Boris produces bubbles of nonsense when quizzed about Carrie

At PMQs on Wednesday

John Crace www.theguardian.com (Extract)

….First though, was a question from Labour’s Chris Elmore. Could Johnson confirm or deny whether he has ever tried to blag a job in government or the royal household for his girlfriend – now wife – Carrie Johnson? Bubbles of nonsense dribbled from the Convict’s mouth. What he had done is find lots of other people a job. Which must be why so many people are out of work. But no outright denial. Everyone was just amazed that he hadn’t lied.

So we can take that as a yes, then. After all, Johnson’s only interest in institutions and their safeguards is in how they can be twisted and corrupted to his ends. What is the point of going to all that trouble to become foreign secretary or prime minister if you’re not going to try to use your influence to find your lover a job?

Hell, he’d bought off his own brother with a peerage. He’d given Evgeny Lebedev a peerage. Even Evgeny’s friends have yet to work out if he exists in three dimensions. Mostly he resembles a bearded cardboard cutout. A billionaire without quality. And it’s rumoured he plans to elevate Paul Dacre to the Lords. So finding his latest lover a cushy number was a complete no-brainer. I mean, who wouldn’t want to be paid £100k for doing next to nothing in the Foreign Office if the only other job on offer was as a £10k cleaner in a care home?

With the Convict visibly rattled, Starmer pounced. The Tory candidate in the Wakefield byelection had been put to a vote of no confidence by his own party. Did that ring any bells? Maybe Johnson should consider himself as something of a trendsetter. Buy one, get one free. Maybe there was a run on useless people standing for office in the Conservatives. And was there a reason Boris hadn’t actually bothered to visit Wakefield? Had he decided that two crap people nobody wants, standing next to each other, wasn’t the best of looks?

“Pifflepafflewifflewaffle.” Johnson splurged, his face turning crimson with the exertion of trying to speak in intelligible sentences. “But what about the rail strikes?” Ah, glad you’ve mentioned them, said Starmer. He might have gone media-shy the previous day but he was now all ready for a conversation.

What on earth had the Convict and Grant Shapps been doing with themselves for the past few months? Had the transport secretary got stuck on holiday in Málaga again? Only two years ago he had had to cancel his hols before they had started as he hadn’t realised the government’s own health regulations had changed. How stupid do you need to be to become a cabinet minister these days?

Still Johnson and Shapps had both turned up at a Tory fundraiser at the V&A this week, where Johnson had found some sucker willing to pay £120k for dinner with him, Theresa May and David Cameron. Most sane rich people would pay more than that to get out of a dinner with that cast list. At least then you could escape without Boris trying to shag you. Presumably there were no takers for a day of Create Your Own Ponzi Scheme with Michael Green…….

Nobody should be allowed to grind public transport to a halt – Simon Jupp

(And nobody should be allowed to confuse facts with fiction – Owl)

Simon Jupp weighs in on the rail strike, following the party line, but he needs to pay attention to detail and up his game.

For example he says: “The government cannot support union demands for pay increases of 11%

This looks to Owl’s fact checker to be grossly misleading.

Sky news reports: Striking rail workers are asking for a 7% pay rise, despite CPI inflation at 9.1% and RPI at 11.7%. NHS workers and teachers have also threatened to walk out if the government doesn’t up their pay deals. (The Telegraph carries a similar report) 

And remember that the Treasury plans to return to the “triple lock” system, by which the state pension is increased annually in line with inflation (CPI), average earnings or a flat rate of 2.5 per cent, whichever is highest. The “triple lock” was suspended for 2022/23.

The next rise, which will take place in April 2023, will be based on the reading of the consumer price index (CPI) this coming September, when it is expected to reach 10 per cent.

Nobody should be allowed to grind public transport to a halt 

Simon Jupp www.devonlive.com

Many of us in East Devon use the railway regularly to get to school, work, or see friends and family. The railways also connect many of our rural communities with Exeter, including Lympstone, Whimple and Cranbrook. It’s a vital service for many, every day.

As readers will be aware, RMT union members are on strike this week in a dispute with Network Rail over their pay, staffing cuts and working conditions. I’m concerned by the potential for this large-scale industrial action to continue over the summer, disrupting vital services, NHS appointments, and GCSE exams.

There will be disruption to our recovering hospitality and tourism businesses in Exmouth, Topsham, and elsewhere, with people unable to reach hotels or honour restaurant reservations. In addition, the strikes could exasperate existing national trends of working from home, damaging productivity and high street businesses. This will also add extra unnecessary stress on to students who are due to take important exams this week, with schools already writing to parents worried about their children missing tests because they can’t get to school.

The government cannot support union demands for pay increases of 11%. As we know, there’s no such thing as government money – it’s your money. Despite £16 billion of emergency subsidy during the pandemic, the technological reforms necessary to make further funding sustainable are being blocked by militant unions.

One of these reforms is much talked about – the closure of ticket offices. As well as reducing staffing costs, this will allow station staff to be better placed on the platforms, directing travellers and assisting with any accessibility requirements. Because many people purchase their train tickets online and access them on their smart phone, it’s right the government is looking at ways to modernise the railway. Not everyone is on the internet or has access to a smart phone and those people must still be able to buy or collect their tickets from the station. Whilst systems should be modernised, the railways must remain accessible for everyone and I will be pushing the government on this.

The strike action is taking place on Tuesday 21 st , Thursday 24 th and Saturday 26 th June, with only a skeleton service on these days. The action has been designed for maximum disruption and the whole week will be severely impacted. We’re being particularly affected in the South West and I’m in frequent discussions with the railway companies, including GWR and SWR, on how they plan to mitigate the disruption for us here in East Devon.

On the strike days, GWR say they are running some services on the Devon mainline to Paddington but these are starting late and finish early. GWR expects these will be busy. GWR are not running services along the Avocet line between Exmouth and Exeter. SWR are not running services west of Basingstoke, also known as the West of England line. That means no trains between Exeter and Whimple, Cranbrook and Honiton.

The scheduling for the intervening days looks better with services across the network akin to typical Sundays. There is the potential for a slow start though, with trains and drivers starting the day in the wrong place to begin a normal service.

We’re experiencing a staggering level of disruption – triggered by the unreasonable demands of left-wing unions and supported by the Labour Party. It cannot happen again. I sit on the Transport Select Committee, and I will be pressing the case for legislation requiring minimum service levels on the railway network.

Whilst passenger numbers on the railways are doing well locally, they are still some way off pre-pandemic levels nationally. These strikes will have put some people off the railway for good. If we want to get more people to use public transport, we can’t let unions dictate when people can get to where they need to be. Nobody should be allowed to grind public transport to a halt.

Tiverton and Honiton – Stunning Lib Dem  victory

Lib Dems win Tiverton and Honiton byelection, overturning huge Tory majority, gaining 6,144 majority.

Oliver Dowden quits as Tory party chairman, Boris claims his own resignation would be “crazy”, Helen Hurford fails to take the stage when results declared even to giver her thanks to the returning officer.

Richard Foord’s acceptance speech in full

After the results were declared, the new MP new Lib Dem MP for Tiverton and Honiton addressed the crowd and said:

“I’d like to thank the Returning Officer, her staff and my fellow candidates for a well run election and count.

“To my wife Kate, and our three wonderful children – thank you. I couldn’t have done this without your love.

“I’d like to thank my election agent Simon Drage, my incredible campaign team, the local party members and Liberal Democrat supporters here in Tiverton & Honiton, and the thousands of Liberal Democrat campaigners from across the country who came to volunteer with me here in Devon.

“Your extraordinary efforts have delivered a historic result and sent a shockwave through British politics

“Tonight, the people of Tiverton & Honiton have spoken for Britain. They’ve sent a loud and clear message: It’s time for Boris Johnson to go. And go now.

“Ours is a great country and there’s no greater part of it than Devon. But every day Boris Johnson clings to office, he brings further shame, chaos and neglect.

“I’ve heard about the pain people are suffering as the cost of living crisis starts to bite.

“Yet when Boris Johnson could be fighting for farmers, for our NHS and for rural services, he’ll be fighting once again to save his own skin.

“I also have a simple message for those Conservative MPs propping up this failing Prime Minister:

“The Liberal Democrats are coming.

“If you don’t take action to restore decency, respect and British values to Downing Street, you too will face election defeats like the one we have seen here tonight.

“It is time to do what’s right for our country. You know in your heart that your leader is not the person to lead this great nation into the future.

“Across the country, the Liberal Democrats are taking on the Conservatives and winning.

“Thousands of lifelong Conservative voters, appalled by Boris Johnson’s lies and fed up with being taken for granted.

“Thousands of Labour voters, choosing to lend their votes to the candidate with the best chance of beating the Conservatives.

“Thousands of people who believe our politics should be about building a better life for everyone, not a daily parade of self-serving chaos.

“All of them, voting for the Liberal Democrats.

“These are difficult times for our country.

“The cost of living crisis – as we know here in Devon – is hitting hard: people are being forced to choose between filling up their car, or putting food on the table.

“Our local NHS is teetering on the brink.

“Our rural economy is in a precarious state with people’s livelihoods at risk.

“Our country is crying out for leadership.

“I served as an officer in the British Army for 10 years, Mr Johnson.

“I can tell you that leadership means acting with decency and integrity. It means keeping your word. It means setting an example and putting other people’s needs before your own.

“I served alongside friends who personified these values, and laid down their lives in service of their country.

“And yet your behaviour Mr Johnson, makes a mockery of leadership. By any measure, you are unfit to lead.

“The people of Tiverton & Honiton have told you tonight that enough is enough. They demand a change.

“The only decent course of action left open to you is to heed their call and resign.

“I want to pay tribute to Ed Davey.

“Ed, thanks to you the Liberal Democrats are taking on Boris Johnson across the blue wall and winning. From Chesham & Amersham to North Shropshire to here in Tiverton & Honiton.

“You believed from the start that this result was possible. You rallied our troops and led from the front.

“Whether it is on the streets of Seaton or Bampton, Honiton or Branscombe, Axminster or Tiverton, you have led the charge for change.

“But finally, and most importantly of all, thank you to the people of Tiverton & Honiton, and everyone in our part of Devon.

“For your support throughout this campaign.

“For putting your faith in me to be your champion in Parliament.

“But finally, and most importantly of all, thank you to the people of Tiverton & Honiton, and everyone in our part of Devon.

“For your support throughout this campaign.

“For putting your faith in me to be your champion in Parliament.

“As your local MP, I promise I will work tirelessly for you. I will always put local people and our communities first.

“Whether you supported me or supported someone else, I want to let you know, I’m here to represent you and to stand up for everyone in Tiverton & Honiton.

“I will never take you for granted.

“Thank you.”

No words from the Conservatives

Helen Hurford did not take to the stage following the declaration

How Tiverton and Honiton voted – results in full

Full results of Tiverton and Honiton by-election.

Liberal Democrat gain from Conservatives.

Richard Foord (LD) 22,537 (52.91%, +38.14%)

Helen Hurford (C) 16,393 (38.49%, -21.72%)

Liz Pole (Lab) 1,562 (3.67%, -15.88%)

Gill Westcott (Green) 1,064 (2.50%, -1.34%)

Andy Foan (Reform) 481 (1.13%)

Ben Walker (UKIP) 241 (0.57%, -1.06%)

Jordan Donoghue-Morgan (Heritage) 167 (0.39%)

Frankie Rufolo (FB) 146 (0.34%)

LD maj 6,144 (14.43%)

29.93% swing C to LD

Electorate 81,661; Turnout 42,591 (52.16%, -19.71%)

2019: C maj 24,239 (40.66%) – Turnout 59,613 (71.86%)

Parish (C) 35,893 (60.21%); Pole (Lab) 11,654 (19.55%); Timperley (LD) 8,807 (14.77%); Reed (Green) 2,291 (3.84%); Dennis (UKIP) 968 (1.62%)

TV chef Hugh says sorry for his by-election vote

TV chef and environment campaigner Hugh Fearnley-Whittingstall has apologised to the Green Party for voting Liberal Democrat in the Tiverton and Honiton by-election. The chef runs his River Cottage food and farming operation, featured in a popular Channel 4 series, from an organic smallholding near Axminster, in East Devon.

Edward Oldfield www.devonlive.com 

He revealed his vote in Thursday’s by-election a series of tweets, complaining about the “unfair” election system. He said it was the only way to “unseat the Tories”. He explained: “I’m voting in the Honiton and Tiverton by-election today. And I’m afraid I’m going to break a pledge I made a year ago, when I joined the Green Party. I said I was fed up of voting tactically and made a commitment to vote Green at every opportunity.

“I simply wanted my green vote to be counted, even when I knew I couldn’t really make it count. A system where one million General Election votes gets the Tories 20 MPs but the Greens only 1 is a grossly unfair system.

“So unfair that there are times when the opportunity to “game it to change it” becomes almost impossible to resist. Today I have such an opportunity, a chance to cast a vote that might actually have an impact on that system.

“It’s going to be very tight, but if we can unseat the Tories here today we can, in a small but not insignificant way, shift the dial towards a progressive alliance and perhaps ultimately a more representative democracy.

“And so, with apologies to my friends in the Green Party, of which I remain proud to be a member, today I will be voting for the Lib Dems. I will not feel as good or as honest as I would voting green. But in a contest that could well go to the wire, I feel it’s what I have to do.”

Eight candidates are standing for election in the Tiverton and Honiton constituency after Conservative MP Neil Parish resigned for watching pornography on his phone in the House of Commons. The Conservatives are defending a majority of more than 24,000 from the 2019 General Election, with the main challenge coming from the Liberal Democrats who believe they can take the seat.

Pollsters suggest the Liberal Democrats have the best chance of taking the seat from the Tories, after recent by-election successes in North Shropshire and Chesham and Amersham in Buckinghamshire. The Tiverton and Honiton vote is on the same day as a by-election in Wakefield, West Yorkshire, following the resignation of the Conservative MP after a conviction for sexual assault. Labour are poised to regain the seat, which they lost in 2019.

The Tiverton and Honiton Conservative candidate Helen Hurford, a head teacher turned beauty salon owner, says she is the only one who can work with the Tory government to deliver improvements. The main challenger, Liberal Democrat Richard Foord, a former Army major who served in Kosovo and Iraq, says the Conservatives have taken for granted what they see as a safe seat.

The by-elections are also being seen as a test of the prime minister’s popularity and the government’s record following the Downing Street parties and the cost of living crisis. The latest polling for the Liberal Democrats in Tiverton and Honiton suggested they and the Conservatives were neck-and-neck on 45 per cent each.

The Tiverton AND Honiton seat has been held by the Tories since its creation in 1997. MP Neil Parish won a majority of 24,239 in 2019. Polling stations for the by-elections in Wakefield in West Yorkshire and Tiverton and Honiton will be open from 7am to 10pm on Thursday, with the results expected between 4am and 6am on Friday.

Teignmouth Hospital: the final nail?

Decision has been going back and forth

Teignmouth Hospital’s fate looks to be sealed after councillors decided not to refer NHS plans to close it back to the health secretary.

Ollie Heptinstall, local democracy reporter www.radioexe.co.uk

The community hospital on Mill Lane, the first to be built by the NHS in 1954,  is due to close, with services moving to Dawlish Hospital and a new £8 million health centre in Teignmouth town centre.

Devon County Council’s health and adult care scrutiny committee referred the decision to the health secretary last year, because it was unhappy with the lack of consultation over the hospital’s future.

Sajid Javid then asked panel of independent experts called the IRP to review the situation. It ruled that the NHS Devon Clinical Commissioning Group (CCG) consultation was “adequate,” thus paving the way for closure.

However, the IRP also said there were “lessons to be learned for both parties,” adding the NHS must engage with the local community to “determine the future” of the community hospital.

Speaking at a meeting of the committee on Tuesday [21 June], representatives from the NHS defended the “modernisation” plans for healthcare in the town, despite criticism from a number of public speakers and councillors.

Teignbridge District Council vice chairman Chris Clarence called for another referral to the health secretary “on a question of medical service provision in the local community.”

The Tory councillor said: “The majority of you [the committee] are of the same political persuasion as me – a Conservative. How does this possible closure of Teignmouth Hospital look to the local community when our leader Boris Johnson is advocating building more hospitals?

“Yet here we are, the South Devon NHS Trust, considering the closure of one. Let’s hope a referral to the secretary of state triggering an examination by the IRP will lead to the obvious conclusion of retaining Teignmouth Hospital with some beds back in it.”

Campaigners claim community beds are “desperately needed.” A petition signed by over a thousand people urged the NHS to keep the hospital open.

But at this week’s meeting, health leaders said the new integrated care model, which includes aiming to avoid admissions into hospitals where possible, is the “direction of travel we’re going to take across Devon.”

Jo Turl, director of out-of-hospital commissioning, explained: “We can care for four times as many individuals at home, using the same level of staffing, same resources, rather than having those individuals in beds.”

She continued: “We can care for a lot more people by doing it this way, but also the outcomes are better for those individuals as well.”

Councillor Tracy Adams (Labour, Pinhoe & Mincinglake), while saying the plan was “very exciting,” questioned whether tsufficient workers were available to provide care at home, given the current “difficulties of getting any care workers.”

Shelly Machin, system director at Torbay and South Devon NHS Trust, said: We’ve done well with our recruitment into our intermediate care teams, our teams that are providing support in the community, because it is seen as being part of something really quite special.”

Cllr David Cox (Lib Dem) stressed the importance of retaining the hospital, particularly for people who don’t need acute care but can’t be taken home. He said it could be run by the voluntary sector rather the NHS.

He proposed the committee referred the decision to Mr Javid again, saying the closure is “not in the interests of the health service of the area,” but a majority of members voted against.

Instead they agreed to a recommendation which includes noting the progress and outcomes in the NHS report and to “continue to build on the recent progress in working more closely together.”

The NHS will submit a planning application for the new health centre on Brunswick Street at the end of August or in September. It comes after Teignbridge District Council agreed to sell the land to Torbay and South Devon NHS Foundation Trust in April.

Speaking when the decision was made, Cllr Richard Keeling (Lib Dem, Chudleigh), the council’s executive member for corporate resources, said: “This has been a positive collaboration with the NHS to provide a modern and accessible health care hub in the centre of a flourishing seaside town; bringing together doctors, surgeries and other care facilities.”

Work is expected to start on the building in early in 2023 and take around 18 months.

The largest of Teignmouth’s two existing GP practices – Channel View Medical Group – will move into the centre when it opens but the other one has decided not to.

In addition, it is planned to be occupied by:

  • The health and wellbeing team, comprising community nurses, therapists and social workers
  • Community clinics including podiatry, physiotherapy and audiology
  • Specialist orthopaedic outpatient clinics and specialist ear nose and throat services
  • The voluntary sector in the form of Volunteering in Health
  • Potentially one of the existing Teignmouth pharmacies
  • Councillors were also told the NHS will engage with the community about the future use of the Teignmouth Hospital site, with no decision made on selling it yet.

It has been designated as an “asset of community value”, meaning the local community will have the right to bid for the building should it be put up for sale.

The Tories are at risk of losing more than both by-elections

Boris Johnson has survived the verdict of his own MPs – for the time being at least. But on Thursday he faces the judgement of the electorate in two key parliamentary by-elections at opposite ends of England, in Wakefield and Tiverton and Honiton.

John Curtice www.independent.co.uk 

The verdict from the ballot boxes may not be so kind for the prime minister. Certainly, his party faces a severe challenge in retaining the Wakefield seat. One of the so-called “red wall” seats that the Conservatives gained in 2019 – after not having been victorious locally since 1931 – the party is defending a relatively small seven-and-a-half point majority.

A swing of a little less than 4 per cent from Conservative to Labour would be sufficient for Sir Keir Starmer to reclaim the seat and register his party’s first by-election gain under his leadership.

Labour ought to have little difficulty in surmounting this hurdle. At the moment, the national polls are registering as much as a nine-point swing since the last general election – and by-elections in the middle of a parliament often record markedly bigger swings to the opposition than those in the current national polls, as some voters use the by-election to express a mid-term protest.

True, the Brexit party won six per cent of the vote locally in 2019, votes that the Conservatives might now hope to pick up, but even if they do – and there are plenty of other Eurosceptic options available to voters on the Wakefield ballot paper – this is unlikely to be sufficient to stem the outgoing Tory tide.

Indeed, there are signs that Labour might well win the seat quite comfortably. Voters in the constituency went to the polls just last month in order to vote for their local councilors – and across the constituency Labour were ahead of the Conservatives by 51 per cent to 34 per cent.

Meanwhile two polls conducted early on in the campaign (albeit with limited sample sizes) put Labour at 20 and 23 points ahead. Indeed, a 20 point lead would represent a swing of nearly 14 points, higher than the party has achieved at any by-election since the party lost power at Westminster in 2010.

In truth, this is probably the kind of result that the party needs to achieve if it is to suggest that it might be capable of posing a bigger threat to the Conservatives than it did at the last three general elections.

The other by-election, in Tiverton and Honiton, is very different in character. This is what would usually be regarded as a safe Conservative seat. The party won 60 per cent of the vote in 2019, enough to put it 20 points ahead of Labour, and 25 points of the Liberal Democrats. Only once – in a 1920s by-election – has the area ever elected anything other than a Conservative MP.

Yet, despite starting in third place, the Liberal Democrats are pouring their activists into the constituency. The party hopes to repeat its success last December when, although starting in third place, it took North Shropshire from the Conservatives on a 34-point swing – well above the 23-point swing it now needs in Tiverton and Honiton.

Meanwhile, despite their current third place, the Liberal Democrats have performed strongly in the constituency in the past, most notably almost winning the seat at the 1997 general election. In short, there is a past local tradition of voting Liberal Democrat that the party might hope to revive on Thursday.

Success for the Liberal Democrats is by no means guaranteed. The party is still no stronger in the national polls than it was at the last general election – so it is wholly reliant on the momentum that it can generate locally. Success will depend not only its ability to garner the support of dissatisfied Conservatives but also the tactical support of those who would otherwise vote Labour.

Whether or not Labour’s vote collapses to the benefit of the Liberal Democrats, as it did both in North Shropshire and in the Liberal Democrats’ other by-election success a year ago in Chesham and Amersham, could well be crucial to the outcome.

Indeed, what Labour supporters decide to do in Tiverton and Honiton (and the already small body of Liberal Democrat supporters in Wakefield) could well be the most important feature of Thursday’s two results. In 2019, there was relatively little evidence of anti-Conservative tactical switching (in either direction) among Labour and the Liberal Democrat supporters.

Many Labour supporters had seemingly not forgiven the Liberal Democrats for their involvement in the 2010-15 Tory-led coalition, while many Liberal Democrats regarded backing Labour as a leftward step too far. However, there were signs in last month’s local elections that those days may be over, with both Labour and the Liberal Democrats advancing most strongly in Tory-held wards where they were starting off in second place.

Such a pattern implies that the Conservatives may now not only face the challenge of how to recover the support lost in the wake of Partygate and the cost of living crisis, but also that of overcoming an increased antipathy to Boris Johnson and his government, an antipathy that threatens the party with the prospect of having to fight the next election on two fronts as opposition supporters use whatever stick – be it Labour or the Liberal Democrats – seems the most effective way of beating the Conservatives locally.

As Lady Bracknell might observe, for the Conservatives to lose one by-election on Thursday might be regarded as unfortunate. However, to lose two might look like much more than carelessness – but a sign of a government that is at risk of losing its electoral footing.

John Curtice is professor of politics, Strathclyde University, and senior research fellow at NatCen Social Research and The UK in a Changing Europe

Tories’ Helen Hurford hides from voters and media as Tiverton and Honiton by-election looms

You would be forgiven for thinking the Conservative Party had forgotten how to campaign.

Frit” – Owl

By David Parsley inews.co.uk 

Throughout large and rural Tiverton and Honiton constituency, there’s barely a Conservative poster to be seen, no sign of the party faithful knocking on doors, and the candidate Helen Hurford is in hiding.

Having seen the former headteacher turned beauty salon owner at two hustings – over the past week – she could not get away with claiming prior diary commitments to avoid those even though she tried – I know there is little point in waiting around to try and speak with her after taking part in the BBC Radio Devon’s candidates’ debate on Tuesday morning.

She tends not to hang around to chat to voters, and a comment to the media is out of the question.

My hunch was that the same would happen again, so instead of watching her leg it to her car after the debate – which is exactly what she did according to those on the ground – I decide to camp outside her campaign headquarters, tucked away from public view between Tiverton and Cullompton, where I listen to the debate and await her inevitable arrival soon after it ended.

The radio debate, in which she announces her plan to deliver “adequate” public services to the people of mid-Devon, ended at 10am. At 10.15am she arrives at HQ with her sidekick, local Tory chairman Gillian Evans.

As she enters the reception area, I follow her in. Immediately after identifying myself Ms Evans whisks her charge away to the back of the office.

Two burly volunteers then block my path to her and tell me to leave, suggesting I get in touch with the press office to request an interview, something I have done on countless occasions over the past week.

I ask to put just a couple of questions to Ms Hurford.

“This is private property, please leave,” says one of the Tory enforcers.

So, off I go to try my luck at Ms Hurford’s other campaign office on an industrial estate at the other end of the constituency in Honiton. No luck here either.

After asking the lone Tory activist how the campaign is going, he puts himself between me and the entrance.

“This is private property, and you need to leave”, he says, assisting me out of the door a nudge.

This is a common occurrence in this Conservative campaign. Ms Hurford has only been seen at structured events. She has not been let loose among anyone other than Conservative acolytes.

Helen Hurford's Conservative campaign hideaway (Photo: David Parsley)

Helen Hurford’s Conservative campaign hideaway (Photo: David Parsley)

Over the past three weeks I have spoken to hundreds of local residents in dozens of towns and villages across this traditionally true-blue seat. Not one of them has seen the Conservative candidate on their street, let alone knock on their door.

Many have seen the other candidates, especially Ms Hurford’s main rival, the Liberal Democrats’ Richard Foord.

Why is Ms Hurford avoiding the locals and hiding from a media attempting to put questions to her on behalf of voters?

I can think of two possible reasons. First, the Tories don’t think she’s up to facing probing questions.

Second, the campaign thinks it already has this by-election in the bag, which is not crazy talk considering the Tories are defending a huge majority of 24,239.

However, an internal Tory campaign email pleading for more volunteers to “get our voters to the polls” would suggest Ms Hurford is not entirely convinced she will retain this seat for her party.

While the media is all but banned from getting close to Ms Hurford, the same cannot be said of her Lib Deb rival in this by by-election, forced upon Boris Johnson after his Neil Parish resigned the seat after being caught watching porn on his mobile phone in Parliament.

Indeed, Mr Foord cannot get enough of talking to voters, or pushing his message to the media.

Liberal Democrat candidate Richard Foord (left) meets with former NFU deputy president Stuart Roberts and farmer Ella Weech (Photo: Supplied)

After being thrown out of the Tory campaign offices I took to the country lanes of the glorious Blackdown Hills to meet him at Ella and Ed’s Burnt House Farm.

On the way I begin to count how many signs the Lib Dems have. I stop at well over 200, largely because the narrow lanes require my full attention.

There were no burly fellas getting in the way of this candidate, but the cattle being herded along the roads almost made me miss my appointment.

I’m 10 minutes late, but Mr Foord doesn’t mind. He introduces me to Stuart Roberts, who stepped down as deputy president of the National Farmers Union in February so he could add his support the Lib Dem campaign in Tiverton and Honiton.

The agriculture vote traditionally goes to the Conservatives, but many farmers are now tempted to switch as they feel the Government has sold them down the river by cutting funding and doing post-Brexit deals with the likes of New Zealand and Australia that undermine their ability to compete.

It is a crucial block vote in these parts, and Mr Foord is doing all he can get as much of it over to his side.

“If you saw the face of the Australian agriculture minister when he was announcing this deal to his farmers you could tell he was very please indeed,” says Mr Roberts.

“I just wish we had ministers that were as passionate about helping farmers. Instead, they undermine us with trade deals that bring cheap and low standard produce into the UK. Plus, they are taking £94m of funding from farmers, which will mean many will go under.”

The latest internal polling from the Lib Dems shows Mr Foord and Ms Hurford are neck and neck, both with 45 per cent of the vote. However, there are many undecideds yet to convince and both camps are hoping they will plump for their candidate when the polls open on Thursday.

I find one of those undecided voters as a grab a bite in Toast, a delicious café in Honiton.

“I don’t know who I’m voting for,” she says. “I know Helen [Hurford] pretty well as her beauty salon is opposite my house. But I don’t know if I’m voting for her or the Lib Dems. It’s a bit difficult.”

“I’m seeing a change,” says Mr Foord. “This week we have certainly met many people who are coming over to the Liberal Democrats. That doesn’t mean I’m saying we will win. It means I believe it’s going to be very close.

“One thing I am certain of is that the Conservatives can no longer rely on this being a safe seat with a huge majority. They have taken Tiverton and Honiton for granted for far too long and the people here know that.”

As Mr Foord pops off to feed the sheep, the contrast between the Lib Dem and Tory campaigns could not be starker. I am invited to accompany Mr Foord on the final day of campaigning, along with former Lib Dem leader Tim Farron.

I have asked Ms Hurford to go out and shadow her as she attempts gain votes for weeks but, unsurprisingly, the answer is always a firm “no”.

This means of course, I will never know if the residents I spoke to are right, and whether she does actually knock on doors.

Martin Shaw: Tomorrow is decision-day for Tiverton & Honiton: united we can win

Tomorrow we, the voters of Tiverton & Honiton, choose our MP. We have a unique opportunity, in the face of the most deceitful, corrupt and authoritarian Tory government in living memory, to get a decent, honest MP who will oppose its mounting crimes against democracy.

Martin Shaw, Chair East Devon Alliance (and so says Owl)

seatonmatters.org 

‘In this election, many will find tactical voting the only way forward.’ – Gill Westcott, Green candidate

Richard Foord is not just the Liberal Democrat candidate. He is the candidate of all Labour, Green and independent voters who wish for change in this election.

UNITED we can defeat the dismally ignorant Conservative candidate who will simply be a tool of Boris Johnson and his party machine.

As Gill Westcott, the Green Party candidate, says in today’s Midweek Herald: ‘In this election, many will find tactical voting the only way forward.’

This is grown-up politics. In other words, don’t vote for me, but vote Liberal Democrat because they can WIN!

Boris brand loses 60% of its value at auction

After a fierce bidding war, the dinner with Boris Johnson and the two leaders he helped get rid of — David Cameron and Theresa May — went for £120,000 to an undisclosed bidder. However, in perhaps a sign of flagging donor enthusiasm for “face time” with the party’s big names after 12 years in power, it was still some way off the £300,000 paid for dinner with Johnson after he became prime minister in July 2019.

Awkward reunion ahead for Boris Johnson and former PMs at donor dinner

Oliver Wright www.thetimes.co.uk 

Dave doesn’t much like Boris and Boris doesn’t much like Dave. Theresa really doesn’t like either of them — and isn’t very good at hiding it.

Now one lucky Tory donor will have the privilege of watching the past decade of Conservative psychodrama play out in front of them over a three-course dinner.

The “prize” was the star attraction at the Tory fundraising dinner at the V&A museum in South Kensington last night [Monday], which included an Abba tribute band and a host of cabinet ministers under strict instruction to turn on the charm for the party’s donor base.

After a fierce bidding war, the dinner with Boris Johnson and the two leaders he helped get rid of — David Cameron and Theresa May — went for £120,000 to an undisclosed bidder. However, in perhaps a sign of flagging donor enthusiasm for “face time” with the party’s big names after 12 years in power, it was still some way off the £300,000 paid for dinner with Johnson after he became prime minister in July 2019.

Those attending the event included the property tycoon Nick Candy and the former investment banker Lubov Chernukhin, whose husband Vladimir is a former chairman of the Russian state development corporation VEB.RF, which has been placed under sanctions by the UK.

After Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the party has faced calls to return more than £2 million that Chernukhin has given it over the years. It has refused to do so.

Chernukhin has a reputation as a big bidder at fundraisers. She previously paid £160,000 for the chance to play tennis with Cameron and Johnson in 2014, and £135,000 to have dinner with May and six of her cabinet ministers in 2019.

Those attending the V&A dinner had to run a gauntlet of boos after dozens of workers from the Public and Commercial Services Union and the former shadow chancellor John McDonnell turned up to picket the event.

Inside guests dined on salmon tartare followed by beef with asparagus mash, and finished off with passion fruit meringues. Premium tables for ten went for £20,000 each and standard ones for £12,500, with guests including Priti Patel, Liz Truss and Sajid Javid as well as Johnson.

Auction prizes also included an African safari trip sold for £65,000, a shooting weekend for £37,000, and a wine tasting for £30,000.

A Conservative spokesman told The Spectator: “Fundraising is a legitimate part of the democratic process. The alternative is more taxpayer-funding of political campaigning, which would mean less money for frontline services like schools, police and hospitals — or else, being in the pocket of union barons, like the Labour Party.”

Are the rail strikes a “wedge” issue?

Majority of voters back rail strikes and think Boris Johnson not doing enough to prevent them

Andrew Woodcock www.independent.co.uk

A majority of voters think this week’s rail strikes are justified and two-thirds (66 per cent) think the government has not done enough to prevent them happening, according to a new poll.

The survey, by Savanta ComRes, found that 58 per cent of those questioned thought the strikes were justified, against just one-third (34 per cent) who say they are not.

The findings, based on a poll of 2,336 adults on Monday, suggest that Boris Johnson’s attempts to use the strikes as a “wedge” issue to draw a political line with Labour may not be succeeding.

However, Savanta’s political research director Chris Hopkins cautioned that opinions may shift over the course of week of disruption during which three strike days are planned.

Strikingly, the poll found that six in 10 (60 per cent) say that they are generally supportive of workers striking, while just 35 per cent were generally opposed.

The poll indicated that more voters blame government than the unions for the industrial action, which is expected to be followed by more strikes later in the year.

Some 66 per cent said that the government had not done enough to prevent them happening, 61 per cent said the same about transport secretary Grant Shapps, 57 per cent Network Rail and 49 per cent the RMT.

Younger voters aged 18-34 (72 per cent) and Labour voters (79 per cent) were more likely to see the strikes as justified compared to their older (44 per cent) and Conservative-voting (38 per cent) counterparts.

Bookies predict Tiverton and Honiton by-election bloody nose for Boris

Betfred is predicting an historic by-election defeat for Boris Johnson. The Liberal Democrats are odds on for a stunning victory at Tiverton and Honiton on Thursday overturning the biggest majority ever in a by-election in British political history.

Lewis Clarke www.devonlive.com

Tiverton shop manager Darren Newberry

The seat is up for grabs after Tory MP Neil Parish resigned after admitting watching porn in the House of Commons. He won the seat in the 2019 General Election with a thumping 24,239 majority – and defeat on Thursday will send shockwaves all the way to Downing Street.

Hundreds of politically savvy Betfred punters, who cashed in big time on Donald Trump being elected against the odds as US president and bashing Betfred again with the against all predictions Brexit vote, have made Devon vote the busiest by-election market in the bookie’s 55-year history.

Of more than 500 punters, who have put their money where their mouths are betting between £2 and £10,000 on the outcome, 47 per cent reckon a win for the Lib-Dem’s Richard Foord is on the cards with 43 per cent going for Conservative candidate Helen Hurford with Labour and the Green Party sharing the remaining ten per cent of the wagers.

Betfred organised £1 free bets in our shop at Bampton Street in Tiverton town centre where the majority of our canny customers thought the Tories were best value to triumph at 11/4 with the Lib-Democrats at 1/ 4 while Labour’s Liz Pole – second in 2019 – are at 150/1 with the Greens and the four other parties Heritage, Reform UK, For Britain and UKIP all at 500/1.

Tiverton shop manager Darren Newberry said: “Normally all the banter as you would expect is about the football, horse racing and greyhounds but this week the shop has been buzzing with everyone talking about the by-election. The interest levels have been phenomenal.”

Of the Betfred customers Roger Hart, a 69 year old grandad, said that the sitting MP had made a “silly mistake” and that Prime Minister had endured a tough two years coping with Covid, the war in Ukraine, cost of living crisis and train strike – not to mention Partygate.

However the retired brewery worker added that he’d previously voted Labour although this time he’d be backing Boris partly because “there is no one else to be Prime Minister.” He reckons the farming community in the constituency will hold sway…and the Conservatives have never let the farmers down.

Supermarket cleaner Anthony Winslet, aged 43 is meanwhile planning to vote Lib-Dem. He said: “They deserve a chance and I prefer them to the Conservatives. It’s not a protest vote but the odds show that this time there is a great chance of a change here.”

BETFRED TIVERTON AND HONITON BY-ELECTION

1/4 Liberal Democrats

11/4 Conservatives

150/1 Labour

500/1 Green Party

500/1 Any Other Party

BETFRED ODDS ON NEXT PERMANENT TORY LEADER

5/1 Jeremy Hunt

5/1 Penny Mordaunt

7/1 Liz Truss

8/1 Tom Tugendhat

9/1 Ben Wallace

9/1 Rishi Sunak

10/1 Nadhim Zahawi

16/1 Sajid Javid

20/1 David Frost

25/1 Dominic Raab

25/1 Michael Gove

33/1 Jacob Rees-Mogg

33/1 Priti Patel

The Tories deserve to lose Tiverton

I have covered many by-elections and Hurford is the worst candidate I have found. Initially she says she wants to share “all my ideas and my aspirations for the Tiverton and Honiton”. The definite article is singular to her; she considers everything from her own perspective; her speech is filled with exclamation marks; its content is banality meets rage. “I know what it’s like to raise a family and be brought up in this area,” she says. “It’s beautiful! I’ve had lots of ministers coming down to support me and they’re saying, ‘isn’t it gorgeous?’ and I say, “Yeah it is, why would you want to live anywhere else?’”

Tanya Gold unherd.com

“We love tractors,” says an old man by Tiverton market, sunning himself on a bench. He gives a filthy laugh and I hear pride in it: he sounds like Sid James. Tractors are why I am here, at least tangentially. In April, the Tory MP Neil Parish Googled a Dominator Tractor in the House of Commons and found himself watching BDSM porn in view of colleagues. He resigned to become a crucible for a by-election and a metaphor for decline. Ennui is the presiding atmosphere in Tiverton and Honiton: boredom. It’s another referendum on the Prime Minister’s leadership. They are getting repetitive.

“There’s nothing happening here,” the man says, when he stops laughing. “They’re just letting this town run down to the ground. They aren’t doing anything. You walk down through there” — and he points at a road — “they were going to take a building down, make more room for the market. They’ve scrapped that now. Why? Nobody knows.”

This is dairy country with undulating, sun-wilted hills from Exmoor to Lyme Bay. The towns are golden and ancient: less sleepy than necrotic. Londoners buy second homes and treat the landscape, which looks like an advert for butter, as a garden while common issues — low pay, lack of housing, infrastructure, local services — have been ignored. Still, it was safe for Tories: farmers are conservative. Parish’s majority in 2019 was 24,239 votes: 60.2% of the vote. Labour came second in 2019 and 2017 but the Liberal Democrats, the professional opposition, hope to repeat their successes in Chesham and Amersham and North Shropshire with their candidate Richard Foord, a former major in the army.

Three hundred activists a day come from out of the constituency to help: angry Tories don’t vote Labour. If it goes Liberal Democrat, it means Johnson is still in danger. If it doesn’t — and even Liberal Democrats are unsure — it means Partygate is forgotten, and he has hope: to continue his personal redemption through destruction.

“I would like,” the man continues, “to think the Liberal Democrats will get it. Make a completely new start. Because the Conservatives — what have they done?” But this is a by-election: just one less brick in the wall. It will change nothing. Does he know that? He answers his own question, enunciating carefully: “Very, very little. Did he [Neil Parish] make a mistake? Would you walk into the Houses of Parliament and produce a phone and start looking at porn?”

“Is he the only one who’s doing it?” asks his friend, and they guffaw for a while. In east Devon you must be patient. They think in decades. To them, Parish is a fool, not a fiend. There is not the same anger towards him as there was towards Owen Paterson in North Shropshire. Those who liked him still like him. (One man says he loves him.) Those who hate him hated him anyway.

At the edge of Honiton, where it segues from golden town to sprawl, I find the Community Arts Theatre. Public hustings are almost unknown nowadays because they are unpredictable but, since it is organised by the Fund Our Tivvy High campaign — the school needs to be rebuilt — the main candidates agreed to it.

I arrive early and watch the For Britain candidate, a ruddy, pinched boy called Frankie Rufolo, who carries aggrievement like a cartoon cloud over his head, attempt to infiltrate the hustings. He was not invited. “You’re a racist,” a youngish man tells him. “I’m an anti-racist,” Rufolo pleads back. (For Britain is endorsed by Tommy Robinson.) A security guard approaches to remove Rufolo. I ask Rufolo if he is local. “I have relatives in Devon,” he says sulkily. “No, you don’t,” says the security guard, and leads him away, head hanging like a daffodil.

I listen to the Labour candidate Liz Pole, a genial woman essentially trying to climb a mountain in slippers, giving a TV interview: “The Conservative vote has collapsed, even people who are voting Conservative are doing so through gritted teeth, a lot of people are staying home or are switching…” Her press officer, who is presumably decorative, won’t brief me on or off the record but I think it is less tactics — an informal non-aggression pact with the Liberal Democrats is a persistent rumour — than laziness. Later, when I call out to her, she places a finger in the air and walks to the carpark with it.

As the audience muster, a group called LIFT (Local Independents for Tiverton) unfurl a banner that says: The Party’s Over, Prime Minister. Post confidence vote, it is an ancient slogan. It could be by Cicero. “The Conservatives have taken us for granted,” says a LIFT supporter. “The only time we were on the news is when our MP was caught looking at pornography in the House of Commons.” He talks about local food poverty, which is “remarkable” (donations have flat-lined and the church that stores them is empty), the dangerous condition of the school and lack of representation, homes for locals and well-paid jobs. There used to be a clutch of thriving factories around Tiverton, he says. Now they are shuttered or small.

He is by far the angriest man I meet in Devon. This is not raging North Shropshire, where former Conservatives would denounce Johnson on street-corners, or Chesham and Amersham, where the atmosphere was a kind of gleeful transgression in sunlight. It feels sadder than that: splintered, tetchy, defeated, as if Johnson’s corruption is settling over everything like dust, leaving people bewildered and exhausted. Many people tell me they won’t vote, and never have: “I’d rather sit in my garden and have a cold beer.” “They’re all the same”. One Labour woman voted Liberal Democrat tactically in 2010, and never will again; an old betrayal haunts her and so she will help Johnson by voting Labour. A youngish man is one of the few Tory splitters I find: “I was a paid-up member of the Conservative Party and there’s no way I can vote for the Tories in the state they are in. They’ve lurched to the Right.”

Some people are gently awed that politics has fallen on them. A man in a checked blue shirt with exquisite RP accent, who is here to find out if the Conservative candidate is pro field sports, says: “I’m not going to tell you who I normally vote for, but I am much to my own surprise” — and he does look very surprised — “a floating voter.” If he is anything other than a Conservative now leaning Liberal Democrat, he needs a better disguise.

Inside, it is packed with political obsessives who know how they will vote: anti-Tory. The Tory candidate Helen Hurford, a former teacher who now owns a beauty salon — Corbynistas smirk at this because they are snobs — sits with Gill Westcott, the Green Party candidate, who is the sort of woman who sags under her obvious intellect. Liz Pole sits with Richard Foord. He looks open-faced but exhausted, as if a burden is upon him. That’s the disease of by-elections: the idea that they matter for anyone beyond the lobby’s Kremlinologists. They are only runes.

I have covered many by-elections and Hurford is the worst candidate I have found. Initially she says she wants to share “all my ideas and my aspirations for the Tiverton and Honiton”. The definite article is singular to her; she considers everything from her own perspective; her speech is filled with exclamation marks; its content is banality meets rage. “I know what it’s like to raise a family and be brought up in this area,” she says. “It’s beautiful! I’ve had lots of ministers coming down to support me and they’re saying, ‘isn’t it gorgeous?’ and I say, “Yeah it is, why would you want to live anywhere else?’”

A woman in a straw hat rises to ask: “In light of the resignation of two ethics advisers in less than two years, what is your personal view on the moral character of Boris Johnson?” “It’s hard to know where to start, just the lies, the repeated lies,” says Liz Pole, looking phlegmatic because the alternative is screaming: “The brass neck of the man.”

“The first part of that question, I believe, was about the resignation of the ethics advisers,” says Hurford. “It’s very Westmistery. That’s the expression I use. I’m not in Westminster but my understanding is that it was a commercially sensitive issue.” There are heckles at this, but she moves through them like a tank: “That’s what I’ve been told, thank you very much!” The chair presses her: do you have any concerns about his character? “I have no concerns that his pledges are honest”. Foord says: “To lose one ethics advisor could be regarded as misfortune, but to lose two ethics advisers can only be carelessness.”

Hurford is pressed on the cost of living (“I’m feeling it too!”) the environment (“I don’t have the answer!”) and the policy of sending refugees to Rwanda: when the refugees get there — “and it will happen” — they should “be treated kindly and fairly!” She summons Zelenskyy in her support and, at the end, when she is asked who her favourite thinker is, she names her grandfather. (Westcott names Gandhi, Pole Dickens and Foord W. B. Yeats and Paddy Ashdown). “You know, I hated school,” Hurford says conversationally, and it sounds like the truest thing she has said. “Slightly ironic that I became a head teacher.”

I think of May Welland from The Age of Innocence: Hurford has that hard, unyielding brightness. It shines. It lets nothing in. She is a typically Johnsonian Tory; evasive, anti-intellectual and self-obsessed; quick to anger when threatened, slow to change her mind, if she ever does. Every time she speaks, I feel materially closer to autocracy. At the end she says: “This is a fantastic opportunity for a girl that was born and raised and absolutely adores this constituency Tiverton and Honiton”. I wonder if she will burst into song. “Everything that I do will be for the benefit of Tiverton and Honiton because I am Tiverton and Honiton.”

Later I meet Richard Foord. He is not as interesting as Hurford, not being a mad kind of nadir, but he has spoken to hundreds of former Conservatives and, like Pole, he believes the Conservative vote is ebbing. “There are a lot of long-term traditional Conservatives who don’t regard Boris Johnson as a Conservative,” he says. “The most cited reason is that they regard him as lacking in integrity and honesty and for some people these traits are part of their own identity as Conservatives. Some Conservatives do put that above everything else.” There are Johnson loyalists, he adds, “who will stick with him, but I think they are outnumbered by the number of Conservatives who feel they should be better led.”

The next day I find the Liberal Democrat office on Honiton High Street. It is swagged with Union Flags. There are no chairs inside to discourage sitting down, which is not a sign of confidence. An elderly man returns from canvassing in Axminister. He moans that people aren’t budging from the Conservatives — “We are Conservatives,” he reports them saying to him — takes another bundle of leaflets, and leaves disconsolate.

The Honiton Conservative Association, a few doors down, is shuttered. There is a rumour, which I cannot confirm because it is shuttered, that the officers of the Honiton Conservative Association are voting Liberal Democrat. There is a Liberal Democrat sign on the Honiton Conservative Association, but I cannot say who put it there. I think it is a joke.

This by-election is the most depressing I have covered. It feels sunken and shameful, which is not surprising when you consider its origins: a by-election not for constituents, who feel ignored no matter their stripe, but for other people. The media is here, mugging locals and holding up queues in the butchers. They gawp at the nerve of it: as if we are more interested in a prime minister’s fate than a constituency’s. They wonder why they were not always so interesting to us; why we never came here before; if we are irreparably trivial.

I meet aghast and defensive Tories, thwarted Leftists, the undecideds who will choose whether Hurford gets to parliament or not and the eternal, maddening non-voters. But I can’t find the purity of the anger I heard in North Shropshire like a bell. “It’s quite amazing,” a Left-leaning bookseller tells me, his fingers stroking their spines, “how much people will tolerate before they rouse themselves.” I can’t escape the sense that the Tiverton and Honiton is just another distraction: another tiny chapter in the incremental narrative of Boris Johnson’s will to power. I wonder if he is more afraid of boredom or hatred. And we are back to him, again.

Government retracts ‘unlawful’ pollution guidance for England’s farms

Guidance that would have allowed farmers to spread manures and slurry on land in a way that would overload it with nutrients and risk pollution of rivers, lakes and coastal waters has been changed by Defra, after a challenge over its lawfulness.

Rachel Salvidge www.theguardian.com 

Manures, which include sewage sludge, abattoir waste and slurries, are a leading source of water pollution. Their application is strictly controlled under what are known as the Farming Rules for Water. But Defra’s guidance had directed the Environment Agency not to enforce a breach of the rules if a farmer produced its own manures or used imported manures that could lead to nutrient overload.

Campaign group Salmon and Trout Conservation wrote to environment secretary George Eustice in April threatening judicial review unless the guidance was withdrawn, saying it was “unlawful, as it tells the Environment Agency that land managers can, in effect, breach the 2018 regulations … and that any such breach should not normally be subject to any enforcement”.

Defra rejected the claim in May, saying that “the proposed challenge is without merit”. But earlier this month the department changed the guidance to remove the loophole.

Guy Linley-Adams, solicitor to Salmon and Trout Conservation, said that if the guidance had remained unamended, the organisation would have “pressed forward with an application for judicial review, because in our view, and in the view of counsel instructed by Salmon and Trout Conservation, the guidance, as originally published, encouraged unlawful acts.

“Farmers and land managers would have read the guidance and believed it to be permission, in effect, to spread too much manure on their land risking serious agricultural pollution of watercourses,” he said.

Defra said the guidance had been amended by Eustice to “clarify guidance to the Environment Agency on assessment of soil and crop need when planning nutrient applications” and that it had done so “in response to questions raised by stakeholders”.

The Farming Rules for Water were introduced in 2018 at a time when the European Commission was threatening to take the UK to the European court over its failure to deal with diffuse agricultural pollution and protect rivers under the Water Framework Directive.

But to date, the Environment Agency has not prosecuted any farmers or landowners for breaking the rules.

Speaking last month in front of the House of Commons Environment, Food and Rural Affairs committee, Environment Agency chair Sir James Bevan said the rules were deliberately not enforced for the first couple of years “because the government asked us not to”. He said Defra “asked us to work with farmers through advice and guidance while farmers got used to it”. Bevan said the agency had been “more robust” over the last two years.

Salmon and Trout Conservation’s chief executive, Nick Measham, said the government is not doing enough to deal with agricultural pollution of rivers.

“The pollution on the Wye and many other rivers is often the direct result of farmers spreading chicken manure and cattle slurry carelessly or where it is not needed as a fertiliser. It is a huge problem. Agriculture is a bigger cause of our rivers failing to meet good ecological status than the water industry’s dumping of sewage.”

A series of regulations designed to protect the environment from water pollution are likely to be scrapped in their current form as part of Jacob Rees-Mogg’s plans to axe all remaining EU laws by June 2026, and Defra has said it is planning to reform farm rules towards a more advice-led approach.

“We fear the situation is about to get much worse,” said Measham. “The review of the Farming Rules for Water, the Nitrate Regulations and Silage, Slurry and Agricultural Fuel Oil Storage Regulations, that environment minister Rebecca Pow has confirmed is under way, may lead to wholesale watering down of agri-environment regulations, exposing English rivers to greater threat of pollution.”

Tiverton tells Boris Johnson the ‘party’s over’

There was a clear message to Boris Johnson outside a public meeting to hear from candidates at the Tiverton and Honiton by-election. A group turned up with a giant banner spelling out ‘The Party’s Over Prime Minister’, referring to questions over his leadership following revelations about Downing Street parties during the pandemic.

Edward Oldfield www.devonlive.com 

The stunt outside Tiverton Community Arts Theatre was the idea of account manager Rob Corden. He borrowed the banner from a friend in Newquay, who had put it on a barn. Mr Corden, 42, said: “We are all a bit worried about our political culture. We are all a bit fed up. What did it for me, was Nadine Dorries telling backbenchers to be mindful of Tory donors who had threatened to withdraw funding. I don’t think they represent the people, only the interests of the small elite.”

The message was held by supporters of the community group Local Independents for Tiverton. One woman said: “We’re the electorate, and we’ve had enough of his lies, his corruption and his amorality, and it’s time he went.”

The four candidates at the election meeting, including Conservative Helen Hurford, were already inside the building when the banner arrived. But the issue of Downing Street parties, and the prime minister’s character, cropped up during questions from the public in the 90-minute session at the 300-seat theatre, which is part of Tiverton High School, on a warm Thursday evening.

It was the only public meeting in the run-up to the vote for the Tiverton and Honiton seat on Thursday, to replace Conservative Neil Parish who resigned after watching porn on his phone in the House of Commons chamber. It was chaired by George Parker, a former pupil at the school, who was flanked by the Conservative Helen Hurford and the Green Party’s Gill Westcott on one side, with Labour’s Liz Pole and Liberal Democrat Richard Foord on the other.

One questioner asked the candidates for their “personal view of the moral character of Boris Johnson” following the resignation of his second ethics adviser, which triggered an uproar of shouting, cheers and whistles from the lively audience. Ms Pole said the “lies” and “brazenness” left her almost speechless. “People are just so upset about it, it is such a stain on British politics.” She added: “Boris Johnson has got to go.”

Ms Westcott was concerned that the prime minister “might be seen as one bad apple” but pointed out the Conservative Party voted him in as leader “knowing that he was a liar” and had confirmed him in place when he won a confidence vote. She accused the party of voting to increase poverty by ending the £20 Universal Credit uplift. “They are OK with hungry children, OK with changing the ministerial code,” she added, to shouts and cheers from the audience.

Ms Hurford described ‘Partygate’ as “very Westminsterly”, and said her understanding of the resignation of the second ethics adviser Lord Geidt was due to a commercially sensitive issue. She added: “With regard to our prime minister, I believe the pledges he makes.” She had to speak over a barrage of heckling as she pointed to government achievements. She listed the Covid vaccination programme, £37billion of financial aid to tackle the cost of living crisis, and support for Ukraine against Russia, which had brought praise from the Ukrainian president. Ms Hurford concluded her assessment of Mr Johnson with: “I have no concerns that his pledges are honest.”

Mr Foord for the Liberal Democrats pointed out Mr Johnson was the first prime minister in history to have broken the law. He said: “148 MPs who see him up close and personal voted that they had no confidence in him as the leader of the party. If they have no confidence in him as the leader of the party, why on earth should we have confidence in him as the prime minister of our country?” Mr Foord said the election was a chance for voters to “get the prime minister out.”

A £40million rebuild for Tiverton High School was top of the agenda at the meeting, which was organised by the campaign group Fund Our Tivvy High. The meeting heard that a site has been identified and given outline planning permission, but it was waiting for a decision on funding from the government. A Labour plan to rebuild the school was scrapped by Michael Gove, the education secretary in 2010 when the coalition government of Conservatives and Liberal Democrats came to power. All the candidates agreed that the scheme needed to go ahead, but Mr Foord questioned why it had not happened in the 12 years since 2010 when Tiverton had a Tory MP, arguing the town had been bypassed because it was a safe Conservative seat, while Ilfracombe in the marginal North Devon constituency had been given a new school.

The issue focussed attention on the central campaign messages of the Tories and Liberal Democrats. Ms Hurford, a former primary school head teacher, said education funding was a top priority, and argued she was the only candidate who could work with the government to get things done for Tiverton and Honiton. Mr Foord said the Conservatives had taken the area for granted, and the election was a chance to send a message that people wanted change.

On the cost of living crisis, Ms Westcott said the Greens were calling for a £40 increase in Universal Credit, but it needed a long-term solution. Ms Pole said Labour had led on the issue, arguing for a cut in VAT on fuel and a windfall tax on oil firms which the government had eventually done. Mr Foord said a weekly shop had risen by £25 in the last year, while wages had effectively fallen by £65 as energy prices increased. The Liberal Democrats proposed a 2.5 per cent cut in VAT, which would put £600 “back in people’s pockets immediately”. Ms Hurford described it as an unprecedented global crisis which the government had responded to with a £37billion package of financial aid, giving £1,200 to the most vulnerable, and £400 off fuel bills for everyone.

A questioner raised the issue of sending asylum seekers to Rwanda. She described it as “disgraceful”, adding: “I personally feel ashamed at the moment.” Ms Pole described it as “unthinkable”, and Mr Foord said the £500,000 flight was a “gimmick”. Ms Hurford condemned the people smugglers sending people across the Channel from France, and suggested the Rwanda policy would deter people from using illegal routes of entry to the UK.

Outside the theatre, it was unclear how many people had been influenced by what they heard in the debates. One 19-year-old, who will be voting for the first time on Thursday, said he was disappointed by the amount of heckling by people hostile to the Conservatives. He said he was sympathetic to Boris Johnson, who has been getting “a pretty rough time”. One Conservative supporter said it had been a “rough crowd” for their candidate who had handled it well, although other bystanders described her performance as disappointing.

Political commentators are suggesting that the Liberal Democrats are poised to overturn the Conservative majority of more than 24,000 from the 2019 General Election. The Liberal Democrats are cautious about the prospects of making it their third byelection victory in recent months, with a report of their internal polling earlier this week putting them just behind the Tories, but they feel victory is within reach.

Nadine Dorries Says She Does Not Fancy Boris Johnson, Despite The Memes

Owl wonders whether Ms Hurford might call on help from Nadine Dorries in the fight for Tiverton?

Kate Nicholson www.huffingtonpost.co.uk 

Nadine Dorries said she does not fancy the prime minister in an interview on Sunday.

The culture secretary, a long-term ally of Boris Johnson, was responding to questions about why she has supported the prime minister for so long.

LBC presenter Rachel Johnson, who is the prime minister’s sister, said: “I’ve got to ask – perhaps I’m the only person who can ask – but you do look at my brother in a particular way, I’m sure the listeners have seen the memes – the adoring memes.”

Dorries groaned, and claimed: “I’ve had that so many times!

“I look at Keir Starmer in the same way and no-one ever does memes of that, do they?”

The presenter said: “What do you see in him?”

“First of all, I don’t fancy your brother – not a bit,” she added.

“He’ll be gutted,” Johnson replied, to which Dorries said: “I think he knows.”

The culture secretary said she has been pushing for Johnson to become the prime minister since 2012, as she has “always seen the potential in him”.

“It was absolutely obvious, he was always going to be the person who got the Conservatives the kind of majority they deserved and also have the radical agenda we needed to get things done that needed to be done.”

Dorries has been a loyal and particularly vocal defender of the prime minister.

She suggested that Johnson will never be ousted from No.10 through a vote of confidence earlier this year, even as letters of no confidence in Johnson were being handed in by Tory MPs.

Dorries also claimed the general public do not “give a fig” about the resignation of Johnson’s ethics adviser, which shook Westminster last week.

Lord Geidt quit after alleging the prime minister was making a “mockery” of the ministerial code through the partygate saga.

She said: “You call him Lord Geidt. I think the rest of the country had never even heard of him before and called him Lord Geddit.

“I don’t think they give a fig who replaces him or who he was or what he did. It’s a bit of a bizarre one isn’t it? Someone who wasn’t elected who has resigned.

“Everybody thought for 24 hours that he was going to resign over something that was going to compromise the prime minister, was suddenly blindsided by the fact that it was something to do with steel tariffs.”

There has been some confusion over why Geidt resigned, with some claiming that it was over steel tariffs.

However, The Telegraph reported over the weekend that Geidt said this reason was a “distraction” from the root causes of his decision to leave his post.

New Lib Dem poll suggests potential disaster for Boris Johnson in Tiverton and Honiton

The Liberal Democrats say internal polling has put the party neck and neck with the Conservatives with just two full days of campaigning left before Thursday’s crucial by-election in Tiverton and Honiton.

Ms Hurford is expected to bring more cabinet ministers in to help. But there are no “stars” in the cabinet to call on. They are all lap dogs to “Big Dog”. – Owl

By David Parsley inews.co.uk 

After speaking with 6,000 constituents in the Devon seat over the weekend, pollsters for the Lib Dems put their candidate Richard Foord on 45 per cent of the vote, level with the Tories’ Helen Hurford.

This latest survey of voting intentions suggests the Lib Dems have closed the two-point gap between themselves and the Conservatives that existed at the same point last week.

The poll also puts the Lib Dems ahead of where they were at the same point in the North Shropshire by-election, where they overturned a 23,000 majority to take the seat with a near-6,000 majority of their own.

However, with the Conservatives fighting harder in Tiverton and Honiton than they did in what they considered a safe majority in North Shropshire, Lid Dem insiders remain nervous that their efforts will not be enough to snatch this by-election.

Mr Food said: “This by-election is a very close fight between myself and Boris Johnson’s candidate.”

If accurate, it means the Lib Dems are close to overtuning the 24,239 majority won at the December 2019 general election by former Tory MP Neil Parish – who was forced to resign after he was seen viewing pornography in the House of Commons.

If the Lib Dems do reverse the huge Tory majority, it would be the largest by-election turnaround since Labour won Liverpool Wavertree from the Conservatives in 1935.

In 2019, Mr Parish won 60 per cent of the vote, with Labour second on 19 per cent and the Lib Dems back in third on 15 per cent.

With two by-election victories against the Tories in Chesham and Amersham last June and North Shropshire in December behind them, the Lib Dems are hoping the momentum will continue.

A spokesman for the Lib Dems said: “With just four days to go it’s neck and neck. We’re now level pegging with the Conservatives and it all comes down to these final days.

“Voters are fed up of being taken for granted by the Conservatives and are rallying behind the Liberal Democrats. We are the only party that can beat Boris Johnson’s candidate. We’re fighting hard for every vote and to bring real change to Devon.”

Ms Hurford is trying to persuade many life-long Tory voters, inclined to stay at home rather than vote for a Prime Minister they have lost faith in after his law-breaking in Downing Street during the Covid-19 lockdowns, to back her.

The Conservatives are also losing votes from farmers in this rural constituency following post-Brexit trade deals with Australia and New Zealand, which many claim will undermine them with cheap and lower quality products coming from these countries.

Farmers are also concerned about the loss of funding from Westminster via the Direct Payments system, which is being phased out and replaced by a Environmental Land Management Scheme in 2027.

The Lib Dems are attempting to bring more Labour, Green and undecided Tory voters over to them in order to claim a victory that will heap further pressure on Mr Johnson as he continues to battle to remain the leader of his party and the nation.

Both sides are also calling on activists to make their way to Devon to help in their respective campaigns, as well as sending down big hitters from Westminster.

Lib Dem leader Sir Ed Davey, who was in the constituency all weekend, is expected to be knocking on more doors around the constituency in the final two days of the campaign, Mr Foord will also be joined by former Lib Dem leader Tim Farron, the party’s Treasury spokeswoman Christine Jardine, education spokeswoman Munira Wilson, and chief whip Wendy Chamberlain.

Tory candidate Helen Hurford was campaigning with Foreign Secretary Liz Truss as well as Tory peer and Downton Abbey creator Julian Fellowes on Saturday, and is expected to bring another batch of Government ministers to the constituency this week.

However, Boris Johnson will steer clear of voters as his the previous safe Tory seat considered to be under threat because of his law-breaking activities in Downing Street during Covid-19 lockdowns.

While Labour’s Ms Pole declined to comment on the Lib Dem poll, she did say she was still fighting for every vote.

She said: “I don’t take any votes for granted, which is why I’m out everyday, across the entire constituency speaking with local people.

“Local people are telling me they’re tired of this Conservative government, the contempt Boris Johnson has shown them and their inability to tackle the cost of living crisis. People are keen for change here in Tiverton and Honiton.”

If the Conservatives lose in Tiverton and Honiton, and in the other by-election on Thursday in the “Red Wall” seat of Wakefield, it is thought backbench Tories may attempt to change party rules to allow another confidence vote in Mr Johnson. Earlier this month, 148 Conservative MPs voted to oust the Prime Minster – four in 10 of his MPs.

While bookmakers continue to make the Lib Dems strong favourites to take the seat, odds for a Conservative victory have shortened in recent days.

The Conservative campaigns was contacted for comment.

Greens say Tiverton & Honiton has “huge problems”

Gill Westcott calls for more spending

The Green Party candidate for this week’s Tiverton and Honiton by-election says the area has “huge problems.”

Ollie Heptinstall, local democracy reporter www.radioexe.co.uk 

Gill Westcott is standing for election (image courtesy: Green Party)

Gill Westcott is one of eight people standing to replace former Conservative MP Neil Parish, with voters going to the polls on Thursday [23 June].

Ahead of the by-election, she has outlined some of the issues facing the constituency – which stretches from Bampton on the edge of Exmoor to Seaton on the Jurassic Coast – saying it is “vital” they are discussed.

“There are huge pockets of deprivation. Finding affordable housing is incredibly difficult. Rural transport is often few and far between. It’s not affordable. It’s not reliable.

“We need a lot more spending on education. There are 7,000 schools across the country that need urgent repairs and Tiverton High School needs a new school. That’s been promised [but] hasn’t materialised.

“Health services are creaking at the scenes. It’s no good recruiting more GPs and nurses if the ones that we have are leaving because they’re so stressed and they’re not supported.”

Mrs Westcott has lived in Devon for 30 years and has been involved in many community projects including helping to set up a trust to provide affordable homes in her Mid Devon village.

She backs increasing universal credit by £40 per week, insulating more homes to reduce energy use and bills, a higher minimum wage, and keeping pensions in line with inflation.

Discussing Devon’s housing crisis, Mrs Westcott says she is “hearing anguish about the lack of rented accommodation in general” and wants more action on behalf of renters.

On the environment, the Green Party’s main focus, she added how much more could be done by the government, criticising how it “seems to be quite happy to move in the opposite direction and encourage drilling for oil and gas in the North Sea, which is a more expensive fuel….whereas if we invested in cheaper, renewable energy, we could have a much quicker return in terms of energy and it would be available locally.”

The by-election is taking place after the shock circumstances of Mr Parish’s resignation at the end of April, after he admitted watching pornography in the House of Commons.

Despite calling his actions “reprehensible” and outlining how she “differ[s] hugely from him in political terms,” Mrs Westcott said: “He was a good constituency MP and he spoke up for farmers.”

On his departure, she added: “He did look ashamed. When he spoke about it, he admitted the truth and he resigned, which is more than you can say for some of his colleagues.”

“Tiverton and Honiton needs an MP who has integrity, who tells the truth, who observes the rules, and who is committed to them, including the younger generation.”

In the 2019 general election, the Green Party candidate, Colin Reed, came fourth out of five candidates in Tiverton and Honiton, and lost its deposit with just 2,291 votes. That was a slight improvement on 2017, in which Ms Westcott stood for the Greens and also lost her deposit.

Candidates pay £500 to take part in an election and forfeit it to the Treasury if they don’t receive at least five per cent of the votes.

No 10 confirms it asked the Times to drop Carrie Johnson story 

The Times swiftly withdrew a story that made allegations about the prime minister and his wife after Downing Street intervened to complain about it, No 10 has confirmed.

Jim Waterson www.theguardian.com 

The piece alleged that Boris Johnson attempted to hire Carrie Symonds, who he has since married, as his taxpayer-funded chief of staff when he was foreign secretary and she was a Conservative party press chief.

The story claimed the plan fell apart when his closest advisers learned of the idea. Johnson was still married to the barrister Marina Wheeler at the time.

A spokesperson for Carrie Johnson said the allegations were “totally untrue”. A Downing Street source described it as a “grubby, discredited story”.

However, the freelance journalist who wrote it, Simon Walters, has defended the article, which appeared on page five of some early print copies of Saturday’s Times but was dropped for later editions after the intervention from No 10.

On Monday Downing Street confirmed it contacted the newspaper on Friday night and asked it to retract the story.

The Times has so far refused to say why it agreed to remove the story although its website has been flooded with comments from readers demanding an explanation.

Political sources with knowledge of the incident have said the original story is correct.

Dominic Cummings, a former adviser to Johnson who has become an arch critic of the prime minister, backed up the original story and went further, suggesting Johnson also attempted to appoint his wife to a government job in late 2020.

The prime minister’s spokesperson said they were unable to comment on Johnson’s activities before he became prime minister but said “others have made clear this story is untrue”.

The spokesperson denied Cummings’s claim that Johnson tried to get his wife a Downing Street job while prime minister.

The decision to remove the story is understood to have been made by Tony Gallagher, the Times’ deputy editor, who was standing in while the editor, John Witherow, was on leave.

A News UK spokesperson did not respond to a request for comment on suggestions the company’s chief executive, Rebekah Brooks, was also involved in the discussions.

Guto Harri, the current Downing Street director of communications, was an adviser at News UK, the owner of the Times, between 2012 and 2015.

Contrary to online speculation, there is no superinjunction or specific legal issue preventing reporting of the story.

MailOnline published a rewritten version of the Times story on Saturday, only to also quietly delete it without explanation.

The story that the Times pulled was rereporting an allegation that appeared in a critical biography of Carrie Johnson by the Tory donor and peer Lord Ashcroft. The original accusation remains available online as part of the serialisation of the book – which is still hosted on MailOnline.

Planning applications validated by EDDC for week beginning 6 June