothing new in the politics of property. Desmond and Jenrick might ask how the Vauxhall Tower got approved, or the Shard, or the Walkie Talkie, in many cases against strong local opposition. Centre Point was the result of a murky LCC deal over a roundabout. Conrad Hilton threatened Harold Macmillan that he would boycott London if prevented from breaking rules against towers around Hyde Park.
Civic vanity is the most potent of planning motives. At present not just London but Manchester, Leeds, Bristol, Middlesbrough and even Norwich are promised random luxury towers that bear no relation to historic setting or social planning, any more than they relieve local housing need. The London property market, in particular, is now chaotic, massively distorted by money laundering and its status as a depository of the world’s spare cash. I am all for a vigorous London economy, but not this way.
Though figures remain wild guesses, it is estimated that 5% of central London homes may now lie empty. Industry experts estimate one-third of high-end flats in central London go to overseas buyers. The Guardian found just 30 of 214 flats in Vauxhall’s Tower had anyone on the electoral roll. This is the market at which Desmond and Jenrick were aiming, either second-home pieds-à-terre or empty investments for overseas buyers. They are about profits, not homes. This is not planning but anti-planning.
Tower Hamlets council can hardly complain. It has accepted the projected Spire London just up Westferry Road from Desmond’s nine-tower scheme, planned to be 67 storeys of more than 800 luxury apartments. The key to the scheme’s approval was a £50m payment by the developer to the council. Desmond, anxious to avoid making such a payment himself, texted Jenrick to say “we don’t want to give Marxists loads of doe [sic] for nothing!” London developers call such sweeteners “legalised bribes”, as they do not go to individuals. After a decade of austerity, hard-pressed councils find it hard to say no. That Tower Hamlets resisted Desmond is the true measure of his project’s monstrosity.
Such banana-republic antics are why planning has always been layered. It begins with local democracy – now the last real discretion left to local people. Local decisions are no less vulnerable to corruption than national ones, but at least they are accountable locally.
Overseeing them is an appeal structure to a Whitehall inspectorate. But this is polluted by ever more intrusive centralised direction, typified by the Jenrick saga. In the case of London tall buildings, it is further complicated by the London mayor being able to overrule a borough decision, even if then overruled by a minister.
The bottom is now falling out of the luxury market. Prices are estimated to be 20% below the peak and declining fast. The huge Earls Court development in west London went belly-up. If the London Spire is also on hold, it may be that Desmond has been saved from a white elephant.
Either way, this affair has exposed the decay of Britain’s urban planning. Central and local government should long ago have called a halt to the reckless boom in foreign investment, one that had nothing to do with domestic housing supply. Absentee owners should have been stopped from building London properties and leaving them empty. If Jenrick really meant his decision was to get “more homes built”, he would have insisted Desmond ensured they were only for UK occupiers in perpetuity. He did not, as it would have wrecked profitability. So he can’t have meant it. Aesthetic and skyline control should have been established for historic centres.
Rumours are now that Jenrick – on the instructions of Dominic Cummings – is proposing to introduce centrally imposed commissions with no local control. It is recipe for planning by legal appeal. The best argument for Jenrick to go is perhaps not what he did, but what he is about to do.
• This article was amended on 26 June 2020 to remove “UK” from a headline reference to “the UK planning system”. Planning is a devolved function.
The death rate for coronavirus patients in English hospitals has fallen to a quarter of the level at the peak of the outbreak, which may mean that doctors are getting better at treating it.
See other explanations here. – Owl
Researchers said it was also possible that the data had a less optimistic explanation, possibly reflecting changes in those being admitted to hospital.
At the beginning of April, when there were 15,000 people in hospital with Covid-19, about 6 per cent died. Since then, the number in hospital has fallen by 2.4 per cent a day, meaning numbers have halved every 29 days.
At the same time the number of deaths has reduced by 4.3 per cent a day, meaning that it has halved every 16 days. As a consequence, in the latest figures the hospital death rate has fallen to 1.5 per cent.
Statisticians are struggling to explain the findings, which imply that patients are more likely to survive today than they were three months ago.
Jason Oke, from the University of Oxford, is one of the statisticians behind the UK analysis. He said that they had initially held off from releasing the figures.
“We sat on it. We had a good discussion about it to try and work out all the different ways we could be wrong,” he said. “Then we thought we should put it out there — it’s what we’ve observed. The caveat is, we don’t really understand why this is happening. But it’s happening.”
While one explanation is better treatment, another is that the patients are different. At the beginning of the outbreak, there is evidence that hospitals were more selective about who was admitted. “Maybe early on the pandemic, when we thought we would be overrun, we took only the severest cases.” This would lead to an apparent improvement in the hospital death rate, even if there was no difference in the actual death rate.
Another way in which the make up of coronavirus wards differs is that at the start many of those people infected caught the virus in the hospital itself, meaning they were already sick and vulnerable.
Whether these explain all the findings, said Dr Oke, is impossible to say at the moment. To add to the mystery, the trend matches that in other countries. The US appears to have a falling death rate, while in Italy a study found a significant rise in the likelihood of patients surviving hospital treatment, even after taking account of their age and previous illnesses.
The author of that research was sceptical of the idea that the virus itself had weakened, but suggested that in the unproven cocktail of drugs given to patients might be the basis for an effective treatment.
Dr Oke said the discovery that a commonly-used steroid, dexamethasone, reduced the death rate in severe cases supported the idea that treatment had improved. But, he said, he did not think it could be the whole explanation.
Even so, he added, we should still take hope from the figures. “It would be a lot worse if it was the other way round, and we were having to find ways to explain a trend towards a higher death rate.”
Owl mentioned last time the planning applications were listed on the Watch that it is best to wait until well into the following week as the EDDC web list is often not finalised until mid the week following.
Stantyway Recreation Ground Otterton
5 Rocklands Rolle Road Exmouth EX8 2DS
9 Westbourne Terrace Budleigh Salterton EX9 6BR
Lower Westcott Farm Talaton Exeter EX5 2RN
The Old Mill Uplyme Lyme Regis DT7 3UA
Late Haynes Dunkeswell Abbey Honiton EX14 4RP
7 Lawn Road Exmouth EX8 1QJ
Homes By Design Salterton Road Exmouth EX8 2NS
Blackdown View Lees Meadow Talaton Exeter EX5 2SG
2 Fremington Road Seaton EX12 2HX
Flat 1 Pendennis House 4 Gold Street Ottery St Mary EX11 1DG
Bystock Court Old Bystock Drive Exmouth EX8 5EQ
Upcott Farm Broadhembury Honiton EX14 3LP
Upcott Farm Broadhembury Honiton EX14 3LP
Bystock Court Old Bystock Drive Exmouth EX8 5EQ
The Bungalow Upton Pyne Exeter EX5 5HZ
5 Collins Park East Budleigh Budleigh Salterton EX9 7EG
Sea Holly House Barline Beer Seaton EX12 3LR
3 The Avenue Exton Exeter EX3 0PX
Horriford Farm Holyford Lane Colyford Colyton EX24 6HW
10 Higher Doatshayne Lane Musbury Axminster EX13 8BG
2 Brooklands Orchard Kilmington Axminster EX13 7SU
Tanners Cottage Lyme Road Axminster EX13 5AZ
Lloret Old Rydon Lane Exeter EX2 7JW
Copplestones Ridgeway Sidbury Sidmouth EX10 0SF
Former Mill Buildings Mill Street Ottery St Mary
14 Davids Close Sidbury Sidmouth EX10 0QS
Land West Of Triffords Farm Wilmington Honiton EX14 9JT
Holnest Farm Farway Colyton EX24 6DH
Land At Park Farm (Phase 3) West Clyst Exeter
“The planning system has historically cast developers and politicians in poacher and gamekeeper roles. But in recent years an increased focus on financial negotiations between public authorities and developers has made simple yes/no decisions into more complex transactions, sparking concerns the system lacks transparency and is vulnerable to corruption.”
The moment the housing secretary, Robert Jenrick, took his place at a Tory fundraising dinner at London’s Savoy hotel alongside Richard Desmond – and watched a promotional video of a planned £1bn development on Desmond’s phone – was not the first time a wealthy developer had become close to a politician with the power to block or approve plans.
The planning system has historically cast developers and politicians in poacher and gamekeeper roles. But in recent years an increased focus on financial negotiations between public authorities and developers has made simple yes/no decisions into more complex transactions, sparking concerns the system lacks transparency and is vulnerable to corruption.
After years of austerity, cash-strapped councils have become more reliant on using planning deals with developers to provide affordable housing and funds for community infrastructure such as schools and play centres.
It was this financialisation of planning, in the form of the community infrastructure levy (CIL), that snared Jenrick and Desmond over the latter’s plan to turn a redundant printworks in east London into a £1bn housing-led development. The CIL is a per-square-metre charge which councils have been able to apply to large projects since 2010.
Jenrick’s decision to overrule the local council’s rejection of the plan and intervention to affect how much Desmond’s company would have to pay towards local infrastructure, tied him up in knots. At one point he had to tell Desmond by text that they could not meet because it was important “not to give any appearance of being influenced by applicants of cases that I may have a role in”, documents revealed.
But he also urged civil servants to expedite the decision, to apparently help Desmond avoid an additional £45m cost from the CIL. He eventually had to quash his own approval, conceding the decision was unlawful.
Multimillion-pound negotiations such as over Desmond’s CIL payment now form the centrepiece of many planning applications. Section 106 agreements – deals over how much affordable housing and other community benefits developers will fund – have long been standard. But since planning changes by the coalition government in 2012, developers have also been able to complain to planners that their demands are eating too much into their profits. They are allowed to present financial viability studies, essentially spreadsheets based on often speculative and hard-to-check numbers which argue that if they spend too much on affordable housing, they won’t make enough money. These have often not been made public.
All in all, a planning system that used to be concerned primarily with land use has become much more about land value.
Each side appoints financial consultants to probe the other’s workings, creating “an arms race”, according to Bob Colenutt, author of The Property Lobby, an investigation into the housing crisis.
“The negotiations go on behind closed doors and thousands of units of affordable housing are at risk,” he said. “It is murky and not transparent. It also causes delay when the developers argue about not being able to provide policy-compliant schemes.”
The desire of developers to win support from politicians and public officials outside of the public forums of planning committee meetings has also spawned lobbying consultancies dedicated to persuading planning committee members and other politicians to back their clients’ plans.
Desmond, for example, used the Thorncliffe lobbying firm for his east London scheme. It promises to “build support among politicians” for planning applications and claims a 95% success rate in getting approval. Its website declares that it employs elected councillors and says its team adhere to the highest ethical standards.
An investigation by the Guardian in 2018 found nearly 100 councillors in the capital worked for property companies or lobbying and communications consultancies involved in planning. Some also sat on planning committees.
One politician to often meet with these consultants as well as their clients was Robert Davis, the former chairman of Westminster city council’s planning committee, who was entertained or received gifts almost 900 times, often from property industry figures including lobbying companies, between 2012 and 2017. He once registered two lunches on one day.
He denied any impropriety before quitting as deputy leader of the council following the Guardian’s disclosures.
Boris Johnson, who believes the Jenrick matter is “closed”, knows the planning system well from his eight years as mayor of London, when he had the power to approve or veto major developments and to negotiate levels of affordable housing.
“The system is one of negotiation,” said a major developer speaking on condition of anonymity. “When Ken Livingstone was mayor of London, everyone knew he wanted to do the last part of the deal. You would turn up in front of Ken and he would do business.”
One scheme Johnson considered when he was mayor was a plan by the billionaire Reuben brothers to turn Westminster’s Millbank Tower into 200 apartments and a 150-bedroom five-star hotel. He approved it in April 2016, concluding that “the maximum reasonable amount of affordable housing in this instance is zero”.
Developers have raised their eyebrows at Desmond’s admission that he directly lobbied Jenrick – seeing it as something of an own goal.
“As a developer the last thing you do is talk to the secretary of state because you get into exactly this [controversy],” said one. “You know not to get anywhere near the politicians.”
At a council level, it is different. Council leaders and planning committee chairmen can be approached before planning applications are submitted. Developers know they have something councils badly need: cash.
The pressure on councils to use planning to deliver funds to invest in public services had only been increased by austerity, said Nick Johnson, a former director of the Manchester-based property developer Urban Splash, making them “alert to the opportunity of planning deals to prop up their finances”.
“There’s a real tension,” he said. “You have to question whether they are being completely objective about the decisions they are taking.”
In Nov 2019 Cllr Paul Arnott expressed concern about EDDC becoming a “Casino Council” with its attempts to ‘actively assess commercial investment opportunities’
East Devon District Council completed the acquisition of the Ocean Blue leisure complex on Exmouth seafront in March 2020 for £2,700,000 using the council’s Commercial Investment Fund.
This is the first investment that the council has made using its £20,000,000 Commercial Investment Fund.
The fund is designed to generate £450,000 nett income per annum to support council services and activities going forward. This will help address future budget challenges for the council and contribute to wider growth and prosperity for residents, businesses and visitors to East Devon. See East Devon Watch and EDDC publicity.
(And then there is Skypark – owl)
Here is cautionary tale about council investment deals that the new administration might note.
A council that has bet more than £1 billion of taxpayers’ cash on commercial property has secretly let a key tenant put off paying millions of pounds in rent because of the coronavirus pandemic.
Spelthorne council in Surrey is said to have agreed an 18-month rent deferral with WeWork, the troubled property management company, amounting to a £4.5 million short-term loss for the authority.
The deal is likely to add to fears that families across the country face higher council tax bills and reduced public services as local authorities’ multibillion-pound bets on commercial property turn sour.
Councils across the country have borrowed £6.6 billion since 2016 to buy shopping centres and office blocks to replace revenue lost by government cuts. Council finances, however, are now taking a hammering as tenants default on rent.
A report leaked to the Bureau of Investigative Journalism, a non-profit organisation based in London, and seen by The Times, claims that three senior councillors at Spelthorne agreed to the company’s request to help it “absorb difficulties brought about by the Covid crisis”.
The deal calls into question the council’s investment strategy. With other tenants struggling to pay rents owed to the council, the provision of local services is threatened. In the past five years Spelthorne has borrowed more than £1 billion to buy offices and shops so it can use the rental income to help fund local services.
The purchases include £40 million spent on a shopping centre weeks before the lockdown.
Nearly £10 million of Spelthorne’s annual spending on services is now funded by its investments — more than the money from council tax, business rates and government grants.
The report claims that senior councillors agreed to the plan with WeWork.
The councillors admitted that they would struggle to find another tenant for the Hammersmith Grove offices in west London. They would face significant costs if WeWork had to leave the building. The council bought the building for £170 million in January 2018.
In exchange for the rent deferral, WeWork is said to have agreed to extend its 20-year lease by a further five years. This effectively means that Spelthorne council would only start recouping the lost income from 2037.
WeWork is itself facing great financial difficulty. The US company, which sublets space to freelancers and small companies, has laid off 2,400 staff around the world after its stock market flotation failed. It is undergoing a second round of redundancies in Britain.
The council is also believed to have granted a rent deferral, for 13 months, to a tenant at another of its investment properties, the £73 million Porter Building in Slough.
It is unclear whether the council can afford to offer deals to its other tenants. It had 41 “commercial clients” connected to its property portfolio in June last year. Before the crisis the net return on the council’s property investments was less than 1 per cent after costs and reserve funding.
The WeWork deal was allegedly voted through behind closed doors on Monday morning by a special investment committee that only has three voting members.
The committee included Ian Harvey, who had been the council leader who led the £1 billion investment programme, and his wife, Helen, who was appointed by her husband as the council’s cabinet member for investments.
Mr Harvey resigned as council leader at a meeting last night, however, before a motion was brought calling for him to be removed.
John Boughtflower, a Conservative councillor, was voted in as his replacement. He pledged to launch an investigation into the £1 billion investment programme.
He said that his first action as leader would be to introduce a spending limit so “no single person will ever again have authority to spend tens of millions of pounds without the scrutiny that residents expect and deserve”.
Perceptions over conflict of interests have led to changes to East Devon District Council’s constitution to bar Cabinet members from sitting on planning and licensing committees.
Wednesday night’s full council meeting saw councillors vote by 29 votes to 27 to change the constitution, following the nominations made by the ruling Democratic Alliance to appoint cabinet members to the committees.
The meeting heard that while there was nothing legally to preclude cabinet members from being appointed, successive administrations had previously chosen against ‘taking the risk’ and the council’s legal advisor had advised against it.
The constitution changes mean that the Democratic Alliance will need to nominate alternative appointments to replace of Cllrs Paul Millar and Jack Rowland on the Licensing & Enforcement committee, and for Cllrs Rowland, Paul Hayward, and Eilleen Wragg on the Planning Committee.
Cllr Wragg was due to be the chairman of the committee, and while Cllr Paul Arnott, leader of the Democratic Alliance said they had a Plan B, it would mean him having to appoint two working mothers of school age children and a key worker to the Planning Committee to fill the three vacant spots.
Putting forward his amendment, Cllr Ian Thomas, a former leader of the council, said it was straight forward and consistent with practice followed by recent administrations and to ensure serving members of cabinet are not eligible for appointment to the two committees.
He said that while there was no formal legal restriction, the advice is clear and unequivocal in judging the wisdom against such a move, and added: “The reason is perception. People believe they may lead a particular outcome, intentionally or unintentionally. The risk to the council is that this may be used in appeals or judicial review, and can avoid avoidable complaints to the council.
“I am deeply concerned the constitution does not offer adequate protection against an ill-advised move, and any appointment would be dangerously against the long standing advice.”
Cllr Ben Ingham, the previous leader of the council, added: “This issue is of grave concern and we have always avoiding taking this risk, whether it is low, medium or high. Last year the subject was broached and I discussed it and the advice that was not to appoint any portfolio holders to licensing or planning, so I would be reticent to take the risk when there is an alternative. Why would we want to take an unnecessary risk?”
Cllr Susie Bond added that it looked like Cllr Arnott ‘selective shopped around until he got the advice that he wanted’, adding: “Perception is key and by packing with regulatory committees with cabinet members is a move that will be widely interrupted as seeking to exert undue influence. The people of East Devon deserve open and transparent governance, not the equivalent of some Orwellian nightmare.”
Leader of the Conservative Group, Cllr Andrew Moulding, said that while it may be legally permissible, there will be a perception by the public that could open up additional risk for the council, adding: “There is no doubt that in time it will bring the council into disrepute and there will be regular conflicts of interest for portfolio holders.”
Cllr Philip Skinner raised his concerns over the ‘dangerous precedent’ and was worried about the portfolio holder for economy sitting on planning, saying: “They should be pushing the economic agenda but then are voting on those issues if these agendas are coming back through the planning process. I can see nothing but problems coming from this.”
Cllr Mike Howe, the previous chairman of the Development Management Committee, said having cabinet members sitting on quasi-judicial boards is not the best plan. He said: “It is a perception issue. The public perception is that cabinet will be controlling these committees, irrespective of whether they are, and that is the danger of what could happen.”
And two members of the cabinet – Cllrs Jess Bailey and Megan Armstrong – also added their concerns about the proposals, with Cllr Bailey saying: “The key question is, does the filling of committees in this way increase the risk of decisions being challenged, and I think it does, and the head of legal does advise against it.”
But Cllr Millar, portfolio holder for Democracy, called the amendment ‘stupid’, and said that there was no occasion when appointing cabinet members to committee had caused an issue anywhere in the country. He added: “This complies with the national guidelines and I urge you to vote against the amendment as it is rubbish and been brought by members who seek to undermine the new administration.”
Cllr Wragg said that four members of the executive sit on the planning committee at Teignbridge and there have been no problems whatsoever in the time they have been serving. She added: “There is nothing illegal about what is being proposed,” and questioned who would pay for the childcare or to compensate those with work commitments who cannot afford to sit in planning meetings all day.
Cllr Arnott said that the people who he had proposed were the people who were the best for the council and to serve the public interest. He said: “If this amendment passes, for planning, for there are no others available, we would have to put forward two working mothers of school age children and a full-time female worker in a key British industry. These are not retired gentlemen who can afford to spend all day on planning. The people put forward are the best for the council and the public interest is best served by them being on the planning committee.
“I have every confidence that if there is a perceived conflict of interest then they will simply recuse themselves. If the leader of strategic planning portfolio holder where on planning then there would be an interest. This is not a question of the Democratic Alliance not having the talent to serve on committees, but a committee that sits all day, is a very difficult thing for councillors of a certain age to do.”
And Cllr Hayward, the portfolio holder for economy and assets, said that he found the hypocrisy of some councillors staggering given the scandals that the Conservative Party have been embroiled in.
He said: “Some councillors have failed to disclose interests in the past, but they still sit on the committees, and I find the hypocrisy staggering. The opposition is judging the new administration by its own insidious standards. There is the housing minister embroiled in scandal after scandal of planning.”
Cllr Hayward also referred to the scandal involved the disgraced former councillor Graham Brown who was secretly filmed by the Daily Telegraph claiming he had access to all the right people for the right clients and said ‘”If I can’t get planning, nobody will.”
He was recorded as saying: “I don’t come cheap. If I’m turning a green field into a housing estate and I’m earning the developer two or three millions, then I’m not doing it for peanuts – especially if I’m the difference between winning and losing it.”
Cllr Hayward added: “He caused more harm to this council than anyone else in its history and the public perception of this council was dragged through the mud by a councillor who did not sit on planning.
“I don’t support the amendment as we have put the right people in the right roles for the benefit of East Devon. If we just stuck to tradition we’d still be washing our clothes on a rock by the river, but we don’t, we have washing machines now, and we have moved on.”
But councillors voted by 29 votes to 27, with one abstention, to amend the constitution to prohibit cabinet members from serving on either the planning or licensing committees.
Nominations for the councillors to replace those who were set to be appointed to the committees will be made subsequently by Cllr Arnott with delegated authority to officers to confirm them.
Owl has received this open call for help from a correspondent in a small village faced with yet another example of creeping urbanisation within an AONB where developers appear to have “strong influence” over the elected decision makers. Owl hopes that the two Conservative Ward Councillors Colin Brown and David Key ask for the decision to be taken by the Planning Committee as 38 objections have been submitted from a village of only 250.
In some LPAs such a level of objection would automatically trigger a referral to the committee. If you want to see an example of poor delegated decision making in a highly protected setting in historic East Budleigh see this previous post. The decision was made in spite of the deep concerns expressed to planning officers by Historic England three times. The result is now clearly visible from Pynes Close East Budleigh.


From a Correspondent:
Black Lives Matter police investigation of police officers for hate crime and the death of a black man in custody – none of them seem to worry our Police and Crime Commissioner as pointed out a few days ago.
So, what does preoccupy her on her official PCC Twitter account? Asking us to play detective to spot “modern slavery” and “mate crime” – no not “HATE” crime – mate crime – people pretending to befriend us and rip us off.
Should I report her party’s austerity policy under modern slavery? Or maybe Robert Jenrick for mate crime?
The incident happened at Jacob’s Ladder in Sidmouth at about 4.10pm today, Thursday.
This picture shows the dramatic moment a cliff collapsed at a Devon beach – while beachgoers looked on in shock.
The incident happened at Jacob’s Ladder in Sidmouth at about 4.10pm today, Thursday.
Glen Lear captured the picture above which shows a huge plume of dust coming from the base of the cliffs as it collapses.
You can also see people on the beach watching the spectacle intently.
Paul Clay also saw it happen while he was out on his kayak in the area. He said the landslide sounded like thunder.
Paul said: “It just missed people walking on shoreline at 4.16pm today.
“It happened at the cliff’s highest point with the narrowest (stretch of) beach.

“The second photo (below) shows the rubble when dust had cleared.”
The fall is the latest of many to have occurred at Sidmouth in the past few months.
Earlier this month we reported that East Devon County Council had warned people to stay off beach after five cliff falls in a month.

Last month, Sidmouth experienced three falls in the space of 24 hours, in addition to a further two which took place the following week.
The council complete annual cliff inspections at Beer, Budleigh Salterton, Seaton and Sidmouth which include removing loose material and additional safety works such as installation of rock netting.
The Sidmouth and East Beach Management Plan (BMP) scheme aims to reduce the risk of flooding to Sidmouth by maintaining the standard of defences along Sidmouth Beach, and to reduce the rate of erosion to the cliffs to the East of the town (and therefore the rate of exposure of the East side of Sidmouth to coastal conditions).
In response to whether or not there has been an increase in landslides, a council spokesman said: “It is difficult to say.”
Speaking earlier this month they said: “Cliff falls are a natural and unpredictable occurrence along the East Devon coast, this is because the rock from which the cliffs are formed is soft and therefore prone to rock falls and landslides, which can happen at any time, although heavy rainfall can trigger incidences.
“The BMP cannot, however, stop cliff falls. In fact, many of the recent cliff falls are beyond the area the BMP will protect, occurring further East on National Trust land.”
Despite the glorious sunshine the county has experience over the last few weeks, it is this warm and dry weather that has played a key role in the cause of the landslides.
A spokesperson added: “The main reason [for the cliff falls] is the prolonged dry weather we have had, which followed the wettest February on record.
“The extreme wet to dry condition of the cliff is the likely cause of the falls.
“However there are other factors in place such as the climate emergency and sea level rise.
“On land we own and manage there hasn’t been any increase in cliff falls compared to previous years.
“Along the whole coast there is likely to be a rise in the recording of cliff falls due to the good weather and increase in staycations, there are more people around the coast to witness any fall.
“In a normal year, plenty of falls would go unnoticed.”
“It is good practice when on the beach to stay well clear of the cliff base and to keep an eye out for fresh fall material or water running down the cliffs, which may indicate an area that is weakened and loose.”
The Coastguard advises that walkers should keep a distance away from the cliff, that is equivalent to the cliff’s height.
For example, if a cliff is 20 metres in height, pedestrians should keep 20 metres away.
Speaking earlier this month a Coastguard spokesman said: “Through the Sidmouth and East Beach BMP, we have plans to reduce the rate of erosion of the cliffs where property is threatened.
“The Sidmouth and East Beach BMP is a long term plan, and construction is likely to be a year or so away, we all hope the Covid-19 situation will be over by then, so it should not affect the scheme.”
Regardless of whether or not the cliffs are displaying signs that it may crumble, EDDC urge the public to keep their distance.
A spokesperson said: “You would be putting yours and the emergency services lives at risk.
“Please do not access Sidmouth East beach at all, and at Jacobs Ladder ensure you stay at least the same height the cliff is vertical away from the base.”
If a cliff fall does occur and you suspect that someone has been injured, call 999 immediately.
From a Correspondent:
“This now needs an immediate review of all the previous Conservative Cabinet members who were on the Planning and Licensing committees, and of the decisions they made – with all previous conflicts of interest highlighted and publicised to the greatest possible extent.
If the Conservatives find that they get embarrassed when they profess their new found scrutiny role, perhaps they will think twice in future about such games playing.”
“…Radio Exe received reports of 11 police vehicles at Orcombe Point and some armed officers. Devon and Cornwall Police haven’t commented on that scale of response, but say “a large number of units” did attend around 7pm….”
Youths partying in the sunshine at Orcombe Point, Exmouth on Wednesday resulted in police attending at several points through the afternoon – and dozens of officers arriving in the evening after reports of multiple fights. Dispersal orders have been issued to a small number of people, which means they can’t go back to that bit of the beach today or overnight. They’ll have to wait till Friday at 7am.
Two special constables and one or two regular officers couldn’t do much other than offer advice in the late afternoon. One off-duty police worker said that all the resources in East Devon wouldn’t be able to handle the number of generally good-natured young people, but it was clear that a mix of youth, sun and alcohol wasn’t going to end prettily.
By 9pm Radio Exe received reports of 11 police vehicles at Orcombe Point and some armed officers. Devon and Cornwall Police haven’t commented on that scale of response, but say “a large number of units” did attend around 7pm after reports of a large-scale altercation, a number of fights, and anti-social behaviour through Tuesday afternoon. They say officers issued a small number of dispersal orders, preventing those people going back to the area covered by the order before 7am on Friday. Other people “dispersed of their own accord.”
“New figures reveal that holiday home owners received £71 million of coronavirus business grants paid out in Cornwall…
…Of that just under £71m went to “holiday let business premises” – and Cllr Olivier said that £42m of that went to people living outside of Cornwall.”
Owl believes that similar or greater “leakage” occurs with many “Investing in the Region” projects such as Hinkley Point C (where did all the EC “deprived region” grants to Cornwall go – could this explain why the Cornish voted leave?).
Not to mention the loophole which allows holiday home owners to avoid paying council tax or business rates on their properties.
New figures reveal that holiday home owners received £71 million of coronavirus business grants paid out in Cornwall.
The Government provided cash to be paid to businesses which had been hit by the lockdown so that they could keep afloat.
It has previously been revealed that £50m went to holiday let owners but now updated figures show that they received much more than that.
Cornwall Councillor Cornelius Olivier has been highlighting the issue saying that it was “scanadlous” that so much of the money was going to holiday home owners.
Cornwall Council has been administering grants for businesses with funding provided by the Government – those grants are for either £10,000 or £25,000 subject to criteria set by the Government.
In information he received from Cornwall Council the Penzance East councillor said that by June 9 the council had paid out £177m in £10,000 grants to businesses.
Of that just under £71m went to “holiday let business premises” – and Cllr Olivier said that £42m of that went to people living outside of Cornwall.
The Labour councillor has been a longstanding campaigner against a loophole which allows holiday let owners avoid paying both council tax and business rates on their properties. By registering their holiday homes as businesses which have a rateable value less than that eligible to pay rates they avoid paying any tax or rates at all.
Cllr Olivier said that, of the money paid out to holiday home owners, £60m had gone to those which pay no council tax or rates – with £32m going to people outside the Duchy.
The Penzance Central councillor, writing on his Facebook page, said: “It is scandalous that at a time when so many local businesses are struggling to survive and not getting the support they need, second homeowners who rent their properties out for a few months a year, (or less) as well as using it themselves and who receive a tax subsidy for doing so, are getting £10,000 to compensate them for their ‘financial hardship’.
“A second home is a combination of valuable investment, personal luxury and potential secondary income, they should not be treated as struggling local businesses in need of financial help.
“Even when ‘holiday let business premises’ are locally, or at least Cornish owned, I do not accept that ‘a holiday let’, unoccupied for a large part of the year, is a small local business in the normal sense of the word and that their owners are in desperate need of government financial support.
“A combination of the £10,000 grant and even a partial visitor season means that, regardless of the pandemic, this could be a bumper year financially for ‘holiday let business premises’.”
Cllr Olivier said that the issue further supported calls for the Government to close the loophole which allows holiday home owners to avoid paying council tax or business rates on their properties.
He said that he had written to his local MP Derek Thomas calling on him to help with getting the loophole closed and to help ensure more grants are available for businesses in Cornwall.
Despite the headline this is a pessimistic article – Owl
That, sadly, is what’s wrong with Flybe, too.
Until the early hours of 5 March, the Exeter-based airline was the biggest regional carrier in Europe.
You may recall that it connected the UK’s cities, great and small, with some ventures into “near Europe”: Amsterdam, Dusseldorf and Paris.
But Flybe slumped from a brief post-IPO market capitalisation of £250m to a machine that devoured cash from its rescuers – Virgin Atlantic, Stobart Air and US hedge fund Cyrus Capital – by the million, until they gave up the struggle and stumbled away.
Flybe briefly hit the headlines last week, when one of its Q400 aircraft was being prepared to leave Aberdeen airport but crumpled into an Embraer jet belonging to Loganair – its erstwhile partner turned foe.
“Haunting us from beyond the grave,” one Loganair insider said.
Then, just as all aviation eyes were on the mesmerising spectacle of a parade of ministers announcing that an announcement about the quarantine announcement was impending, they just couldn’t say when, Flybe popped up again.
In an interview with The Australian, Jonathan Peachey – adviser to Cyrus Capital – said: “We are doing everything we can to ensure that the business can emerge in some form from administration.”
Oh dear. It was awful for more than 2,000 Flybe staff when the airline collapsed, and dismal for the travellers who depended on it – especially at airports such as Belfast City and Southampton, where Flybe was the dominant carrier.
But reinventing the same airline would be as much of a failure as Laker Airways mark 2 and 3 turned out to be – the buccaneering Sir Freddie had two more goes at cheap-and-cheerful travel after Skytrain, but the magic had gone and the market had changed.
When the wretched coronavirus crisis eases and regional flying resumes, Flybe’s former rivals will pick up the profitable pieces. Loganair is already connecting Glasgow and Edinburgh with Southampton, and will shortly launch a link between Belfast City and Glasgow.
The previously lucrative links from Birmingham to Scotland’s two biggest cities may not be so profitable in an age of austerity and Zoom meetings – but easyJet will find out soon enough how much demand remains. And since Manchester airport has direct trains to the centres of both Edinburgh and Glasgow, the demise of these sub-200-mile routes is a reasonable outcome.
The triumvirate who tried to turn Flybe into Virgin Connect pumped £100m-plus into an airline that was haemorrhaging cash.
According to a leaked message to staff from Mark Anderson, the unfortunate chief executive at the time of the failure, all but £27m of the rescue fund “was gone before we even really started … we were in worse shape than even the shareholders thought we were”.
Flybe had the right kind of staff but the wrong kind of fleet (a muddle of unloved Q400s and ungainly Embraer jets), and a network that strayed dangerously beyond its potentially profitable UK core. Leeds Bradford to Dusseldorf and Cardiff to Milan were among the expensive aberrations.
Bereft of life, Flybe rests in peace. And that is where it should stay.