Campaign group forces further consideration of “integrated care” in Devon

Save Our Hospital Services scored a major victory today when after its demonstrations (including another one today):

Emails, public speaking and media onslaught led to the DCC Health Scrutiny Committee refusing to agree to the commencement of the secretive and undemocratic imposition of an “Integrated Care System” (accelerating privatisation of health and social care) being forced on the county from 1 April 2018 (probably not coincidentally April Fool’s Day).

Well done SOHS!

BUT remember we are in the national local government election period and it may well be that, once this has passed, the Tory enthusiasts for this privatisation by the back door may well rediscover their taste for it!

“Councils face ‘almost impossible struggle’ to fund social care””

“Revenue from council tax and business rates in England will not keep pace with a growing social care need – and the funding gap will significantly increase, the Institute for Fiscal Studies warned today.

Even if council tax revenues increased by 4.5% a year, adult social care spending is likely to amount to half of all revenue from local taxes by 2035, the IFS has predicted.

There is “no easy way to square the circle”, the think-tank recognised in its report Adult social care funding: a local or national responsibility?, “without backtracking on reforms to local government finance and reintroducing general grant funding”.

Grant funding from government is planned to end by 2020, and councils will be expected to rely on council tax and business rates for most of their revenue.

If councils meet their social care costs through local tax revenues “the amount left over for other services – including children’s services, housing, economic development, bin collection – would fall in real terms (by 0.3% a year, on average)”, the IFS warned in the report, funded by the Health Foundation charity.

One in 10 councils are to see their share of the population aged 75 and over increase by 6 percentage points or more over the next 20 years, the IFS noted.

Potential solutions all have drawbacks, the report suggested.

These include a ring-fenced top-up grant from government but this could lead to councils cutting back on how much of their own money is allocated to these services.

If government fully funded social care, this would “remove over one-third of what councils currently spend from local control, reducing residents’ say in local spending decisions”, the report stated.

Polly Simpson, research economist at the IFS, said: “The government has to decide whether it thinks adult social care is ultimately a local responsibility, where councils can offer different levels of service, or a national responsibility with common standards across England.

“If it opts for the latter, it cannot expect a consistent service to be funded by councils’ revenues, which are increasingly linked to local capacity to generate council tax and business rates revenues.”

David Phillips, associate director at IFS, suggested the government could “decide to keep and, over time, increase the general grant funding for councils that it currently plans to abolish in 2020”.

He added: “More radically, it could devolve revenues from other more buoyant taxes, such as income tax, to councils to help fund local services.” …
http://www.publicfinance.co.uk/news/2018/03/councils-face-almost-impossible-struggle-fund-social-care

Hunt fires warning shots about social care

“Jeremy Hunt has promised an upcoming green paper will “jump start” a debate with the public about how social care should be funded in the future.

Speaking to an audience of social care workers on Tuesday, the health secretary recognised the “economics of the publicly funded social care market are highly fragile” and said care models needed to “transform and evolve”.

He said: “We will therefore look at how the government can prime innovation in the market, develop the evidence for new models and services, and encourage new models of care provision to expand at scale.”

Hunt outlined seven key principles the government is considering as it draws up its social care green paper, due to be released before the summer.

He added: “We must make sure there is a long-term financially sustainable approach to funding the whole system.”

He added that this would “take time” but “must not be an excuse to put off necessary reforms”.

“Nor must it delay the debate we need to have with the public about where the funding for social care in the future should come from – so the green paper will jump-start that debate,” Hunt promised.

He also said he would look at making paying for social care fairer and less dependent on the “lottery of which illness” a person gets.

He explained the green paper would look at giving people greater control over the care they received, announcing he would consult on personal health budgets. …”

http://www.publicfinance.co.uk/news/2018/03/hunt-vows-social-care-green-paper-will-spark-funding-debate

Campaigners in Huddersfield win right to judicial review of hospital closure

Campaigners against a hospital closure in Huddersfield have been granted a judicial review hearing of the decision.

Hands Off Huddersfield Royal Infirmary said plans from Calderdale and Huddersfield NHS Foundation Trust would see the town’s hospital demolished but not replaced.

Its chair Mike Forster said the grounds for judicial review would be flaws in the consultation, inadequate travel and transport provision to alternative hospitals, lack of community care provision and potential breach of the law on equalities.

The campaign group originally applied to the High Court in November.
Forster said: “We would like to thank the people of Huddersfield who have made this legal breakthrough possible through your long standing support.
“To those who told us this was a done deal, you were wrong. If you stand and fight, you can win. This is a huge hurdle we’ve passed but the fight goes on.”

The trust did not respond to a request for comment, but its chair Andrew Haigh told the BBC: “We note the judge’s findings today and we will continue to work with our healthcare partners, local communities, scrutiny and campaign groups.”

http://localgovernmentlawyer.co.uk/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=34637%3Acampaigners-secure-permission-for-legal-challenge-to-hospital-closure&catid=174&Itemid=99

“WHY WE CANNOT ACCEPT THE INTEGRATED CARE SYSTEM, by the Councillor who first exposed the CCGs’ plans”

PRESS RELEASE

“I am the County Councillor who first put the ICS (Integrated Care System) on the Council’s agenda, at the last Health Scrutiny in late January. This is what has led to the item at today’s meeting. Then, the CCGs and the Council’s leadership had failed to bring the proposals to Council ​- ​although they had been agreed since September. ​They did not want debate on the proposals in the Council – still less for the public to know what is planned.​

I shall be telling Health Scrutiny [Committee, meeting today] that even now, despite having 6 months to produce proper information, they still haven’t revealed some of the most ​worrying aspects of the ICS:

funding of services in the new system, how contracts will work, and whether these will lead to privatisation

details of the proposed Local Care Partnerships for N, S, E & W Devon and for Mental Health which are key to the system, and how they will be funded/contracted

the governance of the system – as things stand, Devon County Council could be handing over control of its social care services to unelected quangos (the CCGs)​​

plans for public engagement – the Cabinet paper says this is necessary but there are no proposals.

However, we do know there will be equalisation of funding between Eastern and Western Devon. Because the CCGs say Western Devon is relatively underfunded, this means deeper cuts in Eastern Devon – probably including closures of community hospitals. Scrutiny should reject this ‘equality of misery’.

On governance, I support the proposals of Cllr Hilary Ackland that if integrated commissioning in the ICS is to go ahead, a reformed Health and Wellbeing Board with proper all-party representation should become the integrated commissioning board. Democratic control is not an optional extra.

Devon County Council cannot support these proposals as they stand. Without full answers to our questions, Health Scrutiny should call in the plans.

I should be happy to talk to (journalists) today​. I shall be with the Save Our Hospital protestors ​outside County Hall ​between 12.30 and 1​ or you can phone me on ​07972 760254.

Martin Shaw
Independent East Devon Alliance County Councillor for Seaton & Colyton”

“Official figures mask A&E waiting times”

“Tens of thousands more patients spent more than 12 hours in A&E waiting for a bed last year than official figures suggest. Doctors and MPs called for a change to how “trolley waits” were reported in England after an investigation by The Times.

Official numbers show that 2,770 A&E patients had to wait more than 12 hours for a bed last year. These NHS statistics only capture the time between a doctor deciding a patient needs to be admitted and then being found a place on a ward. If the time is recorded between arriving at A&E and being found a bed, the number of patients who had to wait in emergency departments for more than 12 hours leaps to at least 67,406 patients, 24 times higher, according to data obtained under freedom of information laws.

The true figure is likely to be even higher, as only 73 hospitals out of 137 replied to the requests. The Times also asked hospitals for details of the longest wait they had recorded each week. Those revealed about 200 patients waiting more than a day for a bed last year. In December a 103-year-old woman spent 29 hours in A&E before she was admitted to the Great Western Hospital in Swindon, Wiltshire. The trust said that it had been one of the busiest months on record. The longest wait reported to The Times, of almost four days, was a 16-year-old boy at Barking Havering and Redbridge NHS Trust.

Sarah Wollaston, Conservative chairwoman of the health select committee, said that long waits in A&E raised patient safety concerns. “When departments are already at full stretch, having to care for individuals who may be very unwell and waiting for transfer to a more appropriate clinical setting reduces the time clinicians are free to assess and care for new arrivals and this can rapidly lead to spiralling delays,” Dr Wollaston said. “The total length of time that people are spending in emergency departments should be recorded alongside the current figures.”

Paul Williams, a Labour member of the committee, said: “If the clock doesn’t start ticking on ‘trolley waits’ until this decision has been made, then hospitals can legitimately have someone waiting for more than three hours to be seen and assessed, and then another 11 hours on a trolley without this leading to a breach of targets.” In Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland, 12-hour waits are recorded from when a patient arrives in the department.

Rachel Power, chief executive of the Patients Association, said: “It’s clear from this data that many patients are enduring even longer waits with their safety, privacy and dignity compromised than the official statistics show.”

Taj Hassan, president of the Royal College of Emergency Medicine, said: “I think all independent observers would agree that, at the moment, the way we are describing our 12-hour trolley waits is not accurately describing the numbers.”

An NHS England spokesman said: “In the last 12 months to February 2018 the number of 12-hour trolley waits has dropped by more than 20 per cent on the previous year, and this has been achieved while hospitals also successfully looked after 160,000 more A&E patients within the four-hour target this winter compared to last winter.” NHS Digital is set to publish separate monthly statistics on the total number of patients spending more than 12 hours in A&E, whether or not they eventually needed admission. They said there were more than 260,000 during the financial year 2016-17.

Behind the story

Hospitals are expected to treat, admit or discharge 95 per cent of patients within four hours of their arrival at A&E (Kat Lay writes).

However, they have not met that target since July 2015. In January, only 77.1 per cent of people going to larger A&Es were dealt with within four hours.

For patients who require admission — “the sickest group” attending A&E, says the Royal College of Emergency Medicine — it appears to be worse.

At hospitals that provided figures to The Times, on average only 53 per cent of patients requiring admission were found a bed within four hours in January this year.

A lack of social care means that many of the beds that such patients need to be moved on to are taken up by people who do not need to be in hospital any longer, doctors complain.

Source: The Times (pay wall)

Our NHS: Demo at DCC HQ Thursday 22 March from mid-day

Join SOHS demo from midday – County Hall, Exeter – This Thursday 22nd March.

Save Our Hospital Services (SOHS) Devon are lobbying against plans to introduce structural changes in NHS delivery of services from April 1st with the introduction of an Integrated Care System (formerly known as ‘Accountable Care System’). This is yet another reorganisation of Health & Social Care services, which hasn’t been consulted on and is part of the ‘Sustainability & Transformation Plan’ imposed by the government to cut another £550 million off Devon’s Health care and introduce more privatisation…

IF YOU CARE ABOUT THE NHS COME AND JOIN US

We will also address the DCC Health & Adult Care Scrutiny Committee at 2.00pm on Thursday with 12 key questions about Integrated Care Systems (ICS)
planned for introduction by NHS England from April 1st without consultation. SOHS have sent these 12 questions to Dr Tim Burke, Chair of the NEW CCG
which meet also at 1.00pm on Thursday at County Hall.

“The town that’s found a potent cure for illness – community”

What this provisional data appears to show is that when isolated people who have health problems are supported by community groups and volunteers, the number of emergency admissions to hospital falls spectacularly. While across the whole of Somerset emergency hospital admissions rose by 29% during the three years of the study, in Frome they fell by 17%. Julian Abel, a consultant physician in palliative care and lead author of the draft paper, remarks: “No other interventions on record have reduced emergency admissions across a population.”

Frome is a remarkable place, run by an independent town council famous for its democratic innovation. There’s a buzz of sociability, a sense of common purpose and a creative, exciting atmosphere that make it feel quite different from many English market towns, and for that matter, quite different from the buttoned-down, dreary place I found when I first visited, 30 years ago.

The Compassionate Frome project was launched in 2013 by Helen Kingston, a GP there. She kept encountering patients who seemed defeated by the medicalisation of their lives: treated as if they were a cluster of symptoms rather than a human being who happened to have health problems. Staff at her practice were stressed and dejected by what she calls “silo working”.

So, with the help of the NHS group Health Connections Mendip and the town council, her practice set up a directory of agencies and community groups. This let them see where the gaps were, which they then filled with new groups for people with particular conditions. They employed “health connectors” to help people plan their care, and most interestingly trained voluntary “community connectors” to help their patients find the support they needed.

Sometimes this meant handling debt or housing problems, sometimes joining choirs or lunch clubs or exercise groups or writing workshops or men’s sheds (where men make and mend things together). The point was to break a familiar cycle of misery: illness reduces people’s ability to socialise, which leads in turn to isolation and loneliness, which then exacerbates illness.

This cycle is explained by some fascinating science, summarised in a recent paper in the journal Neuropsychopharmacology. Chemicals called cytokines, which function as messengers in the immune system and cause inflammation, also change our behaviour, encouraging us to withdraw from general social contact. This, the paper argues, is because sickness, during the more dangerous times in which our ancestral species evolved, made us vulnerable to attack. Inflammation is now believed to contribute to depression. People who are depressed tend to have higher cytokine levels.

But, while separating us from society as a whole, inflammation also causes us to huddle closer to those we love. Which is fine – unless, like far too many people in this age of loneliness, you have no such person. One study suggests that the number of Americans who say they have no confidant has nearly tripled in two decades. In turn, the paper continues, people without strong social connections, or who suffer from social stress (such as rejection and broken relationships), are more prone to inflammation. In the evolutionary past, social isolation exposed us to a higher risk of predation and sickness. So the immune system appears to have evolved to listen to the social environment, ramping up inflammation when we become isolated, in the hope of protecting us against wounding and disease. In other words, isolation causes inflammation, and inflammation can cause further isolation and depression. …”

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/feb/21/town-cure-illness-community-frome-somerset-isolation

Control of community care in Nottinghamshire falls to controversial US company

“NHS Protectors’ worst fears are being realised as USA’s Centene is likely to control Greater Nottingham Accountable Care System, by taking over the NHS Commissioner’s role in a £206m community services contract.

At the very time that its discredited subsidiary Ribera Salud – which is being kicked out of Spain by the Valencia Green/Podemos/Socialist government – has appointed former New Labour Health Secretary Alan Milburn as a Director and has sent lots of executives to UK to help Centene UK with its plan of buying primary care and mental health companies.

The UK subsidiary of Centene – a US sub-prime health insurance profiteer that has got rich off managing Obamacare’s publicly-funded Medicaid programmes which provide health insurance for people on a low income – is likely to take over the NHS commissioner’s role in the £206m, 7 year contract for out-of-hospital community services, that Nottingham City Clinical Commissioning Group recently awarded to Nottingham City Partnership Community Interest Company. …”

This seems to bear out NHS protectors’ worst fears that Accountable Care Systems or Organisations are Trojan horses designed to import US companies into key controlling positions in these new types of local NHS and social care services.

Centene UK, assisted by executives from its discredited Spanish subsidiary Ribera Salud, is also studying the acquisition of primary care and mental health companies in the United Kingdom, according to recent reports from Valencia Plaza.

Ribera Salud recently appointed the former New Labour Health Secretary Alan Milburn to its Board of Directors, to help it “continue with its expansion plans.” In addition, during the recent visit to Valencia of the United Kingdom’s ambassador to Spain, Simon Manley, a British manager of Ribera Salud contacted him to explain the company’s plans. …

Nottingham City Clinical Commissioning Group will become part of the Nottinghamshire/Greater Nottingham Accountable Care System. This will be:

“a single risk bearing entity to managing [sic] the entire care continuum. The successful provider must form part of the ACS and…will be expected to help shape and deliver its part of the single risk bearing entity.”

This sounds like the Accountable Care Organisation contract – which NHS England is not approving now and which is the subject of two Judicial Reviews in the Spring and a public consultation at some unspecified point in time.

The contract notification says that when the Accountable Care System is implemented, this will require a contract variation which:

“will require the successful provider to provide its consent to the potential future transfer of the CCG’s role under the contract.”

This contract variation will mean transferring the contract from Nottingham Clinical Commissioning Group to another provider, or the Care Integrator (Centene UK).

It seems that Nottingham City Clinical Commissioning Group has taken a gamble on the likelihood that NHS England will be approving the Accountable Care Organisation contract by the time the Sustainability and Transformation Partnership has figured out its business case to consider the options for partner organisations in managing the Accountable Care System components and has secured legal and procurement support to advise on this.”

https://calderdaleandkirklees999callforthenhs.wordpress.com/2018/03/19/usas-centene-to-take-over-nhs-commissioners-function-in-206m-community-services-contract-as-accountable-care-system-sets-up/

Seaton and Area Health Matters meeting, Friday 23 March 9 am1 pm – registration required

From the blog of DCC East Devon Alliance councillor Martin Shaw:

“A reminder to all involved in local community groups, especially those with an interest in health and wellbeing in the broadest senses, that Seaton and Area Health Matters will convene in the Town Hall on Friday 23rd March, 9 for 9.30 until 1 pm. There is still time to register!

Book here:

https://goo.gl/forms/7laMUjhByt8F0w053

You are invited to participate in this community led event with key stakeholders around the future health and wellbeing of all the people in our communities, in response to the new landscape affecting Seaton and surrounding area as a result of NHS and Government policies advocating Place-Based Care in health provision and cross-sector collaborative working with community groups

The aim: To discuss what we know, where there are gaps/challenges and how, as a community we will address these to ensure collaborative approaches to co-design and co-produce local health services/activities that meet the needs of all the people in our communities.

Invitees: Management and senior level employees and volunteers / trustees from community, voluntary and social enterprise sector as well as public and private organisations.

Area to include: Seaton, Colyford & Colyton, Beer, Axmouth, Branscombe

PROGRAMME:

Welcome: Mayor of Seaton – Cllr Jack Rowland

Community Context:
• Dr Mark Welland – Chairman of Seaton & District Hospital League of Friends
• Roger Trapani – Community Representative, Devon Health and Care Forum
• Charlotte Hanson – Chief Officer, Action East Devon

Strategic and Services Overview – Place Based Care:
• Em Wilkinson-Bryce – Royal Devon and Exeter NHS Foundation Trust
• Chris Entwistle – Health and Social Care Community Services
• Dr Jennie Button – Social Prescribing Lead – Ways 2 Wellbeing project in Seaton

Workshop, Networking and Discussion will form the main part of this event:
• Workshop 1 – What is working well and what are the challenges for Seaton and surrounding area?
• Workshop 2 – Working together to improve health and wellbeing outcomes? What support do we need?”

Reminder – Seaton and Area Health Matters meeting in Seaton Town Hall on Friday 23rd from 9.

Devon County Council: the place democracy goes to die

Facebook post by DCC Lib Dem Councillor Brian Greenslade

Late last year we started to learn about plans by the Health Secretary Jeremy Hunt and NHS England to introduce by the 1st April Accountable Care Organisations to replace CCG’s in the Health Service. These organisations would provide health and social care services. Bringing these services together makes sense but democratic oversight appeared to be an after thought. ACO’s seemed to be based on similar type Organisations in the US.

What was clear was that little or no public scrutiny of these proposals had happened. Congratulations to Sarah Wollaston MP Chairman of the Health Select Committee who then intervened to stall this initiative to allow the Parliamentary Health Select Committee chance to scrutinise the proposals. The same was true at Devon County Hall where nothing about this was brought to the attention of members of the Health Scrutiny Committee.

Opposition to ACO’s started to brew up so then suddenly the Government and NHS England started to talk about integrated care systems instead which apparently are different. How different is not clear and I am concerned that this could be a back door attempt to introduce ACO’s.

Yesterday at the DCC Cabinet a report by the Chief Executive about Integrated Care Systems was considered. It failed to answer key questions but it was clear that changes from April were on the way.

My Lib Dem colleagues and I hotly contested the recommendations and called for time to have this report sent to Scrutiny first. This was voted down by the Tory majority.

We reacted to this by calling in the Executive decision for scrutiny. This as the effect of delaying any decision on this being made until 11th April at the earliest to consider representations by Scrutiny.

Amazingly the Tories are rushing scrutiny through by making it an urgent item for the Health Scrutiny meeting on the 22nd of March giving little time for consideration of this critical issue for the health of the people of Devon.

Democratic standards that the Lib Dem’s stand for mean little to Devon’s ruling Tories!”

Royal College of Emergency Medicine dismisses bad weather and flu as cause of A and E crisis

“Unacceptable A&E waits are the new normal, doctors declared today, after NHS hospitals suffered yet another worst month on record.

The Royal College of Emergency Medicine dismissed excuses about bad weather and flu and urged patients to write to their MPs to demand improvement.

A&E units saw only 85 per cent of patients within four hours in February, worse than the previous low of 85.1 per cent seen in December and January last year. In major hospitals, the figure was 76.9 per cent, also the lowest since records began in 2010, and in some units barely half of patients were dealt with in time. It means 100,000 more people suffered longer delays than last year.

NHS chiefs blamed an inexorably rising tide of sicker patients, with this winter seeing 261,000 more people coming to A&E than last year, up 5 per cent. More of these patients were also ill enough to need a bed, with emergency admissions up 6 per cent to 1.4 million. Wards were about 95 per cent full all winter, well above the 85 per cent estimated to be safe.

Taj Hassan, president of the Royal College of Emergency Medicine, said: “Performance that once would have been regarded as utterly unacceptable has now become normal and things are seemingly only getting worse for patients. It’s important to remember that while performance issues are more pronounced during the winter, emergency departments are now struggling all year round.”

In January the heads of half of England’s A&E units wrote to the prime minister to warn her that patients were dying in corridors.

Dr Hassan said: “The current crisis in our emergency departments and in the wider NHS is not the fault of patients. It is not because staff aren’t working hard enough, not because of the actions of individual trusts, not because of the weather or norovirus, not purely because of influenza, immigration or inefficiencies and not because performance targets are unfeasible. The current crisis was wholly predictable and is due to a failure to prioritise the need to increase healthcare funding on an urgent basis.”

He added: “We need an adequate number of hospital beds, more resources for social care and to fund our staffing strategies that we have previously agreed in order to deliver decent basic dignified care. We would urge our patients to contact their MP to tell them so.”

Nigel Edwards, head of the Nuffield Trust think tank, said that A&Es were in their worst shape since 2004.

“The main waiting times targets for cancer and planned treatment are being missed, and there is no sign of recovery,” he said. “Fundamentally, these pressures are driven by a lack of money and staff. If these are not addressed it is inevitable that as difficult as February has been for NHS staff and patients there will be worse to come.”

Figures from the British Social Attitudes survey last week showed dissatisfaction with the NHS up seven points to its highest level since 2007, with most people blaming the government.

A spokesman for NHS England said: “NHS staff continued to work hard in February in the face of a ‘perfect storm’ of appalling weather, persistently high flu hospitalisations and a renewed spike in norovirus. Despite a challenging winter, the NHS treated 160,000 more A&E patients within four hours this winter, compared with the previous year. The NHS also treated a record number of cancer patients over these most pressured months of the year.”

He pointed to figures showing that 22,800 routine operations had been cancelled in January, less than half the number feared.

However, the Royal College of Surgeons pointed out that 62,000 fewer operations were carried out this winter, despite rising demand, because procedures were not scheduled in the first place to help take pressure off A&Es.

Professor Derek Alderson, its president, said: “NHS England’s advice to hospitals to cancel all elective operations in January was a necessary evil under the circumstances. It meant patients avoided the distress of having their operation cancelled after turning up to hospital and it freed up NHS staff and resources to deal with patients needing emergency treatment. However, it also inevitably prevented many patients who are in discomfort or pain from having an operation when they needed it, potentially causing their condition to deteriorate.”

Jonathan Ashworth, shadow health secretary, said: “The government has let NHS patients down this winter. Every year under this government waiting times get worse and more and more patients face hours on end in overcrowded emergency departments. The brilliant staff of the NHS have been working round the clock in the wind and the snow but they’re being undermined by a government which has refused to give the NHS the resources it needs.”

Source: The Times (pay wall)

UK deaths up 10,000 over 7 weeks – even allowing for bad winter AND flu

“Ten thousand more people died in the first seven weeks of this year than would be expected, the biggest difference since the Second World War.

Loneliness, overstretched hospitals and the crumbling elderly care system could all be contributing to a sharp increase in deaths, which suggests that British life expectancy is about to start falling, academics say. They have called for an urgent investigation after the latest in a string of figures that show older people are dying earlier than expected.

Infant mortality has also risen, with dozens more babies dying in 2016 than the previous year.

After decades of rising life expectancy, progress has stalled in recent years in Britain, while it continues in many other countries. In January The Times revealed that in some struggling parts of the country life expectancy has dropped by a year since 2011.

Now provisional figures from the Office for National Statistics show that 93,990 people died in the first seven weeks of this year, up 12.4 per cent on the average for the previous five years, an extra 10,375 deaths. This is the biggest difference since 1940, when deaths were up by 16 per cent, and the fourth biggest since 1840, Danny Dorling, an Oxford professor who analysed the figures, said.

He said that it was quite remarkable, adding: “People have become a bit immune to this. Five years ago this would have got a lot more attention, this huge number of people dying.”

Writing in the BMJ, Professor Dorling linked the deaths to hospitals that were “struggling to cope” in winter as they were deluged by frail elderly patients with nowhere else to go. “It’s Alzheimer’s, dementia and so on, these are things people are dying of. It’s frail people. People are dying two or three years earlier than they would do.”

Such people may also be more isolated because bus services were reduced and relatives working longer hours during difficult economic times were unable to visit them, he speculated.

He insisted that flu and winter cold could not explain all the deaths and officials must look at deeper causes. Respiratory illness such as flu were responsible for 18.7 per cent of fatalities, barely up from 18.3 per cent in the same period last year. “It ain’t flu and it wasn’t flu before,” he said.

He wants the Commons health and social care committee to investigate, saying the government is “just not interested”.

Caroline Abrahams, of Age UK, said: “It is extremely worrying that more older people are dying during what was a relatively mild winter. Older people have felt the brunt of long-standing cuts to social care and stagnant funding for the NHS.”

Separate ONS figures yesterday showed that deaths of babies under one rose from 3.7 per 1,000 to 3.8 per 1,000 in 2016, the second year in a row they increased after decades of decline.

Norman Lamb, the Liberal Democrat former care minister, said: “The government must urgently examine the cause and what might be driving this disturbing reversal of historic falls in infant mortality. The fact that the NHS is under such strain may well be contributing to this.”

A spokesman for the Department of Health and Social Care said: “We are absolutely committed to helping people live long and healthy lives, which is why the NHS was given top priority in the autumn budget, with an extra £2.8 billion, on top of a planned £10 billion a year increase by 2020-21. Along with Public Health England, we will consider this.”

Analysis

In the first 49 days of this year, an extra person died every seven minutes compared with the five years before. This is not a one-off, because deaths were also higher than normal last year after a jump in early 2015 (Chris Smyth writes).

Because so many older people are dying sooner than expected, life expectancy has stopped increasing. If this year’s trend continues, British lives will start to become shorter, something unprecedented in modern times. The growing chorus from academics demanding investigation deserves to be heeded, but finding the reason will not be easy. The issue goes far wider than the NHS and social care — people’s health is influenced by their jobs, homes and families.

Given the lack of certainty, the risk is that the data will simply become ammunition for political skirmishes about whether “austerity kills”. This makes ministers and the officials who report to them understandably wary of looking into what is happening.

But it was Theresa May who spoke of the “burning injustice” that the poor die earlier than the rich. This gap is growing. Her government should not be afraid of asking why.”

Source: The Times (pay wall)

DCC Councillor Martin Shaw (East Devon Alliance) updates on NHS changes

This is a long article but if you want to know where we are with NHS changes in Devon this gives you all the information.

Our pressure has led to Devon NHS joining a national retreat from privatising Accountable Care Organisations. However the Devon Integrated Care System will still cap care, with weak democratic control – we need time to rethink

We must thank ALL our Independent Councillors – particularly DCC Independent Councillor Claire Wright, DCC Councillor Martin Shaw (East Devon Alliance) and EDDC Councillor Cathy Gardner (East Devon Alliance) for the tremendous work they have done (and continue to do) in the face of the intransigence (and frankly, unintelligence) of sheep-like Tory councillors.

At EDDC Tory Councillors told their Leader to back retaining community hospitals, so he went to DCC and voted to close them (receiving no censure for this when Independents called for a vote of no confidence).

At the DCC, Health and Social Care Scrutiny Committee Tory members were 10-line whipped by its Chair Sarah Randall-Johnson to refuse a debate on important changes and to vote for accelerated privatisation with no checks or balances.

At DCC full council – well Tory back-benchers might just as well send in one councillor to vote since they all seem to be programmed by the same robotics company!

The human cost of austerity cuts

“One in ten councils faces running out of money in the next three years after exhausting its reserves to pay the dramatically rising cost of social care, the government’s financial watchdog has concluded.

The National Audit Office (NAO) warned that many councils were on the verge of insolvency having had their central government funding cut by almost 50 per cent in eight years. It found that authorities’ financial positions had “worsened markedly” since they were last audited in 2014, with two thirds of councils with social care responsibilities dipping into their reserves last year. The report also revealed that government cuts had led councils to:

• Reduce the number of households having their bins collected each week by 33 per cent since 2011;

• Cut the number of food hygiene checks on cafés and restaurants by 40.9 per cent;

• Make savings of £1.6 billion by closing Sure Start centres and services for young people.

In addition, bus route subsidies have been cut by 48 per cent, 10 per cent of libraries have been shut and 67 per cent fewer health and safety enforcement notices are being handed out.

The NAO found that despite these cuts, councils were still unable to balance their books because of the increased demand for social care combined with cost pressures such as the new national minimum wage. It said that the estimated number of people aged over 65 in need of care had increased by 14.3 per cent. Social care accounts for 54.4 per cent of local authorities’ total service spending, up from 45.3 per cent in 2010-11.

As a result, 66 per cent of local authorities with social care responsibilities drew on their reserves last year. The NAO said that at the current rate of deficit 10 per cent of councils would have exhausted their reserves by 2020.

Last month Northamptonshire county council had to impose strict in-year spending controls after effectively going bankrupt. The Timesrevealed that Surrey, Britain’s richest county, is facing a £100 million cash crisis. Councils are not legally allowed to run up deficits and so they would be forced to cut services to ensure they remained solvent. Many of the councils affected are in solid Conservative areas. Surrey, for example, is a county represented at Westminster by seven government ministers.

Amyas Morse, head of the NAO, said that while the government had given local councils several “short-term cash injections” this funding had only been available for adult social care and uncertainty remained over the long-term financial plan for the sector.

Meg Hillier, chairwoman of the Commons public accounts committee, said funding cuts had led to “stark choices” about which services local authorities continue to provide. “Many councils are raiding their rainy day funds to pay for social care, and we have seen Northamptonshire reach the brink of financial failure,” she said.

A government spokesman said councils needs and resources were being reviewed and a real-terms increase had been provided over the next two years.”

Source: Times (pay wall)

More than 2,000 deaths due to cold snap Ministers were warned about 3 months ago

Fuel poverty – does our CCG take this into account when sending people home with a “care package” – no. And we are the 6th richest country in the world.

“The death toll from Britain’s big freeze could rise to more than 2,000, as it emerged the Met Office had warned ministers a month ago about the cold snap.

The number of people who have died in cold homes in the UK might reach 100 per day this winter, a charity warned in an analysis of Office for National Statistics figures. …

But amid the expected lift in most travel restrictions on Monday, experts have begun to assess the health impacts of the cold snap.

The estimated rise in deaths, compared to a five-year average, comes as thousands face broken down boilers and fuel poverty, preventing them from heating their homes to safe temperatures.

Campaigners claimed that public health officials had been too slow in warning the public – particularly the vulnerable and elderly – of potential health risks so they could protect themselves. …

Peter Smith, director of policy for National Energy Action, said that the weather would likely see an average of as many as 100 people per day perishing in cold homes this winter, compared to a five-year average of 80 people per day.

The total number of cold-home deaths due to the “Beast from the East” cold front is therefore estimated to be more than 2,300.

At least ten deaths have so far been attributed to the cold weather, but the true death toll is likely to take longer to emerge due to the increase in strokes and heart attacks linked to cold weather.

Mr Smith’s analysis is based on ONS data from previous years and a comparable period of cold weather in the winter of 2010-11.

The World Health Organisation estimates that an overall proportion of 30 per cent of excess winter deaths are due to cold homes. … “

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2018/03/04/uk-weather-big-freeze-death-toll-could-rise-2000-emerges-met/

“NHS England treats too many patients as an emergency, watchdog warns”

“The ageing population and other unexplained factors mean hospitals are now treating 5.8 million patients as emergency admissions every year, 24% more than a decade ago, the NAO found. Together they cost the health service £13.7bn, almost a 10th of its budget, and account for 33.59m bed days.

Its hard-hitting report, published on Friday, praises NHS England’s handling of the extra numbers but also criticises its failure to put in place enough services outside of hospitals to keep patients healthier.

The watchdog believes this lack of provision underpins its finding that 24% of emergency admissions are avoidable, implying that £3.43bn a year of NHS funds may be being wasted on people who, with better care, would not have ended up falling ill.

GPs offered cash to refer fewer people to hospital
The NAO said: “The impact on hospitals of rising emergency admissions poses a serious challenge to both the service and financial position of the NHS.”

It acknowledged that hospitals have done well to reduce the overall impact of rising emergency admissions in recent years, in particular by reducing patients’ length of stay and treating more patients as day cases.

But it warned: “[The health service] cannot know if its approach is achieving enduring results until it understands whether reported increases in readmissions are a sign that some people admitted as an emergency are being discharged too soon.

“The NHS also still has too many avoidable admissions and too much unexplained variation. A lot of effort is being made and progress can be seen in some areas, but the challenge of managing emergency admissions is far from being under control.”

The NAO cast serious doubt on whether key government-backed NHS initiatives to keep people out of increasingly overloaded hospitals have proved effective. The NHS’s longstanding policy of reducing its supply of beds has made things even more difficult for hospitals trying to deal with rising emergency admissions, the watchdog added.

The latest NHS data published on Thursday on how health services are coping with winter’s intense pressures shows that 95.3% of hospital beds were occupied last week – more than 10% more than the limit considered necessary for patient safety.

The NAO also voiced concern that the number of emergency admissions varies from 73 to 155 per 1,000 overall admissions in different parts of England, suggesting NHS trusts’ admission policies appear to be inconsistent and possibly wasteful.

NHS organisations and health unions endorsed the NAO’s conclusion that health service leaders’ failure to create and deliver more services in and nearer patients’ homes, despite promises to do so, was a key factor behind the upward trend in admissions.

The number of nurses working in NHS community services fell by 15% between 2010 and 2017, the Royal College of Nursing pointed out.

“People, particularly older people, are not getting the support they need in the community, which leads to more emergency admissions and dangerous levels of bed occupancy when demand is high, as we have seen this winter”, said Donna Kinnair, the RCN’s director of nursing, policy and practice.

Saffron Cordery, the deputy chief executive of NHS Providers, which represents hospitals, said proper community services were “central to the [NHS’s] ambitions” to transform the way it cares for patients. However, she added, efforts to do so had been hampered by underfunding and such care not being seen as a priority.

Prof Keith Willett, NHS England’s medical director for acute care, said: “As the report states, there are 12% fewer A&E patients being admitted than was predicted at the start of the decade, and hospitals, community trusts and GPs trialling new models of care have meaningfully reduced admissions compared with their peers.

“In addition, growth in the cost of managing emergency admissions has been less than a third of the growth in demand.”

https://www.theguardian.com/society/2018/mar/02/nhs-england-too-many-patients-as-emergency-nao-warns

RDE declares crisis

Well, we didn’t see that one coming did we – after more than 200 of our community beds were closed.

How on earth do you “prioritise patients in currently in your care” when emergencies happen and when your next nearest large hospitals are 40-90 miles away and having their own crises?

Here’s an idea: have community hospitals and move dying, improving or rehabilitation patients closer to their homes, freeing up acute beds!

“The severity of today’s weather has resulted in the Royal Devon & Exeter Hospital declaring a status of ‘internal critical incident’.

The warning means that care is being prioritised to patients already in its care, and it is calling on all available staff to come in to work.

Pete Adey, RD&E chief operating officer, said: “Due to the adverse weather conditions the trust, earlier today, declared an internal critical incident. This means we are diverting all available staff and resources to provide care for the patients who are in the hospital and receiving care from our community teams.

“We are asking staff within walking distance of the RD&E’s main Wonford site to come in and provide help if it is safe for them to do so.

“As we expect the weather conditions to continue, our focus for the next 24 hours is to provide urgent and emergency services and to look after the patients already in our care.

“In view of the treacherous driving conditions, patients should only attend their booked appointments if it is safe to do so. Appointments for all of the patients who cannot reach the hospital and those we have needed to postpone in light of the weather conditions will be rescheduled as soon as possible.”

The RD&E advised Honiton Minor Injuries Unit will reopen at 9am tomorrow.

Tiverton and Exmouth MIUs are open as normal at this time but may be subject to change. Regular updates will be provided.

Mr Adey continued: “We sincerely thank the public for their help and support at this challenging time and pay tribute to our staff who are working incredibly hard to keep our essential urgent and emergency services running.”

https://www.devonlive.com/news/devon-news/devon-hospital-declares-internal-critical-1285163

“Judge agrees costs capping in action over NHS accountable care organisations”

“Campaigners including scientist Professor Stephen Hawking have secured a costs order for their judicial review of the government’s planned creation of accountable care organisations (ACO) in the NHS.

In January the claimants gained permission to bring the case against Health and Social Care Secretary Jeremy Hunt and the National Health Service Commissioning Board.

Cheema-Grubb J held that the crowd funded campaign met the statutory test for a costs capping order, being a group of responsible individuals acting in the public interest without a personal interest in the outcome.

The campaigners will challenge the lawfulness of accountable care organisations, which they argue Parliament has not given the Department of Health the power to create.

During the January hearing the court declined to cap costs and the campaigners feared they could face a £450,000 bill were they to lose.

Cheema-Grubb J said it was highly likely that some of the concerns raised in the judicial review had a high degree of public interest and accepted evidence that the case would be dropped in the absence of a cost order.

The claimants could not be criticised for being unreasonable in not proceeding in a case with open-ended potential liabilities, the judge said.

She also noted that Mr Hunt and the NHS were publicly funded through taxpayers’ money in defending the case.

Under the order, if the campaigners lose their liability for Mr Hunt’s and the NHS’s costs would be capped at £80,000 each.

If they won, the two defendants’ liability to pay their costs would be capped at £115,000.”

http://localgovernmentlawyer.co.uk/index.php

“Extra council tax income in 2018/19 will not protect under-pressure local services”

“Communities across the country will see many of their local services face further reductions this year despite paying more council tax, the Local Government Association warns today. …

With local government facing an overall funding gap that will exceed £5 billion by 2020, the LGA is warning these council tax rises will not prevent the need for continued cutbacks to all local services this year. Councils will also have to continue to divert ever-dwindling resources from other local services, including filling potholes, maintaining our parks and green spaces and running children’s centres, leisure centres and libraries, to try and plug growing funding gaps in adult social care, children’s services and homelessness support.

The LGA said the Government needs to urgently address the growing funding gaps facing local services and provide the financial sustainability and certainty needed to protect the local services our communities rely on by committing to allow local government as a whole to keep every penny of business rates collected.

LGA Chairman Lord Porter said

“Since 2010, council tax bills have risen by less than inflation and other key household bills. But faced with severe funding pressures, many councils feel they are being left with little choice but to ask residents to pay more to help them try and protect their local services.

“The extra income this year will help offset some of the financial pressures they face but the reality is that many councils are now beyond the point where council tax income can be expected to plug the growing funding gaps they face. Extra social care funding will be wiped out by the significant cost pressures of paying for the Government’s National Living Wage and extra general council tax income will only replace a third of the central government funding they will lose this year.

“This means councils will have to continue to cutback services or stop some altogether to plug funding gaps.

“We have repeatedly warned of the serious consequences of funding pressures facing services caring for the elderly and disabled, protecting children and tackling homelessness for the people that rely on them and the financial sustainability of other services councils provide. It is unfair to shift the burden of tackling a national crisis onto councils and their residents.

“The need for adequate funding for local government is urgent. To maximise the potential of local government and protect local services from further cuts, funding gaps must be properly addressed and local government as a whole must be allowed to keep all of the business rates it collects locally each year to put it on a sustainable footing.”

https://www.local.gov.uk/about/news/extra-council-tax-income-201819-will-not-protect-under-pressure-local-services