The pandemic has exposed the failings of Britain’s centralised state 

“Just about every aspect of our current national impasse proves that the old centralised game is up, and that England needs a new constitutional settlement. ……Power needs to be taken from the centre and dispersed: the future needs to be founded on a huge boost to councils’ share of the tax take, the devolution of everything from health to transport, and fully localised responses to any future emergencies. …..”

And so it is that we reach a watershed point in the government’s handling of the coronavirus crisis, manifested in a tangle of stories all unified by vivid themes: power concentrated at the centre, a lack of meaningful checks and balances, and the exposure by incompetence and arrogance of the mess beneath. Primary schools are meant to partly reopen next Monday, but many are in no position to do so; a test-and-tracing regime that should have materialised weeks ago is still frantically being assembled. And then along come the revelations of Dominic Cummings’s wanderings – ostensibly a tale of one man’s self-importance, but really the story of an unelected courtier whose influence and reputation speak volumes about how broken our system of government now is.

One recurrent spectacle has defined the last couple of months: ministers, presumably egged on by their advisers, grandly issuing their edicts, only for people to insist that they simply do not match the reality on the ground. The schools story is one example; another was the shambolic and arrogant way that Boris Johnson announced the shift from “stay at home” to “stay alert”, and his call for droves of people to return to work. Watching the leaders of Wales and Scotland insist they had no input into the government’s change of message and then stick to their existing lockdowns was a stark reminder that the UK is continuing to fragment. In England, meanwhile, the council leaders and mayors who were suddenly faced with huge consequences for transport and public health had been caught on the hop. “No one in government thought it important to tell the cities who’d have to cope,” said the Greater Manchester mayor, Andy Burnham. Nick Forbes, the leader of Newcastle city council, told me last week: “The first I knew about it was when I saw it on TV.”

For the opening phase of the crisis, Forbes explained, he had joined a weekly conference call of council leaders and chief executives, addressed by Robert Jenrick, the communities and local government secretary. He is not the only figure from local government who has told me that the calls are now handled by more junior ministers, and are no longer weekly. A few days ago, I spoke to another city leader who said that long-awaited government guidance on arrangements for social care and help for businesses had finally arrived last Friday, ahead of the bank holiday weekend. He also expressed huge frustration about the issue that arguably highlights the shortcomings of our top-down system most glaringly: the supposed arrival of a “world-beating” testing and tracing system by next Monday, and the ongoing saga of how it will work and who will run it.

On testing, rather than following the kind of devolved, pluralistic model that has worked so well in Germany, the health secretary, Matt Hancock, has so far stuck to the usual centralised script, something exemplified by the drive-through testing centres contracted at speed to such private companies as Deloitte, Sodexo and Boots, and often situated in inappropriate locations. On its hobbling progress towards a system of contact tracing, the government at first followed much the same logic, attempting a centralised system of call centres involving such private companies as the outsourcing giant Serco, staffed by new recruits who had apparently been given the most cursory training.

The councils who have the kind of forensic local knowledge and experience any tracing efforts will depend on were at first left in the dark. Then, less than three weeks before the system was meant to be in place, it was announced that the chief executive of Leeds city council had been made “national lead on tracing”, and that councils and their public health directors were to have a role after all. Throughout last week, senior people in city and local government were still telling me that though this sounded positive, they had no clear idea of what they were going to be asked to do. But on Friday afternoon, the government announced that councils would be working with Whitehall “to support test and trace services in their local communities” and “develop tailored outbreak control plans”.

As one city leader told me, the announcement came at “one minute to midnight”. The £300m that was now allocated to English councils for the work was, he said, “completely pitiful”. The thinking at work was plain: seemingly in a fit of panic, the people who run cities, counties and boroughs had been belatedly tacked on to a plan that should have had them at its core all along. Perhaps the most painful thing was that this mistreatment was hardly a surprise: if councils are suddenly being praised by ministers, it hardly makes up for a decade of savage cuts to basic local services, an aspect of the Covid-19 crisis that is still overlooked.

Which brings us to the subject too often obscured by the government’s convulsions: money. Two weeks ago, the Yorkshire Post reported on the prospect of “many of the 22 local authorities in the Yorkshire and the Humber region making a choreographed joint declaration that they have run out of money”. In Newcastle, Forbes told me the city council now faced an in-year financial gap of £45.5m. When ministers and their cheerleaders announce this or that funding boost and insist there will be no return to austerity, it is worth bearing in mind that austerity is still an ongoing reality for large chunks of the country.

Just about every aspect of our current national impasse proves that the old centralised game is up, and that England needs a new constitutional settlement. This does not strike me as a left/right issue, unless you are the kind of Tory who thinks that the neglect and outright destruction of local government ought to be a necessary part of your politics. Power needs to be taken from the centre and dispersed: the future needs to be founded on a huge boost to councils’ share of the tax take, the devolution of everything from health to transport, and fully localised responses to any future emergencies. If we do not begin this revolution soon, we will carry on bumbling from one crisis to the next, as Whitehall and Westminster fall into more scandal and disgrace and the commands barked from on high continue to fade into white noise.

Two Damning Verdicts on Cummings’ Rose Garden “No Regrets”

A Couple of verdicts on Cummings: Daily Mail’s headline is “No apology, no regrets”. It says the conference was a “rose garden roasting” and asks how Mr Cummings – or, as the paper labels him, the PM’s “defiant Svengali” – can survive in his post in the face of “public fury”. (bbc review of headlines).

And:

“Whatever he might say, however much he might refute it — Cummings did break the rules. While millions of other Britons forewent freedom of movement, while hundreds of thousands struggled with child care and the effects of the virus, Johnson’s top adviser decided that he was above the fray.

What was on show in Cummings’ performance was the underlying superciliousness of the new elite running Britain — and most of all that of the Svengali who sits behind its throne whispering instructions..

…He sits at the heart of an overconfident inherently arrogant establishment that thinks it can ride this one out.”

Read on.

Driving blind: Cummings comes full circle

Otto English www.politico.eu 

LONDON — It was an unprecedented press conference in every way, not least because the government’s own code of conduct for special advisers states that they “must not take part in public political controversy, through any form of statement.”

But it was long ago obvious, that the ordinary rules do not apply where Dominic Cummings is concerned.

As 4 p.m. came and went, it became increasingly clear that Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s chief adviser has as much respect for time as he has for the lockdown rules.

More than 30 minutes passed before Britain’s best known SpAd — short for special adviser — deigned to gift the waiting world with an explanation of why he seems to have violated the government’s strict lockdown rules by driving more than 400 kilometers to his parents’ farm in Durham, after his wife said she felt ill with COVID-19 symptoms.

When Cummings finally did stroll out into the Downing Street rose garden in his trademark untucked shirt, it quickly became clear that the strategy — hammered out behind closed doors over the last 24 hours — was for him to appear, if not contrite then at least eminently reasonable. And if that failed, he would drone everyone into submission.

Over the next 20 minutes, the prime minister’s most trusted adviser  — and the man widely credited with bringing Britain Brexit — delivered a detailed justification for his movements.

In April, his wife had rung him to say she was feeling ill and he had decided that they would therefore drive to a safe space, where help would be available if needed.

Everyone else in the country might have got the message about staying at home and saving lives but uniquely: “None of our usual child care options were available,” so the Cummings had headed north.

In his version of events, Cummings was both victim and hero of the piece — a family man who had acted reasonably and who had subsequently been unfairly set upon by the press for doing the right thing.

This was an “exceptional situation” and “numerous false stories in the media” had sought to discredit him and make him look as if he had done something wrong. Cummings claimed he had a “full tank of petrol” and knew that he could safely drive to Durham and would be able to self-isolate in an empty estate cottage.

Having reached his parents’ farm, he and his wife had both displayed COVID-19 symptoms and self-isolated with their 4-year-old son. But then after a 14-day period, having recovered sufficiently, decided that it might be time to go back to work.

Cummings had suffered eyesight problems during the illness and his partner was worried so they “agreed to go for a short drive to see if I could drive safely.”

That last admission already seems likely to be a phrase that will launch a 1,000 memes.

It was during that brief car journey to Barnard Castle and during some subsequent toilet breaks and exercise that he was spotted by members of the public, who were wished a hearty “Happy Easter” by Mrs. Cummings as they stared on from a distance.

It was all very reasonable, he said, and “I don’t regret what I did.”

In ensuing question and answers with the journalists present, he doubled down. He hadn’t bothered the prime minister with the details of his journey because Johnson “had a million things on his plate” and was ill in bed.

Cummings blamed the media, the public, the wilful misinterpretation of his words — but he refused to accept that he himself had acted wrongly.

Whatever he might say, however much he might refute it — Cummings did break the rules. While millions of other Britons forewent freedom of movement, while hundreds of thousands struggled with child care and the effects of the virus, Johnson’s top adviser decided that he was above the fray.

What was on show in Cummings’ performance was the underlying superciliousness of the new elite running Britain — and most of all that of the Svengali who sits behind its throne whispering instructions.

How dare mere hacks and police constables question the judgment of the man who gave the world Brexit. It all made perfect sense to him so why couldn’t they grasp it?

Cummings has always been a whole set of paradoxes. For 20 years he carved a niche for himself in the shadows, cementing the agenda of Euroskeptic conservatism and serving the biggest elite in the land, while claiming all the while that he was some kind of anti-establishment outlier.

He isn’t. He sits at the heart of an overconfident inherently arrogant establishment that thinks it can ride this one out.

Cummings has a lot of enemies both within and without the inner corridors of power, and this performance won’t have won him many fans. Genuine contrition was thin on the ground and he seemed more preoccupied that “media reports” about him were false than anything else.

Perhaps he and Johnson have calculated it correctly. Perhaps he will weather this storm and cling on to power.

But if that happens, the damage it has wrought will linger. The growing antipathy of millions of Britons for an administration that thinks it’s “one rule for them and another for us” might yet frame the government’s future.

Whatever eventually happens, Cummings can add another paradox to his curriculum vitae.

The architect of Britain’s effort to “take back control” from the unelected and unaccountable bureaucrats is now an unelected, unaccountable bureaucrat refusing to cede control.

 

More on Weston Hospital Closure

The town’s mayor, Mark Canniford, last week criticised the “total disregard” for the town’s residents from day-trippers who packed on to the beach.

A general hospital in Somerset has temporarily stopped accepting new patients in an attempt to stop the spread of Covid-19 on site.

Weston general hospital in Weston-super-Mare stopped taking admissions, including into its A&E department, from 8am on Monday “to maintain patient and staff safety”.

The decision was a “clinically led” one that had been taken at a time when the hospital had a high number of patients with coronavirus, according to a statement.

The hospital provides clinical services to residents in north Somerset – a population of about 212,000 people.

The hospital had experienced a “spike” in infections and was being closed to new patients so a deep clean could take place, according to John Penrose, the MP for Weston-super-Mare, who tweeted that he had spoken to local health chiefs.

While the cause of the increase was unclear, doctors have been concerned about a mini-resurgence in localised areas. Social media users who replied to Penrose suggested an influx of visitors to the area since the easing of lockdown rules was to blame, mentioning queues outside chip shops and day-trippers on Weston-super-Mare’s promenade.

The town’s mayor, Mark Canniford, last week criticised the “total disregard” for the town’s residents from day-trippers who packed on to the beach.

The general hospital is not the first to be overwhelmed during the coronavirus crisis. In March, Northwick Park in north-west London was forced to declare a “critical incident” after running out of critical care beds. It asked nearby hospitals to look after patients as it could not cope with the Covid-19 patients it was receiving.

University Hospitals Bristol and Weston NHS foundation trust said the measure at Weston general was precautionary and the situation would be kept under review.

The trust said there were arrangements in place for new patients to access treatment and care “in other appropriate healthcare settings in the area should they need it”.

Dr William Oldfield, a medical director at the trust, said: “As with any hospital, the number of patients with Covid-19 will frequently change as people are admitted and discharged. We currently have a high number of patients with Covid-19 in Weston general hospital.

“While the vast majority will have come into the hospital with Covid-19, as an extra precaution we have taken the proactive step to temporarily stop accepting new patients to maintain patient and staff safety.

“This is a clinically led decision and we are being supported by our system partners to ensure that new patients receive the care and treatment they need in the appropriate setting, and we are continuing to provide high-quality care to existing patients who are being treated in the hospital.

“We have a robust coronavirus testing programme in place for patients and staff to identify cases quickly, with appropriate measures taken by clinical teams as required. We will keep the situation under constant review.”

The public are being directed to alternatives including out-of-hours GP services, pharmacies, NHS 111 and smaller NHS units dealing with minor injuries.

Covid-19 changes in estimated symptom rates since Boris eased travel

In view of the flare of Covid admissions to Weston Hospital, North Somerset reported in an earlier post, Owl is publishing Covid-19 Tracker App estimates of community symptoms rates for four rather different coastal districts in Devon, including East Devon. This table shows the estimated rates on 13 May, the day Boris Johnson unexpectedly said people could travel unlimited distances to their favourite beauty spots, and today. Owl doesn’t really know how statistically significant these changes are. North Somerset is showing 1% at the moment. Since 13 May, Torridge to the West of North Devon, briefly flared to 1.1%. 

Need to keep an eye on these.

           13 May               25 May       
North Devon             0.3%             0.7%
South Hams             0.6%             0.5%
Torbay             0.5%             0.3%
East Devon             0.5%             0.7%

Covid-19 Symptom Tracker App estimated symptom rates

Instant reaction to Dominic Cumming’s – “no regrets”

Analysis by Sky News political correspondent Tamara Cohen:

Extraordinary. Unprecedented. 

An unelected adviser to the prime minister taking a solo press conference for 70 minutes, about his own conduct – in the Number 10 rose garden – is not a spectacle Westminster has seen before or is likely to again.

And after 72 hours which has rocked Boris Johnson’s government, as the prime minister and cabinet have swung behind Dominic Cummings in face of growing anger, how did he do?

Well, the key thing to say is there was no apology. 

Mr Cummings confirmed he had travelled 260 miles to Durham after his wife Mary fell ill – and isolated there, in defiance of what most people took to be an instruction to stay at home.

He claimed he did not tell the prime minister about it – and that is the only aspect of this for which he expressed some regret.

Sympathy yes, for others in the same or worse situations who were unaware of the legal clause he uses to defend his conduct on the grounds of his “extreme circumstances” – including feeling as if his London home could be a target.

But for the public anger, he entirely blamed the media reporting of his actions.

And there is the bizarre business about his half-hour drive to Barnard Castle from Durham in order to “test his eyesight” ahead of a drive back to London. That will be picked over for some time.

What has stuck in the craw for many of his critics, including Tory MPs, is Mr Cummings’ perceived arrogance – refusing to give any explanation of his actions until this point other than to claim media reports were inaccurate. 

Having confirmed that plenty of it was accurate, and made clear that he has at no point offered to resign or indeed considered it, won’t endear him on that front.

All in all – Mr Cummings certainly didn’t duck scrutiny, he took dozens of questions, and for a man often caricatured by his enemies, he appeared human and at times nervous.

He said he understood the “intense hardship and sacrifice” of others as a result of the lockdown he helped create, and asked people to understand him. Many won’t, especially as sorry seemed to be the hardest word.

Somerset hospital overwhelmed by coronavirus cases closes doors to new patients

A SOMERSET hospital is currently not accepting any new patients after being overwhelmed by a high number of coronavirus cases.

Weston General Hospital imposed the ban – which includes the A&E department – at 8am today (Monday).

A statement from the trust that runs the hospital said the “precautionary measure” had been introduced to “maintain the safety of staff and patients”.

It added that the step was “clinically-led” and that arrangements are in place for new patients to continue to have access to treatment and care in other appropriate healthcare settings in the area if needed.

Dr William Oldfield, medical director at University Hospitals Bristol and Weston NHS Foundation Trust, said: “As with any hospital, the number of patients with COVID-19 will frequently change as people are admitted and discharged.

“We currently have a high number of patients with COVID-19 in Weston General Hospital.

“Whilst the vast majority will have come into the hospital with COVID-19, as an extra precaution we have taken the proactive step to temporarily stop accepting new patients to maintain patient and staff safety.

“This is a clinically-led decision and we are being supported by our system partners to ensure that new patients receive the care and treatment they need in the appropriate setting, and we are continuing to provide high quality care to existing patients who are being treated in the hospital.

“We have a robust coronavirus testing programme in place for patients and staff to identify cases quickly, with appropriate measures taken by clinical teams as required.

“We will keep the situation under constant review.”

Sidmouth to get social distancing markers and a one-way pavements

To maintain social distancing in Sidmouth town centre, painted social distancing markers, a one-way pavement system and the possible closure of narrow streets is to be introduced.

With the breakdown in obeying social distancing rules, thanks to Dominic Cummings’ and Boris Johnson’s casual attitude, this is sensible. Owl is hearing that the elderly inhabitants of East Devon’s seaside towns in the past few days have felt frightened to go out during the day.

Anita Merritt www.devonlive.com

The new safeguards to help contain the spread of coronavirus could also include creating temporary paths to increase space.

High Street, Fore Street, and up to The Esplanade, New Street, Church Street and the Three- Cornered Plot are expected to be included in the one-way system.

It will see pedestrians travel in a loop to avoid passing each other.

Markings painted onto pavements using stencils will accurately show a two-metre distance, while others will urge pedestrians to ‘keep your distance’ and remind the public of the one-way system.

It is expected the one-way route will start at the top of the High Street, take in Fore Street, up to The Esplanade.

Paint used for the pavement stencils showing the one-way system and correct social distance spacing will be non-permanent and fade over time.

Pedestrians would be encouraged to keep to the one-way track and to cross the road onto the pavement opposite to make any return journey.

Other protection measures already in place include an extra path cut into grass at Long Park to allow for social distancing.

Councillor Stuart Hughes and small team of Devon County Council Highways and Sidmouth Town Council maintenance workers could begin the stencil painting as early as Wednesday next week.

The plan is for the town to be ready for when businesses are allowed to reopen.

Cllr Hughes told East Devon News: “If you are going down the town, you come up the other way straight back up to the top of town.

“If you go into Tesco, you have got a one-way system.

“If you miss something in one of the aisles, you have to go around the shop again. It’s not going to be a as bad as that because it doesn’t stop you crossing the road. You can do that. You go down one way and come back up the other side.

“If it works elsewhere, why can’t it work in Sidmouth? You always get some people that won’t take any notice. If the majority of people stick by it, it’s going to make Sidmouth a safer place to visit.

“It’s worked in other places in Europe. I see no reason why it can’t work here in Sidmouth to enhance the shopping experience and make it safe for the population, the residents of Sidmouth and visitors.”

Luton council draws up emergency cuts to avoid bankruptcy

Luton borough council is drawing up drastic cuts to services to avoid bankruptcy after after a coronavirus-related collapse in passenger numbers at Luton airport blew an estimated £49m hole in its budget.

Exeter airport and related businesses hmmmm? – Owl

Patrick Butler www.theguardian.com 
The council described the impact of the projected drop in revenue from the airport as a “nightmare scenario”. As the owner of the airport, it was receiving a £20m annual dividend, which has helped it maintain local services despite £130m of funding cuts since 2010.

It has been forced to plan a July emergency budget that will cut £22m, or 16% of its annual spending. “The airport has held back the tide of austerity in Luton, but coronavirus has broken those defences,” said Andy Malcolm, the council’s cabinet member for finance. “We are now going to feel the full force of austerity in council services.”

Local authority leaders called for a long-term stability plan for councils after figures suggested that continuing income losses from coronavirus-related shortfalls in council tax, business rates and commercial investments would run into several billions over the next few months.

Estimates based on the latest monthly government survey of councils’ financial projections suggest that local authorities remain on course for a £9bn-£10bn net shortfall this year, as the extra costs of meeting Covid-19 pressures in areas such as social care and homelessness continue to mount.

But there is growing concern that even if cost pressures start to reduce as the lockdown eases, many councils will face long-term structural deficits as record job losses and a faltering economy reduce income from local taxes, rates and business investments.

Hundreds of thousands of residents have already either defaulted on council tax payments or will seek council tax support after losing their jobs. Business rates income is precarious, and some council investments in local infrastructure affected by Covid restrictions, such as sports stadiums and conference centres, look shaky.

“The government has got to understand that much of that income is not coming back overnight and in some cases, not at all,” said Sir Stephen Houghton, leader of Barnsley borough council and chair of the Special Interest Group of Metropolitan Authorities (Sigoma), a network that includes many of England’s biggest cities.

He added: “The government has got to decide: is it going to provide money to the places that need it or not? There’s a real possibility that some councils could fall over as a result of this. We need assurances that we are not going to have to go through austerity all over again.”

Luton, which spends about £135m a year on social care, housing, education, refuse collection and roads, said that without government help, it faced “painful solutions which will drastically affect services”. The proportion of its income from commercial revenue is the second highest in the country after the City of London.

The growth of the international airport in recent years – it directly provides 13,000 jobs locally – has helped socially deprived Luton grow economically. But just 14,000 passengers passed though the airport in April compared with 1,535,000 over the same period last year, and there is little sign of a quick recovery.

The National Audit Office warned in February – a month before the UK went into lockdown – that an unprecedented spending spree on commercial property, funded by cheap Treasury loans and aimed at offsetting central government cuts, had left many local authorities “potentially badly exposed in the event of an economic recession or a property crash”. The Treasury last week indicated that the loans were no longer available.

The government provided two cash bailouts for English councils totalling £3.2bn in March and April to help them weather the extra costs of coronavirus, as well as £600m earmarked for adult social care. But local authorities say in some councils this money will run out in early June, and a longer-term approach is needed.

A spokesperson for the Ministry for Housing, Communities and Local Government said it was working with councils to understand the costs they are facing. “By providing councils with over £3.2bn in the fairest way possible, we’re working with them to tackle the immediate pressures they have told us they are facing.”

 

One Rule For Us and One Rule For Them!!

From a correspondent – these comments reflect a deep frustration about the state of governance from top to bottom.

One Rule For Us and One Rule For Them!!

At this unprecedented time, when the Coronavirus has affected the majority of people’s lives around the world, many listened, on Sunday, to Boris Johnson, unconvincingly, trying to defend his senior adviser, Dominic Cummings, for breaking lockdown rules by travelling 260 miles from London to Durham.

The whole nation has being caged in their homes for, what has seemed, an intolerable amount of weeks to follow the Government’s rules to Stay at Home, Protect the NHS and Saves Lives – so a large number will have concluded that there are those who follow the rules – to avoid lawlessness and anarchy in our societies – and there are those who do not – by continuously flouting explicit regulations and principles that govern our conduct and procedures!

Serious rule breakers who violate the laws and rules in our societies are controlled by the threat of injunctions, penalties and fines and in the most serious cases – imprisonment – but it has become apparent that many in the upper echelons of officialdom do not think that the rules apply to them! This model is then imitated by others in every walk of life by continuing the philosophy of ‘what’s good for the goose is good for the gander’, with egocentric attitudes displaying ‘rules are made to be broken’ outlooks.

It is now time to ‘get off this soapbox’, cease preaching to the converted and continue with an objection to East Devon District Council Planners about the Developers, Burrington Estates. Not only are they ignoring national and local planning rules, by proposing building on green fields and high risk flood zones at Winslade Park, Clyst St Mary, in their latest planning application (20/1001/MOUT) – but they are significantly altering their development plans after a Public Consultation exhibition to now substantially increase green field development. In addition to this they are now proposing more than trebling residential numbers (on the previously developed brownfield areas) from 14 traditional homes (shown at the Public Consultation) to now be replaced by a block of 59 towering three-storey apartments, overlooking the historic Grade II Listed Manor House on one elevation and existing homes in Clyst St Mary on the other!

Hmmm . . . obviously the rules don’t apply to them!!

 

 

How one council borrowed £1 BILLION from other councils with little public scrutiny…

Owl has received this exhaustive and fascinating investigation into council funding.

Interested viewers will probably want to follow up the list of links. Especially the link at the bottom of this post to the post code searcher (though that appears at the very bottom of the linked web page – gives interesting results)

mailchi.mp

Council borrowed £1 billion from taxpayers to bet on British sunshine

Among Thurrock’s rundown council estates and neglected public parks, typical of many towns after a decade of austerity, there is nothing to suggest that over the past three years the local council has borrowed and then invested hundreds of millions of pounds of other councils’ money.

Under the direction of a senior council officer Thurrock borrowed from about 150 local authorities across the UK with little public scrutiny. These loans were not for direct funding of council services, or investing in infrastructure – instead they financed solar farms more than a hundred miles away.

Sean Clark, Thurrock’s director of finance, oversaw the investment of £604m in the solar industry, investments he says were prompted entirely by intermediaries approaching him with money-making opportunities. In an extraordinary interview with The Bureau, Clark wondered whether he had gone too far. At last count Thurrock owed other councils an unprecedented £1bn.

What neither Clark nor the council will disclose is which local authorities he borrowed from or what companies he invested in. To do so, they say, would harm Thurrock’s commercial interests and put off potential lenders.

However, an investigation by The Bureau has discovered the council has poured at least £74m, and possibly hundreds of millions more, into a single company, whose financial model raises serious questions over how likely it is that the public money would be recovered in full if the business failed. This revelation comes at a time when many councils’ finances have been hit hard by the coronavirus crisis.

👉 Read our investigation, here (https://www.thebureauinvestigates.com/stories/2020-05-22/thurrock-council-borrowed-1bn-from-taxpayers-to-bet-on-british-sunshine)  and the additional work of our national partner, the Financial Times, here (https://www.thebureauinvestigates.com/stories/2020-05-22/rockfire-capital-a-private-firm-playing-with-public-money)  and help us share the piece, here (https://twitter.com/bureaulocal/status/1263719825236426752)
👉 Take part in the investigation by accessing our reporting recipe, here (https://docs.google.com/document/d/1vbtpFLNk2lFQh5jPl9Ko_w8l-IloZ-WzHabPrFpFcjk/edit)  and joining our #LocalPower channel in Slack (https://docs.google.com/document/d/1ys_Jw6OojOn4myorj-K3TSq9Gugc6flS_znZ8fHBznw/edit)
👇 Find out if your council lent money to Thurrock by accessing our postcode searcher in the story, below
https://www.thebureauinvestigates.com/stories/2020-05-22/thurrock-council-borrowed-1bn-from-taxpayers-to-bet-on-british-sunshine

Lockdown broadband speed leaves home workers ‘frustrated’

 

The publicly-funded Connecting Devon and Somerset (CDS) has been rolling out broadband since 2010 but has faced years of delays and black spots remain.

 

http://www.bbc.co.uk

Problems with slow broadband in parts of the west of England have left people unable to work from home during the coronavirus lockdown.

An architect in Somerset said his firm had a “team of two halves” with some colleagues’ ability to work being hampered.

Another couple have had to go into the office and take their children with them as they could not do their jobs or schoolwork using the internet at home.

The publicly-funded Connecting Devon and Somerset (CDS) has been rolling out broadband since 2010 but has faced years of delays and black spots remain.

It said it was working hard to resolve poor broadband speeds in the area.

‘There’s nothing left’

The Blackdown Hills Parish Network has called for the Department for Culture, Media and Sport (DCMS) to intervene.

The network covers people living in the Blackdown Hills Area of Outstanding Natural Beauty on the Somerset and Devon border.

Lizzie Ginbey and her husband live in the Blackdown Hills and run a graphic design and marketing firm, Teapot Creative, in Hambridge.

Because of the quality of broadband at home they have had to work in the office every day at a time when people doing similar jobs elsewhere in the country may have been working from home in line with government guidance.

Lizzie and her husband Barry Tottle have been taking their three children to work with them for home-schooling. The eldest is sometimes left home alone all day but the younger two have been in the office with them every day.

“We have got fibre but it’s such a long route to our house, about four miles, by the time it gets to us there’s nothing left,” Mrs Ginbey said.

“We wanted to redirect it over a field, which is 200m – but there is no-one to connect it up.

“Being graphic designers, our file sizes are absolutely enormous and with home broadband it’s just not sufficient to be able to cope.

“It’s not ideal, we’d love to be home working. It’s very lonely in here, and very odd without the other people.

“It means the children are having to come with us because I have three children who need my help and they need internet access as well.”

Meanwhile, Jill and Jonathan Barker, who run Middlewick Cottages, paid £10,000 for a fibre line to be installed after guests at their holiday accommodation complained about slow internet access.

They now face a £600 monthly bill but the business has had to close during lockdown.

Mrs Barker said: “It was one of those things that we always got marked down on our review scores because the internet was so bad.

“People expected to have high speed internet and that became increasingly obvious as time went on and we had to do something.”

‘You have to adapt’

Normally they would be fully-booked all year round with corporate or wellness retreats, Mrs Barker said.

She said she hoped their provider would offer rebates or discounts for services they were not using.

“It is frustrating, it is one of the many bills you pay for when you have a complex or hotel.

“You don’t expect to get it back but you have to adapt and get through each day.”

In the meantime she has been trying to make up for the lost income by expanding her farm shop which she said had turned into a “little trading post” for the community of Glastonbury, attracting people who did not want to go to supermarkets.

Ian Firth, director of planning and architecture firm Bondstones, had superfast broadband installed two years ago.

But he said the fact people were now accessing it from home was causing further problems.

“The key issue is that the one person in the loop who has the poorest broadband brings the whole system down,” he said.

“Some of us can work incredibly effectively and others can’t, so as a result you work as the lowest common denominator much of the time.”

His colleague, architect Adam Kent, who lives in Minehead, said his connection sometimes stopped altogether.

“It’s all about connecting to our server on the internet cloud and downloading files, that’s where it grinds to a halt,” he said.

“It slows up my computer to download or upload information, that’s where I’ve really struggled.”

The DCMS said the government was investing £40m in Devon and Somerset’s rural broadband.

“While Connecting Devon and Somerset has already brought superfast broadband to more than 300,000 homes and businesses in the region, we recognise there is more to do,” a spokesperson said.

“We continue to work closely with the project to remove the barriers to rollout and welcome the steps being taken to procure a new provider.

“This will help get better connectivity to the underserved parts of the region as quickly as possible.”

“What planet are they on?”

“What planet are they on?” is the question leading the Daily Mail’s front page on Monday. Angled on the backlash the PM has received – both from within the Conservative Party ranks and externally – the paper is critical of what it says is Boris Johnson’s “extraordinary” defence of his senior adviser. The Mail’s comment says Mr Cummings’ actions have “given every selfish person a licence to play fast and loose with public health”. (bbc newsaper headlines today).

How about the “planet of the Apes”  (alpha males obviously)? – Owl

For weeks ministers have stood at lecterns carrying the slogans:

Stay at Home – Protect the NHS – Save Lives

We were also told these were “instructions”.

Throughout its management of the pandemic the government has seemed to Owl to have spent disproportionate effort in devising such messages. To the extent of wrapping its strategy around the message rather than vice versa and even delaying the roll out of actions until the message has been formulated.

“Stay at Home” is crystal clear, what is it that Boris Johnson doesn’t get?

Senior Police Chief urges sunseekers to stay away from Beauty Spots

 No ii’s not Alison “Hideaway” Hernandez (Conservative), Police Crime Commissioner for Devon and Cornwall, but Martyn Underhill, the Police and Crime Commissioner for Dorset.

Alison Hernandez did back the call to stay away before Easter but couldn’t ever be described as having “led” the call – that came from Cornish leaders. She has left Chief Constable Shaun Sawyer to shoulder responsibility. In Owl’s view she fails the test of local leadership in this epidemic. 

Britons are urged to stay away from beaches today

Chris Jewers, Daily Mail Saturday

One of Britain’s most senior police chiefs has urged sunseekers to stay away from the country’s beauty spots today amid fears that overcrowding on beaches will make social distancing impossible. 

Thousands of Britons are expected to pack out tourist hot spots and seasides from today as the Bank Holiday weekend gets off to a balmy start, with temperatures of 66F expected.

Martyn Underhill, the Police and Crime Commissioner for Dorset, called on travellers to “use their common sense” as he predicted that today would be the busiest day of the year for beauty spots.

‘Yesterday was the busiest day in nine weeks and it was a normal Friday,’ he told BBC Radio 4’s Today programme.  

‘There are two main issues; one is those travelling in to the south west and two is those people who are attempting to stay in the south west.

‘As we saw in Bournemouth, there are lots of people on the beach and only a few are failing to socially distance. But as the numbers increase, the chances of socially distancing are reduced. 

‘The other issue we have in Dorset is that most of our beauty spots, such as Lulworth Cove and Durdle Door, you can’t properly socially distance trying to get to down to the beach. 

‘What we are saying is think twice and use your common sense. Ask yourself, “is what I’m doing safe and fair?”‘

Mr Underhill also hit out at Downing Street adviser Dominic Cummings, who it was revealed last night had flouted lockdown rules to travel from London to Durham.

He said that the timing of the revelation was unfortunate, and would embolden more Britons to travel long distances over an already busy weekend.

Tempers boiled over yesterday as locals clashed with vast hordes of tourists they say are blighting their parks and beaches since lockdown restrictions were eased ahead of the bank holiday weekend. 

Following the easing of some lockdown measures last week, there are no restrictions on how far people can go to get to the countryside, National Parks and beaches in England.

The Met Office is forecasting that temperatures could reach 66F on Satuday, and highs of 78F in London on Monday, with coastal areas likely to see highs of around 68F over the long weekend. 

Saturday is expected to be the coldest day, before the mercury climbs on Sunday and Monday, with wall-to-wall sunshine in the west and sunny spells in the east.

This has lead to officials warning potential day trippers to think twice before travelling to such beauty spots. 

 

UK’s first coronavirus contact-tracing group warns of difficulties

A group of retired doctors who set up the UK’s first Covid-19 contact-tracing scheme has warned that the government system faces major challenges after they struggled to persuade health and care workers to self-isolate.

Sarah Boseley www.theguardian.com 

Dr Bing Jones, a retired Sheffield GP, helped start the group a month ago out of frustration that contact tracing had been abandoned in England. “We sat down and thought: this is a major omission – a schoolboy error. We have got one of the biggest crises you can possibly imagine and one of the major building blocks of the public health management of an epidemic is not being done,” he said.

They were surprised to find that most contacts of people with Covid-19 were workers from the NHS, care homes or care provider agencies – and that those people were not always happy to stop work and go into isolation for seven to 14 days. “The majority were in health and care settings. That’s the really big and worrying message here,” said Jones.

The group set up its pilot project in Sheffield, using volunteers who called up people with Covid-19 referred to them by GPs. The volunteers offered support and asked for the names and numbers of anyone the patient had spent more than 15 minutes with in an enclosed space.

Their early report of what happened – with 13 people who had Covid-19 and 58 of their contacts – paints a worrying picture. People were unwilling to let them have details or the volunteers were unable to reach 39 of the 58. In 29 cases, those were care workers.

“You talk to somebody and they will sometimes give you the names of their fellow cleaners or kitchen staff in a care home, but as soon as they start talking to each other they think, well we’d better talk to our manager, and the manager says oh no – you’d better not do this,” said Jones.

“And the fact is that in all of these care settings but also in the NHS, there is no culture for contact tracing. There’s also no culture of self-isolation.

“The emotional side of this is me listening to our volunteers every night saying: ‘I have got all this information, I’ve tried to get in touch with the helper at the care home and then the shutters come down. I got in touch with the trust – the teaching hospital trust – and bang, the shutters come down.’”

He added: “We’re talking here about a major problem and a major deficiency particularly around health and care workers. My analogy is that health and care workers are unwittingly acting as the vectors of this … spread.”

The group’s volunteers had the authority of GP practices and a well-respected community development organisation yet were unable to convince people to self-isolate. Jones thinks the government scheme – due to be up and running by 1 June staffed by 25,000 contact tracers, most of them call handlers with a script and minimal training – will fare no better.

“I feel sad to have to say this but the whole way that this is unfolding – I have no confidence in the government. The app has failed, they’ve failed in their testing, on their PPE. I wouldn’t put any money on their sorting out this contact tracing,” Jones said.

The spreading of infection through health and care workers was predictable, he said, and identified in a study in the town of Vo’ in Italy.

He said: “Why does it take a group of retired doctors to come up with this? It is fatuous that people haven’t twigged that in the care home setting it is quite obvious – there is very little expertise, very little money, no reserve of staffing, so it’s inevitable that people will be moving around within and between care homes. A lot of care homes are run by big firms and what else are they to do?”

In an ideal world, contact tracing would be done by environmental health workers, as for previous outbreaks of infectious diseases, he said.

“If you had meningococcal meningitis, a sexually transmitted disease, TB… that’s the established system. You would be backed up by the law, by the environmental health officers who have absolute authority, but also you would have the incentive to comply because if your child had meningitis, they would get antibiotics and get better.

“Whereas here, everything is reversed – there’s no real incentive to self-isolate, particularly as everybody’s keenness wears off… So there’s a disincentive.

“I personally think our volunteers are probably in a better position than these minimum-wage … employees are going to be. Maybe the government will employ really top-notch people who will have loads of authority, time, energy and insight and they will be able to sort this out, but I’m sceptical.

“Certainly the way that they seem to be trained, the way the government is rushing, the way that generally the performance of these companies have been operating in other arenas, I don’t think it’s going to work.”

The group hopes lessons can be learned from the pilot project, and its work continues. It has trained 25 more volunteers and is expanding its reach further into Sheffield and Calderdale, West Yorkshire

9,900 new COVID cases across England daily – New estimates from symptom tracker

This new figure for England is over three times greater than the ONS figure for the whole UK of circa 3,000 daily confirmed cases . The latter, of course, is limited to the availability of testing and the fact that it also relies on individuals coming forward to seek tests. Remember the mantra “Most will only get a mild form of the disease”. The novel Covid-19 is associated with a wider range of symptoms than high fever and cough.

Tim Spector has released new work in which his symptom estimates have been combined with targeted swab testing, provided by Department of Health and Social Care, to give an estimate of Covid-19 infection rates. Estimates are not only given Nationally but for English Regions.

Surprisingly, this work has to rely on crowd funding to continue . This has raised £860K so far against a target of £1M. A case of “Not Invented Here” as far as Public Health England is concerned?

Owl has always taken the view that this work was providing the most useful estimates of the distribution and progress of the pandemic in UK. For example, it showed that infection rates started falling around 1 April. Government data at that time was inconsistent and confined to measuring hospital admissions. Admissions of serious cases lag initial infections by at least 8 days. Government data is still lagging because most test turnarounds take days.

Tim Spector’s work shows that the South West has a marginally lower infection rate than London, this is not the received wisdom in Whitehall. The online article contains more information and acknowledgements than given below. Skip the explanation of the method to the end if you just want the results.

covid.joinzoe.com /post/covid-cases-england

By combining COVID swab testing with data from the COVID Symptom Study app, we are able to estimate the number of new daily COVID cases within the community

Data from the COVID Symptom Study suggests there are currently 9,900 daily new cases of COVID across England.

This excludes care homes [*] and asymptomatic cases. These results are based on a group of 980,000 people using our app, of whom 18,000 were invited to do COVID swab tests after showing early signs of coronavirus infection. These tests were provided by the Department of Health and Social Care, either via a self-administered home test kit or regional testing centres.

Developed by health technology company ZOE, the COVID Symptom Study app now has more than 3.6 million users across the UK, US and Sweden, making it the largest ongoing coronavirus study in the world.

All areas of England are seeing new cases, but levels in the North are around twice those in the South. These figures give an up to date view of COVID infection rates, unlike deaths which lag by about a month.

How we are calculating these figures

The figure of 9,900 was calculated using swab testing and app symptom data collected over the last two weeks (2-15 May), from users of all ages and spread throughout England. This makes it the first time that digital health data from a very large population has been combined with physical COVID swab tests to create an accurate view of what COVID looks like in the population on a day-by-day basis.

These results were based on 980,000 people contributing digitally of whom 18,000 received rapid testing for COVID infection in the two weeks from 2-15 May. Those invited for testing include individuals using our app who have reported being healthy for at least nine days before they log new symptoms for the first time. We have aggregated these two weeks in order to get a large enough population to allow us to estimate regional variations, as well as overall levels in England.

Facilitating a safe exit from lockdown

The ability to accurately estimate the number of new daily COVID cases within the community via technology can be a critical part of the UK’s fight against COVID, alongside ONS surveys that report weekly or monthly based on random swab testing or changes in antibody testing.

With all eyes on “r”, it is critical that the number of daily new cases does not rise as we ease out of lockdown. The COVID Symptom Study enables over 3 million people to contribute, and so provides a more current picture of how the COVID situation is changing. It can also highlight regional differences and show potential increases in the virus before other detection methods.

Daily new cases across England

The map below shows the rates across the different regions of England. The data for each region is presented as a range, because the absolute infection rates are now low. These estimates show a two fold difference between North and South, but should be treated with caution as the number of actual cases is relatively small.

We do not yet have sufficient numbers to estimate Northern Ireland, and Wales and Scotland have not yet joined the COVID testing scheme, but we hope to extend testing to those nations shortly.

The daily new cases estimate does not account for those in the population who are asymptomatic (i.e. show no symptoms but can still spread the virus), as we cannot detect these cases by those reporting their health using the app. These figures also exclude care homes as there is not enough data from the app to estimate this population at this point.

Daily new cases of COVID-19 in England between 2-15 May

Notes

[*] This analysis requires swab testing, which was kindly provided by the English Department of Health and Social Care. The results do not currently include Wales & Scotland as they are not currently participating in this study, but ZOE hopes to extend testing to those nations shortly.  Testing is happening in Northern Ireland, but the number of participants is too few to generate an accurate estimate. These figures exclude care homes as there is not enough data from the app to estimate this population.

The regional breakdown of daily new cases per 1M people is:

  • England overall: 156-199
  • South East: 101-176
  • London: 88-179
  • Midlands: 169-310
  • East of England: 109-224
  • South West: 71-172
  • North East and Yorkshire: 157-304
  • North West: 217-412

The regional breakdown of total daily new cases is:

  • England overall: 8700-11100
  • South East: 900-1600
  • London: 800-1600
  • Midlands: 1800-3300
  • East of England: 700-1500
  • South West: 400-1000
  • North East and Yorkshire: 1300-2600
  • North West: 1500-2900

 

One rule for the plebs and proles, another set for the Imperator and Patricians in No 10

Owl thought to please Boris with a classical reference to the way he governs.

Now we learn Dominic Cummings is the latest to have more houses than the rest of us to run to when the going gets tough.

The “Torygraph” isn’t happy, neither is Owl.

By Gordon Rayner, Political Editor 23 May 2020 www.telegraph.co.uk 
Dominic Cummings facing calls to be sacked after breaching lockdown rules

Boris Johnson faced calls to sack his chief aide Dominic Cummings after it emerged he was investigated by police after breaching lockdown rules.

Mr Cummings drove from London to Durham with his wife and son to stay with his elderly parents after developing symptoms of coronavirus.

Downing Street said at the time that Mr Cummings was “at home” in isolation, when in fact he was more than 260 miles away.

Police in Durham were tipped off by a member of the public about Mr Cummings’ presence at his parents’ house and explained to the family that lockdown rules – imposed by Mr Johnson days earlier – outlawed such visits.

Opposition parties said Mr Cummings’s position was “completely untenable” and that Mr Johnson now faced a “test of leadership” over the matter, with even Government ministers questioning whether Mr Cummings could now stay in his role.

However, Mr Johnson appeared ready to stand by his long-time ally, with Government sources insisting Mr Cummings and his wife, who was also ill, had taken “what they believed to be the right decision in the interests of their young child”.

Earlier this month Prof Neil Ferguson quit his role as a government scientific adviser after The Telegraph disclosed that he had broken lockdown rules to meet his mistress.

Matt Hancock, the Health Secretary, said at the time that Prof Ferguson’s behaviour had left him “speechless”. Mr Cummings attends meetings of the advisory group from which Prof Ferguson resigned.

The revelation that Mr Cummings broke the Government’s lockdown rules raises serious questions both for him and for Downing Street, which gave journalists the clear impression he was in London despite repeated questions about his whereabouts.

One minister said: “He’s going to have to go. It’s just arrogance.” Another minister said it was “hard to see how [Mr Cummings] can stay based on what we know”.

The minister added: “How can any minister ask the public to obey the rules when the adviser closest to the Prime Minister so flagrantly ignores them?”

Mr Cummings, 48, developed coronavirus symptoms at the end of March and had to self-isolate with his wife Mary Wakefield and their young son for 14 days.

On March 31 the Prime Minister’s official spokesman was asked where Mr Cummings was, and said: “I think he’s in touch with No10 but he is at home, he is self-isolating, he has some symptoms.” 

In fact, he was in Durham at the time, not at his home in London, as police made clear in a statement following an investigation by the Guardian and Mirror newspapers.

A spokesman for Durham Constabulary said: “On Tuesday, March 31, our officers were made aware of reports that an individual had travelled from London to Durham and was present at an address in the city.

“Officers made contact with the owners of that address who confirmed that the individual in question was present and was self-isolating in part of the house.

“In line with national policing guidance, officers explained to the family the guidelines around self-isolation and reiterated the appropriate advice around essential travel”.

Ms Wakefield later wrote about how the couple had “emerged from quarantine into the almost comical uncertainty of London lockdown”.

According to the Guardian, Mr Cummings was also spotted near the gate of his parents’ home on April 5, five days after the initial complaint to police and the same day that the Prime Minister was admitted to hospital.

The witness, told the Guardian: “I was really annoyed. I thought ‘it’s OK for you to drive all the way up to Durham and escape from London’. I sympathise with him wanting to do that, but other people are not allowed to do that. It’s one rule for Dominic Cummings and one rule for the rest of us.”

At the time, the Government rules on lockdown stated: “You should not be visiting family members who do not live in your home. 

“The only exception is if they need help, such as having shopping or medication dropped off.”

Prof Ferguson is not the only government adviser to resign for breaking lockdown. Scotland’s chief medical officer, Catherine Calderwood, quit her role after making two trips to her second home.

But Sir Ed Davey, the acting leader of the Liberal Democrats, said millions of people had made “incredible sacrifices” to stop the spread of the virus, adding: “If Dominic Cummings has broken the guidelines he will have to resign, it is as simple as that.”

Ian Blackford, the SNP’s Westminster leader, said: “Dominic Cummings’ position is completely untenable – he must resign or be sacked.”

A Labour Party spokesman said: “If accurate, the Prime Minister’s chief adviser appears to have breached the lockdown rules. The Government’s guidance was very clear: stay at home and no non-essential travel.

“The British people do not expect there to be one rule for them and another rule for Dominic Cummings. Number 10 needs to provide a very swift explanation for his actions.”

As news of Mr Cummings’ transgression broke last night, Mr Johnson tweeted a message which said: “Self-isolate and get tested if you have symptoms. Don’t risk spreading the virus.”

Downing Street was approached for comment.

Boris to get his old job back?

We have “three houses” Robert Jenrick and now we could have “two jobs” Boris as No 10 seeks to take control of lifting lockdown in London.

Confirms Owl’s view that this country is ruled by London for London.

By Gordon Rayner, Political Editor 22 May 2020 www.telegraph.co.uk 
London could see coronavirus lockdown lifted earlier as Number 10 moves to take control of process

London could come out of lockdown “quicker” than other parts of the country after Boris Johnson moved to take over control of the capital’s coronavirus response from its Mayor, Sadiq Khan.

A task force has been set up to “restart” London’s economy and will be jointly chaired by Robert Jenrick, the Communities Secretary, and Mr Khan.

It is the first time the Government has set up a separate body to oversee lockdown measures in a specific part of the country, suggesting that Mr Johnson is moving to a “London first” approach to easing restrictions.

London has a lower rate of virus infection than other parts of the country and, with the south-east region, accounts for 40 per cent of GDP – making it vital to economic recovery.

The most recent figures also show that, on some days, the city is recording no new cases of the virus.

Asked whether London would come out of lockdown first, the Prime Minister’s official spokesman said: “Without talking about a specific part of the country, what is clear in the plans is that, as we are able to gather more data and have better surveillance of the rate of infection in different parts of the country, we will be able to potentially lift measures quicker in some parts of the country than others.

“We will also be able to put the brakes on more quickly in some parts of the country than others.”

Mr Jenrick announced that he will jointly chair a London Transition Board with Mr Khan, which will “co-ordinate London’s response as it emerges from the lockdown and begins to reopen its economy while controlling the virus”.

The Government has, until now, been at pains to say that the country will come out of lockdown as a single entity – but Mr Jenrick’s announcement contained no mention of the rest of the country, suggesting a significant shift.

Mr Khan has been involved in a power struggle with Number 10, with Mr Johnson increasingly getting the upper hand over the man occupying the office he used to hold.

The Mayor was accused of mismanaging the finances of Transport for London after being given a £1.6 billion emergency bailout by the Government to keep Tubes and buses running, and had to agree to increase fares as a condition of being given the money.

Mr Jenrick said: “Now we are past the peak, [of coronavirus] it is right that we focus on safely reopening the capital, taking the necessary steps to control the virus.  

“Through this new Transition Board, we will carefully build on the extensive planning already under way to get life and business in London – the most dynamic capital city in the world – safely back on track.”

The task force will oversee infection control, “phasing in and out of varying levels of lockdown” and “recovery of public services, such as transport”.

Coronavirus: Sunseekers ‘could return lockdown to square one’

Owl has been receiving reports that Exmouth beach was heaving with cars and people on Wednesday and Thursday in particular. Car Parks full, many camper vans with occupants making breakfast on the pavements, social distancing difficult etc. This is echoed in the following article from the Times.

Owl regards Tim Spector’s Covid-19 symptom tracker project as the “canary in the cage”. It uses a statistical filter of reported symptoms as a proxy measure of infection.

Its advantages are that it is based on a phone app and is therefore instantaneous; has a national sample size of over 3 million participants; and, most importantly, it is consistent. I.e. will tell us whether infection rates locally are going up or down around a week or two before anything the Government publishes. At the moment they are static. Owl will report soon on exciting new developments with this work.

Fiona Hamilton, Crime Editor | Harry Shukman | Charlotte Wace www.thetimes.co.uk 

Matt Hancock last night warned [Thursday] of the risk of returning to “square one” of the coronavirus lockdown as police chiefs said people were becoming blase about social distancing.

As thousands took advantage of glorious weather by flocking to beaches and beauty spots around the country, the health secretary called on the public to renew their efforts to stick to the rules. He added: “Let’s not go back to square one. We can all play our part in the national effort.”

His comments at the Downing Street press conference were echoed by senior police who said that the guidance to stay two metres apart, and meet only one other person, was being routinely ignored since the slight easing of the lockdown rules.

One chief constable told The Times: “I think people no longer understand what they can do, or they think it is no longer important.”

Another senior officer said there was “no doubt at all” that public resolve had weakened and that the guidance around meeting one person outside the household was “forgotten shortly after the words were spoken”.

In Newquay, Cornwall, police patrolled caravan sites and woke up visitors in campervans at 6am for breaching lockdown by staying overnight at the tourist hotspot. Councils closed car parks at other beaches around the country when thousands of people arrived to relax in the sunshine.

Colin Cox, Cumbria’s public health director, advised the public to stay away from the Lake District. “I continue to urge people to keep their Lake District plans on hold as we grapple with the ongoing Covid-19 outbreak in the county,” he said. “I understand that people may feel their individual visit won’t cause a problem, but when thousands of people have the same idea then that has the potential to create genuine issues.”

The authorities’ fears of a second spike of coronavirus infection have been heightened by the coming bank holiday weekend and forecasts of warm weather.

Half term begins tomorrow, meaning that many families, freed from the constraints of homeschooling, will be tempted outdoors, and to staycations. Ramadan also comes to an end this weekend and Mr Hancock said: “I hope people can enjoy Eid celebrations but I know they’ll be different from usual.”

His intervention came as a new survey revealed that more than half of under thirties are no longer sticking strictly to the lockdown rules.

Researchers who questioned more than 90,000 adults found that “complete” compliance with safety measures has dropped in the past two weeks from an average of 70 per cent of people to under 60 per cent. The University College London (UCL) study found compliance among young adults at less than 50 per cent.

Police have already warned that relaxed lockdown rules are “unenforceable” because people have many more reasons to be out and about. They voiced alarm at the large numbers of people appearing to gather in groups at beauty spots.

Ilfracombe and Braunton police said on Twitter that roads towards the North Devon coast had become “gridlocked”, adding: “We have vehicles from all over the country identified, please do not travel here.”

Southend, which like many seaside towns launched a “don’t visit” campaign, saw hundreds of people descend on its beaches to swim and sunbathe.

Fairy Glen, a popular beauty spot in Lancashire, was closed earlier this week after a flood of people visited over the weekend. Despite the warning, police confirmed that a number of parking fines had been handed to people parking “irresponsibly” and “causing a danger”.

Police have already fined more than 14,000 people for lockdown breaches but enforcement has “fallen off a cliff” since the guidance was eased, sources said.

Katy Bourne, chair of the Association of Police and Crime Commissioners, said that the public flocking to beaches presented a difficulty for officers because they were not breaching the law.

She said: “There are no powers available to police that stop people from visiting the beach or beauty spots. Going into the lockdown was a shock to our system but coming out was always going to be the challenge.

“The police are only there to uphold the law. They’re not out holding tape measures, that’s not the police’s job to do. The police aren’t there though to enforce social distancing because the law doesn’t allow it. We are asking people to be socially responsible.”

Despite the public’s increasingly blasé attitude towards the lockdown measures, a survey has shown that the spring bank holiday is set to be the quietest on the roads in at least seven years.

A poll conducted by the RAC indicates that 9.4 million leisure journeys will be made by car between Saturday and Monday, compared with 16.8 million over the same period last year.

About 68 per cent of the 1,500 drivers questioned do not expect to drive for recreational purposes this weekend, while 15 per cent said that they did not plan on driving more than ten miles for leisure.

“This weekend will be anything but a traditional sunny bank holiday weekend, and in fact nationally it could turn out to be the quietest on the motorways and major roads ever,” Rod Dennis, a spokesman for the RAC, said. “While it’s true that some car parks in popular locations were quick to fill up last weekend, it was positive to see that many of the fears around people swarming to tourist destinations thankfully didn’t translate into widespread problems.”

“Independent” Councillor to Tory Councillor to Advocate for “Build,build,build”

Owl has been struck by the strength of Cllr. Helen Parr’s advocacy for “build, build, build” in the three major planning applications Owl has featured this week. (Extracts from the posts below)

This is a cautionary tale for those in the rump of Ben Ingham’s group who are genuinely Independent. They should urgently consider the need to differentiate themselves from any closet Conservative Independents in the group.

Helen Parr was first elected in 2003 as an “Independent” Councillor for Coly Valley and topped the poll, but by the next election in 2007 she had morphed into a Conservative. In retrospect we can all see why.

She is obviously seen as “sound” on local Conservative development policy (which is the very opposite of conservative with a small “c”) as her preferments include Chairman of the Development Management Committee (DMC).

She is, ironically, “Lead Member for Planning Design and Heritage” in what was Ben Ingham’s “Independent” led Council until he resigned himself and his cabinet last Monday.

Three examples of blind advocacy

Daisymount McDonald’s drive-thru and service station – rejected

(A previous application on the site had been approved many years ago but never implemented)

Agreeing with the applicant, Cllr Helen Parr said: “While the extant scheme may not be implemented, it could be, and therefore this application is preferable as there is much less landscape impact.

“This is preferable, there will be social and economic benefits, and the harm won’t be there to the wider landscape.”

The committee, however, rejected the scheme on the grounds it would cause ‘significant harm in the open countryside in terms of landscape impact’ and that it was ‘unsustainable’.

They added that only very limited weight should be given to the fallback and previously consented scheme.

Go-ahead for 33 new homes on East Devon and Exeter border

The bid is part of an eight-phase development at Redhayes and Tithebarn Green, close to Exeter Science Park.

Members had previously deferred making a decision on the proposals as they were unhappy that eight ‘affordable’ homes would be ‘stuck in the corner’

Council policy says that such properties should be ‘pepper-potted’ across a development.

The DMC were told that the applicant was not prepared to amend the layout as it considered it reflected the size of other affordable housing clusters approved on other Redhayes and Mosshayne developments, though the applicant was willing to provide integral bat and bird facilities and hedgehog ‘highways’.

Proposing the scheme be approved, Cllr Helen Parr said that, as other neighbouring developments have similar levels of pepper-potting, it would be unreasonable to make the applicant do it any differently.

The Coly Valley has two district councillors and in the 2019 election Paul Arnott, Independent East Devon Alliance (EDA), beat Helen Parr into second place. Regrettably, Paul was the only independent candidate.

EDA Indys are opposed to inappropriate development and it will not, therefore, come as a surprise that what he said is a contrast.

Councillor Paul Arnott said that, while he was delighted for the bats, birds and hedgehogs, these were ‘tiny wins’.

He added: “This is a game of semantics and a legacy of the terrible deal that was done for the area. This isn’t pepper-potting at all but clustering, so I cannot vote for this.”

Green light for East Devon business park expansion plans

Cllr Helen Parr threw her support behind the scheme and recommended it be approved. She said: “There is extremely strong comments from the economic development officer about this and we must have more small units for people to work. This is a very good application and I have no hesitation in supporting this.”

In contrast Cllr Paul Arnott said: “While I am sympathetic to the need of the economic argument for units in the area, the fact is it is trumped by this not being part of the Local Plan or the Neighbourhood Plan. I am sympathetic to what they want to do but it may have to come back when we have revisited our Local Plan. With regret, I cannot support this.”